Tornado Warning 12, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 251703
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1203 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

MSC023-251715-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090325T1715Z/
CLARKE MS-
1203 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
CLARKE COUNTY...

AT 1202 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF SYKES...OR 14 MILES EAST OF
QUITMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  SNELL BY 1210 PM CDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3223 8844 3194 8847 3186 8870 3202 8879
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 223DEG 21KT 3209 8849

$$


7

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1129 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

...LONG DURATION SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN EVENT LIKELY TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...FIRST WAVE OF ACTIVITY STILL LINGERING ACROSS THE E/SE
PORTION OF THE CWA WITH SOME LIGHT/MOD SHOWER ACTIVITY SPREADING
ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS. THERE DOES EXIST A SMALL CHANCE OF THE
STORMS ALONG THE LINE TO BECOME STRONG OR EVEN BRIEFLY SVR AS LIMITED
INSTABILITY COMBINES WITH DECENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR. BEHIND THE
CONVECTIVE LINE...TEMPS ARE COOLER WITH DEWPT IN THE 50S. I HAVE ADJ
THE CURRENT FORECAST TO REMOVE MUCH OF THE THUNDER WORDING TODAY AND
ONLY KEEP ISOLATED TSRA WORDING FOR THE S HALF OF THE AREA. I ALSO
ADJ TEMPS SOME TO ACCOUNT OF LATEST TRENDS. ANOTHER UPDATE WILL BE
NEED BY EARLY AFTERNOON TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LOWER POPS.

FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD ONLY SEE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WE ARE BETWEEN WX SYSTEMS. THE FIRST IN THE WAY
OF ACTIVE WX PERIODS WILL BE TONIGHT. THE OVERALL AMOUNT OF SVR WX
AND WHERE IT WILL HAPPEN HIGHLY DEPENDS ON MESOSCALE EVOLUTION AND
HOW THE CURRENT BOUNDARY EVOLVES AND HOW FAR NORTH IT CAN GET.
CURRENTLY...THIS BOUNDARY IS SHALLOW...BUT HAS MOVED FURTHER S THAN
MODELS HAD INDICATED. WITH CLOUDS AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOP
OVER THE BOUNDARY TO OUR WEST...IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE HOW IT
EVOLVES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE MORE POTENT
DISTURBANCE HEADS OUR WAY. MY GUESS IS THAT IT WILL RETREAT N...BUT
NOT MAKE IT AS FAR AS PREV GUID SUGGESTED. THE RESULT WOULD BE A
GREATER SVR WX RISK FURTHER S ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. AT
THIS TIME...GREATEST SVR RISK OVERNIGHT SEEMS TO BE THE I-20 CORRIDOR
AND POINTS SOUTH. THE HEAVIEST RAINS LOOK TO BE RIGHT TROUGH THE I-20
CORRIDOR WITHIN A TWO CO BUFFER EITHER SIDE OF I-20. 1-3 INCHES SEEM
REASONABLE...LOCALIZED HIGHER POSSIBLE. MORE DETAIL ON WHAT TYPE OF
SVR IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ALONG WITH THOUGHTS ON THE OTHER EVENTS.
/CME/

&&

.AVIATION...WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       70  57  78  64 /  84  98  31  80
MERIDIAN      71  57  77  63 / 100  99  37  80
VICKSBURG     69  58  80  66 /  81  94  29  79
HATTIESBURG   74  64  78  65 /  99  88  58  89
NATCHEZ       72  60  79  66 /  81  97  39  90
GREENVILLE    66  55  77  62 /  38  89  16  72
GREENWOOD     67  54  76  65 /  65  90  13  68

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
     FOR MSZ018-019-025>056-059-060.

LA...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
     FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.

AR...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
     FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

CME

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
644 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>060-261145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
644 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO LOCALLY THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH TONIGHT AND THIS RAISES CONCERNS FOR FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT STARTING TONIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE TWENTY CORRIDOR WHERE THE BEST
INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL RESIDE NEAR A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A SECOND ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IS LIKELY FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION.
ONCE AGAIN...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THEN...A MORE
POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE GATHERING OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION ON
FRIDAY AND PUSHING NORTHEAST WITH IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE...INSTABILITY
AND WIND SHEAR COMBINING ACROSS OUR REGION FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE
STORMS INCLUDING TORNADOES FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
AT THIS TIME THE GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE TWENTY..HOWEVER A SQUALL LINE SHOULD SWEEP EAST
ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. RESIDENTS SHOULD
STAY WEATHER ALERT FOR UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS STORM SYSTEM.

OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL BE
LOW FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
ON SATURDAY.

MSZ061>066-072>074-261145-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
644 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
BRINGING A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. THE
GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE THE
BEST INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL RESIDE NEAR A STALLED FRONTAL
ZONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A SECOND ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IS LIKELY FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION.
ONCE AGAIN...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THEN...A MORE
POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE GATHERING OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION ON
FRIDAY AND PUSHING NORTHEAST WITH IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE...INSTABILITY
AND WIND SHEAR COMBINING ACROSS OUR REGION FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE
STORMS INCLUDING TORNADOES FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
AT THIS TIME THE GREATEST RISK APPEARS TO BE FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE TWENTY...HOWEVER A SQUALL LINE SHOULD SWEEP EAST
ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER WILL BE
LOW FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED AT TIMES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
ON SATURDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
829 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

MSZ055-056-251410-
SMITH MS-SIMPSON MS-
829 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
35 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAGEE AT 827 AM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF
WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS. THE STORM WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN OVER RURAL SIMPSON AND SMITH COUNTIES.

THIS STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND SOUTHERN SMITH COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
925 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

MSZ063-064-072-251505-
MARION MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-
925 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TILTON AT 924 AM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 35 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS
AND IN LOW LYING AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES.
IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THIS STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND
NORTHERN MARION COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

7

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
946 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

MSZ051-052-251525-
NEWTON MS-LAUDERDALE MS-
946 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED OVER NEWTON AT 945 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING
AREAS.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER CAN BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS.

THIS STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN LAUDERDALE AND SOUTHERN NEWTON COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

7

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1028 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

MSZ057-058-251605-
CLARKE MS-JASPER MS-
1028 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF HEIDELBERG AT 1027 AM CDT...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS
AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN
BE EXPECTED.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

THIS STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN EAST CENTRAL JASPER AND CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

7

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1123 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

MSZ058-251700-
CLARKE MS-
1123 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF SYKES AT 1122 AM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

THIS STORM COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

7

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1130 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSE MERIDIAN          32.33N 88.68W
03/25/2009                   LAUDERDALE         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON A CHURCH AND ON A SWIMMING POOL

&&

GERARD