Severe Thunderstorm Warning 480, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-141000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
830 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF WESTERN
AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
CHEYENNE...TO BINGER...TO SULPHUR TO MADILL AND INCLUDES ALL OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
NORTHERN...WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THROUGH 4 AM.

IMPACTS...

SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFTOPS... AUTOMOBILES... AND TENDER VEGETATION FROM
LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

ISOLATED TORNADOES.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED OVER WEST TEXAS
DURING THE AFTERNOON CONTINUED TO MOVE THROUGH PARTS OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. A VERY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS AND MUCH OF OKLAHOMA. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT AIDED BY A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY CONSOLIDATE INTO
ONE OR MORE ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OVERNIGHT WITH THE THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SUNDAY JUN 14.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT COULD BRING HEAVY
RAIN...WITH A THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER OR NEAR OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH THE BOUNDARY CLOSE BY...ALONG
WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND SEVERAL SMALL SCALE DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW... THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SUNDAY.

II

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