Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 261041
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
541 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

MSC039-041-261050-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-090326T1045Z/
GEORGE MS-GREENE MS-
540 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENE AND
EASTERN GEORGE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3115 8797 3089 8791 3070 8803 3069 8825
      3109 8802 3129 8807 3128 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 1040Z 336DEG 29KT 3119 8802 3101 8798
          3063 8820

$$

ALC003-097-129-261045-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-090326T1045Z/
WASHINGTON AL-BALDWIN AL-MOBILE AL-
540 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MOBILE...WEST CENTRAL BALDWIN AND SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 538 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
MALCOLM TO CHASTANG TO LANGAN PARK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
23 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHATOM TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF BAY MINETTE TO
11 MILES WEST OF DOWNTOWN MOBILE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CHICKASAW...FORT STODDARD...CRICHTON AND PRICHARD BY 545 AM CDT...

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF 
FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND 
STREAMS...AS WELL AS PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. DO NOT DRIVE 
YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE 
WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. 
REMEMBER...TURN AROUND AND DONT DROWN

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...PREFERABLY IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR A
ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET OR BATHROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3115 8797 3089 8791 3070 8803 3069 8825
      3109 8802 3129 8807 3128 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 1040Z 336DEG 29KT 3119 8802 3101 8798
          3063 8820

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1158 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

.AVIATION UPDATE FOR 26/06Z...MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST
OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. MOST OF THE RAIN AND POSSIBLE IFR IN
RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE INTERIOR
SECTIONS...GENERALLY NORTH OF A FLORALA TO WIGGINS LINE UNTIL LATER
TONIGHT. EXPECT IFR IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE IN FROM THE
WEST AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS TO REMAIN BREEZY AND SOUTHERLY. /11

*************************PARTIAL PREVIOUS DISCUSSION************

.HYDROLOGY...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON MANY AREA RIVERS.
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS AND
THIS RAINFALL WILL LIKELY CAUSE RAPID RISES ON MANY RIVERS LATE THIS
WEEK. WIDESPREAD BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES MAY CAUSE MANY AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS TO RISE TO OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS WEEK. RIVER
FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT
LEAKESVILLE...THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER AT COFFEEVILLE AND AT LEROY. THERE
IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE RIVER FLOODING ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE BASED ON THE DAY TWO QPF VALUES. PLEASE SEE
BHMFLWMOB/BHMFLSMOB AND BHMRVSMOB FOR FURTHER DETAILS. /04

&&

.CLIMATE...THE HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL SHOULD
HELP THE RAINFALL DEFICITS ACROSS THE AREA. AS OF 1 AM THIS
MORNING...MOBILE RAINFALL FOR THE YEAR STANDS AT 10.95 INCHES OR
5.57 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. PENSACOLA RAINFALL FOR THE YEAR STANDS AT
8.38 INCHES OR 6.71 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. /04

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      63  72  61  77 /  80  80  80  70
PENSACOLA   64  72  63  77 /  70  80  80  70
DESTIN      63  72  63  74 /  60  70  70  60
EVERGREEN   61  74  60  77 /  90  80  80  70
WAYNESBORO  58  76  60  78 /  90  70  80  80
CAMDEN      59  74  61  78 /  90  80  80  80

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-271200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
500 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY AS A FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE AREA AND A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE EASTWARD ALONG IT.

THE FIRST ROUND OF HEAVY RAINS IS NOW IN PROGRESS AND IS IN THE FORM
OF A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD
THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA EARLY TODAY.  THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE UP TO I-65 BY SUNRISE WITH A TRAILING REGION OF RAIN
THEREAFTER. IT WILL PROGRESS EAST OF I-65 FROM SUNRISE THROUGH NOON.

A SECOND ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST AGAIN TONIGHT...
AND ANOTHER ON FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
PERIODICALLY MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGHOUT THE REGION. TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE UP TO 8 INCHES OVER SOME LOCALES.
MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE AT LEAST THREE INCHES ENDING
SATURDAY.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

IN ADDITION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BOTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WITH THE FIRST LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING AND NEXT FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT
DEVELOP LATER AND MOVE IN FROM THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINTAIN HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THURSDAY...AND A CONTINUED HIGH
RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL PREVAIL ALONG AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

OUR LATEST FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 9 INCHES ENDING SATURDAY. ISOLATED AREAS MAY RECEIVE EVEN MORE
RAINFALL. DUE TO THE LONG DURATION OF FORECAST HEAVY PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE AREA...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...SMALL CREEKS AND
STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEK. SEVERAL AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS AND THIS RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
CAUSE MANY RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS
WEEK. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

*THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY SERIOUS SITUATION SO PLEASE STAY TUNED
FOR LATER UPDATES*

A MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND WILL CONTINUE...ALONG
WITH SEAS OF 6 TO 9 FEET. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. A
RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AREA BEACHES
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THROUGH SATURDAY FOR FLASH FLOODING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES.

PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS  WEATHER OUTLOOK
FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.