Tornado Warning 30, NWS Paducah, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
330 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
LOOKS AS THO MAIN SVR RISK IS CURRENTLY MOVING EAST OF THE REGION
WITH CURRENT LINE OF STORMS. HOWEVER...SFC LOW/COLD FRONT IS STILL
OUT WEST OF THE SGF AREA...AND THE AIR MASS MAY HAVE A CHANCE TO
RECOVER THIS MORNING BEFORE THE SFC LOW COMES THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA. IF THAT OCCURS...THERE MAY BE A WINDOW 12Z-18Z FOR STORM
REDEVELOPMENT AND A HAIL RISK ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LVL COLD POOL.
COULD ALSO BE DAMAGING WIND THREAT IF INSTABILITY CAN BECOME SFC
BASED...ALLOWING DOWNDRAFTS TO REACH THE SFC. BEST CHANCE FOR THIS
TO OCCUR WILL BE AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE OH RIVER.

POPS WILL FINALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON EARLY
TONIGHT AS THE LOW RACES EAST. WILL THEN FOLLOW WITH A COUPLE OF
NICE EASTER WEEKEND DAYS. ON SUNDAY THE HIGH PRESSURE WHICH GAVE US
THE NICE WEEKEND WILL SHIFT EAST AND THE NEXT DEVELOPING SYSTEM WILL
RACE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOME LIGHT PRECIP MAY BREAK OUT WEST OF
THE MS RVR LATE IN THE DAY ON EASTER SUNDAY...BUT THE PRECIP WILL
HOLD OFF IN MOST AREAS UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER
POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN EVENT WITH AN INCH OR TWO OF RAIN POSSIBLE AT
MANY LOCATIONS. SVR THREAT SUN NIGHT LOOKS LESS RIGHT NOW...AS MAIN
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE TO OUR SOUTH.

MON-TUE THE MAIN UPPER LOW LIFTS SLOWLY NE INTO AND THROUGH THE OH
VALLEY...SO THEY STILL LOOK LIKE CLOUDY/POTENTIALLY SHOWERY DAYS
BEFORE NICE SPRING-TIME WEATHER RETURNS IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
A LULL IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THE MID
MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER...LOCALLY IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED AROUND
SUNRISE AS A RESULT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM HEAVY RAIN EARLIER.
BY MIDDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BE CROSSING THE REGION...AND MORE
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THEN. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THE
ACTIVITY WILL BE MORE SCATTERED AND LESS INTENSE. IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...LOW CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE RATHER BRISK FROM THE NORTH.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

MEFFERT/MY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
914 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ004-014-015-018>020-
MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114-111000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-BALLARD-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-
STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
914 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CONTINUED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY THREAT BEING HEAVY RAIN. WITH THIS REGION CLOSE TO AN
ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER WATCH BOX...THERE COULD BE A THREAT THAT
STORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS OR POSSIBLY
A TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS WITH IT. ANOTHER ONE TO TWO INCHES INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY
OCCUR WITH THIS SYSTEM...POSSIBLY LEADING TO SOME ADDITIONAL
FLOODING CONCERNS. IN ADDITION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MAINTAIN ALERT STATUS IN CASE THEIR ACTIVATION IS
REQUESTED.

KYZ001>003-005>013-016-017-021-022-111000-
FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-
CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-
914 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT. REFER TO THE WATCH
FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.

IN ADDITION...MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
WABASH AND LITTLE WABASH RIVERS. REFER TO THE FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR
MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS WITH IT. ANOTHER ONE TO TWO INCHES INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY
OCCUR WITH THIS SYSTEM...POSSIBLY LEADING TO SOME ADDITIONAL
FLOODING CONCERNS. IN ADDITION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN REQUESTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
419 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1111 PM     TSTM WND GST     DONIPHAN                36.62N 90.82W
04/09/2009  M60.00 MPH       RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL GUSTS MEASURED IN THE UPPER 50S

1120 PM     HAIL             NEELYVILLE              36.56N 90.51W
04/09/2009  E0.75 INCH       BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL SPOTTED ON THE BUTLER/ RIPLEY COUNTY LINE NEAR THE
            ARKANSAS BORDER.

1120 PM     HAIL             5 S DONIPHAN            36.55N 90.82W
04/09/2009  E0.75 INCH       RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

1125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW NEELYVILLE         36.53N 90.55W
04/09/2009                   BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AWNING TORN OFF THE FRONT OF A HOUSE WITH SHINGLE DAMAGE
            TO A SHED.

1141 PM     TSTM WND GST     POPLAR BLUFF            36.76N 90.41W
04/09/2009  M58.00 MPH       BUTLER             MO   ASOS

            SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.

1228 AM     HAIL             CAPE GIRARDEAU          37.31N 89.55W
04/10/2009  E0.75 INCH       CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL IS REPORTED AS HEAVY BUT DIME SIZED.

1228 AM     TSTM WND GST     CAPE GIRARDEAU          37.31N 89.55W
04/10/2009  E60.00 MPH       CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WINDS ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

1235 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CHARLESTON              36.92N 89.34W
04/10/2009                   MISSISSIPPI        MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CAR WASH DESTROYED, GAS STATION CANOPY BLOWN DOWN.

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E KEVIL               37.08N 88.85W
04/10/2009                   MCCRACKEN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF 2 SHEDS DESTROYED AT RUDYS FARM CENTER NEAR
            BETHEL CHURCH ROAD.

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E KEVIL               37.08N 88.85W
04/10/2009                   MCCRACKEN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER POLE SNAPPED

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E KEVIL               37.08N 88.85W
04/10/2009                   MCCRACKEN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 SHEDS DESTROYED NEAR RUDYS FARM CENTER NEAR BETHEL
            CHURCH ROAD.

0102 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WOODVILLE               37.10N 88.87W
04/10/2009                   MCCRACKEN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPRING BAYOU BAPTIST CHURCH ROOF BLOWN OFF. TIME OF
            OCCURANCE ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0111 AM     TSTM WND GST     PADUCAH                 37.07N 88.64W
04/10/2009  M60.00 MPH       MCCRACKEN          KY   ASOS

0118 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PADUCAH                 37.07N 88.64W
04/10/2009                   MCCRACKEN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SHEDS IN LOWES PARKING LOT BLOWN ACROSS NEW HOLT ROAD.

0131 AM     TSTM WND GST     REIDLAND                37.01N 88.53W
04/10/2009  M56.00 MPH       MCCRACKEN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0250 AM     HAIL             HOPKINSVILLE            36.85N 87.49W
04/10/2009  M0.75 INCH       CHRISTIAN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

&&

SMITTY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
948 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0948 AM     HAIL             2 S MURRAY              36.58N 88.32W
04/10/2009  M0.75 INCH       CALLOWAY           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED JUST SOUTH OF TOWN.

&&

SMITTY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1000 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

KYZ001>003-005>009-011>013-101600-
LIVINGSTON-CALDWELL-MCCRACKEN-LYON-MARSHALL-TRIGG-CARLISLE-GRAVES-
HICKMAN-CALLOWAY-FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDWELL...BENTON...CALVERT CITY...
CLINTON...EDDYVILLE...FULTON...MAYFIELD...MURRAY AND REIDLAND
900 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 957 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
AND VERY STRONG WINDS 45 TO 55 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARLINGTON TO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CAYCE. ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS WAS LOCATED ACROSS
CALLOWAY COUNTY CENTERED ON THE CITY OF MURRAY. THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF THE STORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH 11
AM...AND SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY. THE STORMS MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND MAY SOON BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES UPON FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. COMMUNITIES
IMPACTED BY 11 AM INCLUDE...MAYFIELD...MURRAY...AND CADIZ.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER
RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

RJP