Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2009

Tornado Watch 783

October 29, 200919 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 29, 2009, 1:51 PM CDT for 19 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 29, 2009, 1:51 PM CDT (18:51 UTC)
Expired
Oct 29, 2009, 8:48 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita37 min
Oct 29, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Ouachita50 min
Oct 29, 3:45 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJefferson45 min
Oct 29, 3:52 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Ouachita38 min
Oct 29, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott45 min
Oct 29, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson42 min
Oct 29, 5:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring and 2 more4 hr
Oct 29, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Scott, Yell49 min
Oct 29, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, Saline51 min
Oct 29, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk52 min
Oct 29, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKOuachita45 min
Oct 29, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski26 min
Oct 29, 6:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKPolk, Scott3 hr
Oct 29, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Polk, Scott, Yell45 min
Oct 29, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff45 min
Oct 29, 6:35 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Ouachita40 min
Oct 29, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKOuachita37 min
Oct 29, 7:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway, Dallas and 22 more6 hr
Oct 29, 8:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lonoke and 6 more10 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2009-10-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 387 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2009-10-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 350 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
387 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
453 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
350 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
422 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 1:14 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more8 hr
Oct 29, 1:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWashington2 hr
Oct 29, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 23 more117 min
Oct 29, 5:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more66 min
Oct 29, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford and 22 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2009Every tornado watch in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.