Tornado Warning 44, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 280024
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
624 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

ALC001-047-063-065-091-105-280045-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-090228T0045Z/
MARENGO AL-DALLAS AL-AUTAUGA AL-PERRY AL-HALE AL-GREENE AL-
622 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...SOUTHERN HALE...SOUTHERN PERRY...WEST CENTRAL
AUTAUGA...NORTHERN DALLAS AND NORTHEASTERN MARENGO COUNTIES...

AT 621 PM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SUTTLE...OR ABOUT 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MARION...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  POTTER STATION BY 630 PM CST...
  SUMMERFIELD...SELMA UNIVERSITY...SELMA AND MEMORIAL STADIUM BY 635
  PM CST...
  VALLEY GRANDE...BARRETT CREEK AND EDMUND PETTUS BRIDGE BY 640 PM
  CST...
  BURNSVILLE BY 645 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...A SECOND STORM NEAR GALLIAN IS CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3261 8681 3228 8698 3230 8758 3243 8775
      3266 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 278DEG 39KT 3251 8721

$$

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 280036
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
636 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

ALC063-280046-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-090228T0045Z/
GREENE AL-
636 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3264 8758 3261 8681 3228 8698 3230 8758
      3243 8775
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 278DEG 39KT 3249 8703

$$

ALC001-047-065-091-105-280045-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-090228T0045Z/
MARENGO AL-DALLAS AL-AUTAUGA AL-PERRY AL-HALE AL-
636 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL HALE...SOUTHERN PERRY...WEST CENTRAL AUTAUGA...NORTHERN
DALLAS AND NORTHEASTERN MARENGO COUNTIES...

AT 634 PM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SUMMERFIELD...OR ABOUT NEAR
VALLEY GRANDE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  8 MILES SOUTH OF VALLEY CREEK JUNCTION AND 8 MILES NORTH OF SELMA
  DRAG STRIP BY 640 PM CST...
  BURNSVILLE BY 645 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A 
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE 
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3264 8758 3261 8681 3228 8698 3230 8758
      3243 8775
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 278DEG 39KT 3249 8703

$$

JA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
551 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS PARKED FROM SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
THROUGH NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. AN EXTENDED LINE OF HEAVY RAINFALL
HAS SET UP NEAR THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...WITH THE STRONGER
CONVECTION PUSHING INTO WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA. MANY LOCATIONS HAVE
RECEIVED A COUPLE INCHES OF RAIN THUS FAR WITH ADDITIONAL INCHES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING.

AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH INTERSTATE 20 HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING. THIS INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

TOWARD SUNSET..THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT A LOW
PRESSURE SURFACE WAVE WILL SHIFT FROM WEST MISSISSIPPI AND INTO
WEST ALABAMA. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE AND GREAT MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE WILL BE POSITIONED FROM NEAR INTERSTATE 20 NORTHWARD.
THE THREAT OF FLOODING RAIN WILL INCREASE IN THESE AREAS
ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

EVENTUALLY...A KICKER LOW WILL BEGIN TO PUSH EVERYTHING TO THE
SOUTHEAST WITH THE HEAVIER RAINFALL TOTALS REACHING MGM AND TOI
EARLY MORNING.

OVERALL...A PROLONGED TIME FRAME WHERE HAZARDOUS WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED. REMAIN ALERT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND TAKE ACTION
IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

THIS PERIODS WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW
FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE MODELS ARE ALL IN AGREEMENT TODAY ON THE
TRACK OF THIS FEATURE PASSING OVER THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY...THEY ALL AGREE ON FAIRLY DEEP
MOISTURE AND ENOUGH QPF TO WARRANT A THREAT OF MEASURABLE SNOW
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. MAIN QUESTION IS THE QPF. I'M PRETTY
CONFIDENT THAT IT IS GOING TO SNOW BUT GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WARM AND THE INITIAL SNOWFALL SHOULD MELT. HOWEVER...THIS EVENT
COULD LAST UP TO 6 HOURS FOR SOME LOCATIONS AND EVENTUALLY
ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHERN COUNTIES.

DUE TO THE WIDE RANGING QPF FORECASTS BY GUIDANCE...WILL KEEP SNOW
TOTALS AROUND 1 INCH BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A HIGHER
TOTAL AND A WATCH OR WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY
MORNING. NEEDLESS TO SAY SUNDAY WILL BE COLD AND BREEZY.

BEYOND SUNDAY...LOOK FOR FOR A MODEST WARM UP ON MONDAY WITH ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

EXPECT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT ALL TAF SITES TONIGHT
AT SOME POINT OR ANOTHER. HANDLED THE TIMING WITH A TEMPO GROUP AS
THE HEAVIEST THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 4
TO 5 HOURS. COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE A LITTLE AFTER 06Z AND
THUS CHANGED THE FORECAST FROM PREVAILING TO VICINITY. IN
ALL...EXPECT VERY POOR CONDITIONS TONIGHT DUE TO MOSTLY LOW
CEILINGS. VISIBILITIES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DROP AS LOW TO THE
SUSTAINED WINDS OVERNIGHT.

EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO OCCUR DURING THE DAY TOMORROW AS A SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO APPROACH THE AREA. WINDS WILL ALSO
BEGIN TO PICK UP AND BECOME GUSTY.

NO SNOW YET IN THE FORECAST. IT IS STILL MORE THAN 24 HOURS AWAY.
WILL PROBABLY BEGIN TO INCLUDE EITHER IN THE 06Z OR 12Z FORECAST.

10/ARM

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH 6 PM.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY FOR MARION-
LAMAR- FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE- PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY- RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB- HILTON-COOSA-
TALLAPOOSA- CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-ELMORE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
515 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

ALZ011>015-017>050-281230-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
515 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING...SCATTERED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...AND HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF GOLFBALLS...IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA.  ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL OCCUR AREA WIDE...THROUGH
MIDNIGHT THE GREATEST THREAT OF STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL...
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES...WILL OCCUR ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
RAIN...GENERALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  BY MIDNIGHT...THE SEVERE
STORM POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHWARD TO WITHIN 50 MILES
EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 20...AND CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...
LASTING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREATS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 AND
HIGHWAY 80 WILL HAVE THE BEST ENVIRONMENT FOR THE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. AN INCREASED THREAT NORTHWARD WILL BE SOLELY DEPENDANT
ON THE POSITION OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.

ON SATURDAY...THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT AND THE
LIKELIHOOD THAT AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITH SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE COLD ON
SATURDAY AND STRONG NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. A FEW WIND GUSTS OF 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOME MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE AS
THE COLD AIR FILTERS IN. THEREFORE...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
MEASURABLE SNOW THROUGH NOON ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL BE
NECESSARY THROUGH SATURDAY AT NOON.

STEFKOVICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
525 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             3 S PLECHER             32.66N 86.79W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       AUTAUGA            AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ON HIGHWAY 82 AT THE CHILTON AND AUTAUGA COUNTY LINES.

&&

MBAER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
534 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             3 N BILLINGSLEY         32.70N 86.71W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       AUTAUGA            AL   AMATEUR RADIO

            NEAR THE TANASCA POWER PLANT.

&&

SUNGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
536 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FLOOD            TUSCALOOSA              33.24N 87.54W
02/27/2009                   TUSCALOOSA         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PARKER ROAD AT SPRING HILL CHURCH ROAD CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

SUNGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
544 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     HAIL             4 N LIVINGSTON          32.66N 88.19W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       SUMTER             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EXIT 20 ON INTERSTATE 20

&&

MBAER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
553 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     FLOOD            SAGINAW                 33.22N 86.79W
02/27/2009                   SHELBY             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER THE ROAD AT 665 HWY 31.

&&

SUNGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
602 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             6 E NEW PROSPECT        32.67N 86.44W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       AUTAUGA            AL   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SUNGER