Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 241216
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
716 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

MOC015-029-141-241300-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-090324T1300Z/
CAMDEN MO-BENTON MO-MORGAN MO-
716 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN BENTON...MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 716 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FLORENCE TO STOVER
TO ZORA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAURIE AND VERSAILLES BY 730 AM CDT.
  VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS BY 740 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF SYRACUSE...GRAVOIS MILLS...ROCKY MOUNT AND BARNETT ARE
IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3869 9284 3860 9284 3843 9262 3835 9264
      3835 9269 3833 9270 3822 9270 3821 9265
      3819 9264 3818 9325 3843 9315 3854 9308
      3864 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1216Z 249DEG 36KT 3858 9296 3842 9295
          3829 9308

$$

FOSTER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 241251
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
751 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

MOC015-029-141-241300-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-090324T1300Z/
CAMDEN MO-BENTON MO-MORGAN MO-
751 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN BENTON...MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...

AT 749 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR HASTAIN...OR 13 MILES EAST OF WARSAW...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THIS IS A SECOND SEVERE STORM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE 
INITIAL LINE OF SEVERE STORMS HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE AREA.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
EASTERN BENTON...MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE TOWN OF ZORA.

LAT...LON 3869 9284 3860 9284 3843 9262 3835 9264
      3835 9269 3833 9270 3822 9270 3821 9265
      3819 9264 3818 9325 3843 9315 3854 9308
      3864 9307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1250Z 236DEG 42KT 3819 9314

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...AVIATION UPDATE.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
640 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

.DISCUSSION...

THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE WITH THREE DISTINCT STORM SYSTEMS
IMPACTING THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN IS WITH THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION. A
WEAKER STORM SYSTEM IS THEN SLATED FOR MIDWEEK...BEFORE ANOTHER
STRONG SYSTEM TAKES AIM ON THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK.

TODAY...A NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
SLOWLY PULL NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CORN BELT. AT THE SURFACE...A
COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY OVERTAKING A DRY LINE IN KANSAS. LATEST MESO
ANALYSIS AND SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES 300 TO 500 J/KG
OF MLCAPE WITH LITTLE CINH WILL WORK INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR
WESTERN MISSOURI DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. THERE IS A
WINDOW...ALBEIT SHRINKING...WHERE SUPERCELLS MAY REMAIN THE
DOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE THROUGH 12Z OR SO. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT WORK INTO THE WESTERN
COUNTIES.

AROUND SUNRISE...SHORT WAVE ENERGY COMING OUT OF THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST WILL TEND TO ACCELERATE THE COLD FRONT EASTWARD. CLOUD
LAYER SHEAR VECTORS BY THIS TIME WILL BECOME NEARLY PARALLEL TO
THE FRONT...SO EXPECT DISCRETE STORMS TO QUICKLY LINE OUT. THIS
LINE WILL THEN MARCH EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
ENOUGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST TO CARRY AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT. WE WILL ALSO NEED TO WATCH FOR CLOUD BREAKS OUT
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY GETTING A
WARM START...AND ANY SUNSHINE WOULD JUST INCREASE INSTABILITY AND
THE ATTENDANT SEVERE THREAT.

WILL ALSO BE EXTENDING THE WIND ADVISORY BACK EAST ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE PLATEAU INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. NOT ALL THAT MUCH
DECOUPLING HAS OCCURRED OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE...A FAIRLY STRONG LOW
LEVEL JET WILL VEER ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. COULD EASILY SEE
A FEW GUSTS TO 45 MPH WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION.
THIS ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE TRIMMED FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE LINE
OF STORMS ROLLS THROUGH.

TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ...A FEW LEFT OVER SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A
THUNDERSTORM WILL QUICKLY EXIT SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES
NEAR NORMAL.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL CROSS
THROUGH THE REGION. THINK THIS WAVE WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH ALONG
WITH SOME DECENT ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE TO CARRY SOME CHANCE POPS.
BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. ANY RAINFALL
WOULD BE RATHER LIGHT.

LATE THIS WEEK...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER STRONG
STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE REGION. LONG WAVE CHARTS FAVOR STRONG
DIGGING OF ENERGY FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. PREFER A MORE SOUTHERN TRACK TO THIS ENERGY AS
MODELS MAY BE TOO QUICK TO EJECT IT NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE GREAT
LAKES. THERE LOOKS TO BE BETTER INSTABILITY IN THE WARM SECTOR OF
THIS SYSTEM...SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH WHERE THE SURFACE LOW AND WARM
FRONT SET UP. DO THINK THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF A COLD TAP FOR SOME
WET SNOW SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION. MOST LIKELY AREA AT THIS
TIME LOOKS TO BE NORTH AND WEST OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS.

THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...DO NOT SEE MUCH CHANGE IN THE
LONG WAVE PATTERN WITH DIGGING ENERGY CONTINUING TO BE FAVORED OUT
OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF DO INDICATE
ANOTHER DECENT SYSTEM AFFECTING THE REGION SOMETIME EARLY NEXT
WORK WEEK. PLENTY OF TIME TO HONE IN ON THIS ONE.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.AVIATION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BOTH THE JOPLIN AND
SPRINGFIELD AIRPORTS TODAY.  JOPLIN WILL BE IMPACTED THIS
MORNING...WHILE STORMS WILL BE OVER SPRINGFIELD BY MID DAY.  A COLD
FRONT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THESE STORMS...BRINGING IN SOME
COOLER AIR.  A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WILL ALSO OCCUR.

CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO DIP INTO THE ARF
CONTINUE.

CRAMER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055-066>068-
     077>079-088>091-093>095.

KS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
323 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-250830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
323 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EXTREME SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS TODAY. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES...AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN
MISSOURI DURING THE EARLY MORNING PERIOD...EVENTUALLY TRANSLATING ACROSS
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

INSTABILITY LEVELS CONTINUE TO BE LIMITED...HOWEVER...DUE TO A
HIGHLY SHEARED ATMOSPHERE...SOME STORMS WILL BECOME
ORGANIZED...CREATING AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO
OCCUR.

IN ADDITION TO TODAYS THUNDERSTORMS...WIND GUSTS WILL EXCEED 40
MPH AT TIMES TODAY...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM NEOSHO AND SALEM. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO
FRIDAY. A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
WEST...INTERACTING WITH GULF MOISTURE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
527 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 AM     HAIL             1 W HALLOWELL           37.17N 95.01W
03/24/2009  E0.88 INCH       CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CHEROKEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DIRECTOR IS
            OBSERVING NICKEL SIZE HAIL WEST OF HALLOWELL.

&&

DCRAMER