Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 202036
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
436 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

OHC033-202100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-090820T2100Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
436 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...

AT 435 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH ROBINSON...OR 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF BUCYRUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...RURAL
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8273 4071 8273 4070 8311 4089 8312
      4100 8284
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 226DEG 46KT 4086 8283

$$

MITCHELL

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 202059
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
459 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

OHC033-202109-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-090820T2100Z/
CRAWFORD OH-
459 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL OHIO EXPIRES AT 500 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4099 8273 4071 8273 4070 8311 4089 8312
      4100 8284
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 226DEG 46KT 4106 8253

$$

MITCHELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
250 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER INDIANA WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY AND BE FOLLOWED BY A TROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.  UPPER LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION SATURDAY THEN HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND STALL OVER
THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY/...
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR REMAIN ON TRACK FOR STRONG TO
LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AS THE WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA ACTING AS A LIFTING TRIGGER. THE SVR WATCH
IS OUT FOR THE WHOLE AREA UNTIL 10 PM.  A MUGGY NIGHT IS IN STORE AS
DEWPOINTS GENERALLY RUN CLOSE TO 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS SHOULD END WITH THE FIRST WIND SHIFT FRIDAY
MORNING.  BUT STRONG STORMS STILL POSSIBLE WITH DAYTIME HEATING AS
MOISTURE LINGERS DUE TO DIFFUSE NATURE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES AND
UPPER LEVEL COOLING AS THE UPPER TROUGH STARTS TO DIG INTO THE
INDIANA AREA.

BY FRIDAY NIGHT...BETTER CHANCE SHIFTS INTO THE EASTERN PART OF THE
AREA WITH MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY DISSIPATING BY THE END OF THE
EVENING. WITH THE UPPER TROUGH OVER OUR AREA SAT...DAYTIME HEATING
IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER SCT SHRA AND POSSIBLE TSRA WITH THE BETTER
CHANCE AGAIN IN THE EAST.  WILL KEEP SMALL CHANCE GOING SAT NIGHT
AND ON SUN IN THE EAST TO ACCOUNT FOR THE UPPER TROUGH AND LINGERING
MOISTURE.  ENOUGH SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD BUILD IN FOR SUN NIGHT TO
PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE SHOWER LEFTOVER IN THE FAR EAST DURING THE EVENING.

COOLER TEMPS SETTLE INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LONG TERM STARTS OFF WITH HIGH PRESSURE. ONE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO BE
CONCERNED WITH NEAR MID WEEK WITH A TROUGH MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN
LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND. FRONT MAY BE SLOW TO MOVE SINK SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE AREA WED INTO THU. CHANCE POPS FOR THIS FRONT WILL STILL
SUFFICE. RELATIVELY SMALL DIFFERENCES AMONGST MODELS FOR LONG TERM.
TEMPERATURES LOW/MID 80S PRECEDING THE FRONT...WITH UPPER 70S BEHIND.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SCATTERED CONVECTION TO START TO BREAK OUT ALONG MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES THIS AFTERNOON. MAIN AREAS WE ARE WATCHING IS
SOUTHEAST SITES AND NW SITES AT FIRST. ENTIRE AREA HAS
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH ABOUT 00Z ALONG WITH SPC SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE...WITH WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. VERY MOIST OUT
THERE AND ANY TS ACTIVITY WILL QUICKLY BRING VSBY/CIGS DOWN TO
MVFR/IFR FOR A TIME. GUSTS OUTSIDE OF TS TO CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING. THERE MAY BE A LULL IN TS ACTIVITY FOR SEVERAL HOURS
MID/LATE EVENING. SLOW COLD FRONT WILL WORK ACROSS WITH ENOUGH
UPPER SUPPORT FOR AN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM THREAT OVERNIGHT.
THIS FAR OUT WENT WITH PREDOMINATE SHRA AND CB. BKN CUMULUS FOR
FRIDAY.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT INTO SUN.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHWEST WINDS...GUSTY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALREADY POSTED AND I
WILL LEAVE IT IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS/WAVES
WILL CALM DOWN A BIT ON SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE REAL PUSH OF COLD AIR
ALOFT WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH WINDS/WAVES ONCE
AGAIN APPROACHING SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA. HIGH PRESSURE...LIGHT WINDS
AND WAVES WILL FINALLY RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR LEZ142>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ADAMS
NEAR TERM...ADAMS
SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM...OUDEMAN
AVIATION...OUDEMAN
MARINE...LEINS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
259 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-211900-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
259 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 721 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

LEZ061-211900-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
259 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.