Severe Thunderstorm Warning 481, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1143 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1143 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA COVERS ALL OF NORTHERN... WESTERN... CENTRAL...
AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... AS WELL AS ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH 1 AM.

IMPACTS...
SOME DAMAGE TO AUTOMOBILES AND TENDER VEGETATION FROM HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF GOLFBALLS.

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONT AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES COULD AGAIN PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAVE CREATED SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
THAT WILL LAY ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE STATIONARY FRONT
MAY ALSO BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS AFTERNOON. A CAP OR WARMER AIR
ALOFT WILL LIKELY SUPPRESS SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER... ENOUGH LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE BOUNDARIES AND SURFACE HEATING MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT TO
OVERCOME THE CAP. MEANWHILE... A SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH FROM THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. TODAY EVENTUALLY MOVING INTO THE PLAINS. THIS
DISTURBANCE MAY ALSO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LIFT TO THE REGION. EVEN
THOUGH THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TODAY MAY NOT BE AS GREAT
AS THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS... MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS
STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OTHER STORMS COULD DEVELOP ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST. THESE
STORMS MAY DEVELOP INTO ONE OR MORE COMPLEXES THAT MOVE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...
WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BECOMING THE MAIN CONCERN.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY JUN 15.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
CONTINUED MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES...AS WELL AS THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WILL
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA ON
MONDAY. BY TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING NORTHWARD FROM TEXAS
WILL STRENGTHEN THE WARM AIR CAP...DISCOURAGING THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LATE IN THE
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
MONDAY MORNING.

MAXWELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
611 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2009

TXZ083-084-142330-
HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX-
611 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR FOARD AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SWEARINGEN AT
610 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THE LEADING EDGE OF LARGE HAIL
WILL LIKELY AFFECT FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF FOARD AND HARDEMAN
COUNTIES BY AROUND 630 PM.

PEOPLE IN FOARD AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
632 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2009

TXZ083-084-150015-
HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX-
632 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR FOARD AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SWEARINGEN AT
630 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE LEADING EDGE OF A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM HAS BEGUN TO MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF FOARD AND
HARDEMAN COUNTIES. SMALL HAIL MAY AFFECT THIS AREA BY AROUND 645 PM.
HOWEVER... THE STRONGER PORTION OF THE STORM AND THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE LARGER HAIL MAY AFFECT FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES BY
AROUND 700 PM.

PEOPLE IN FOARD AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

MAXWELL