Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Birmingham, AL

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
222 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

.DISCUSSION...

ONCE AGAIN...BUSY WITH WEATHER...SO I WILL BE BRIEF.

ANOTHER DAY...SAME FORECAST...AS YET ANOTHER VORT MAX AND JET MAX
ENTER NORTHWEST ALABAMA THIS MORNING AND WILL FOCUS STORMS...THE
STRONGEST THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS...STRONG WITH A GOOD MIX OF
SEVERE WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE FOCUSING
MECHANISM DRIFTS FURTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. LOOK FOR MUCH OF THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS OVERNIGHT
PERIODS...FOR THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO LAST WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

INTO THURSDAY...WE WILL ONCE AGAIN DEAL WITH ACTIVE WEATHER...AS
WEDNESDAYS SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY WILL ONCE AGAIN TRIGGER MAINLY
AFTERNOON STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA.
ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE CARDS AS SHEAR
VECTORS AND LAPSE RATES REMAIN RATHER LARGE...AGAIN THOUGH...THINKING
THE BEST CHANCES WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO MOVE FURTHER SOUTH AS THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING PROGRESSES. WE WILL HOPEFULLY BEGIN SEEING
OUR FIRST BREAK IN THE ACTION BY LATE THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY INTO
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD ON FRIDAY MORNING.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE WEEKEND...WE MAY CATCH A BIT OF A
REST AS THE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEEM TO BE A BIT
MORE ON THE DISORGANIZED SIDE...ESPECIALLY IN TERMS OF SEVERE
WEATHER. HOWEVER...EXPECT TO SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT
EACH DAY...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

BEYOND THE WEEKEND...IT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER SAGGING FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE STATE...SO GET READY FOR ANOTHER FEW DAYS OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. I DONT SEE
A LOT OF UPPER LEVEL DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE OUTBREAK
TYPE WEATHER...BUT CERTAINLY ANY VORT OR JET MAX WILL BRING THE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THREAT ONCE AGAIN TO CENTRAL
ALABAMA...TYPICAL MONTH OF MAY PATTERN.

17/KLAWS

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

LOOK FOR WARM FRONT TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
MODELS DE-STABILIZE MUCH OF THE AREA AFTER 09Z AND EXPECT ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.  THEY WILL BECOME SCATTERED
AFTER 15Z AND NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD AFTER 18Z. CEILINGS THROUGH 10Z
MAINLY 3000 TO 5000 WITH SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AFTER 08Z.
CEILINGS 2000 TO 3000 FEET AFTER 08Z WITH TEMPORARY CEILINGS 1000 TO
2000 FEET IN AND NEAR STORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     80  62  85  65  86 / 100  60  20  10  30
ANNISTON    81  62  84  64  86 / 100  70  20  10  20
BIRMINGHAM  79  62  85  66  87 / 100  70  20  10  20
TUSCALOOSA  83  64  88  67  90 / 100  70  20  10  20
CALERA      81  63  85  66  87 /  90  70  20  10  20
AUBURN      83  62  83  64  86 /  80  60  30  10  10
MONTGOMERY  87  66  86  67  90 /  70  60  30  10  10
TROY        86  65  85  66  88 /  70  40  40  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

17/50

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
237 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

ALZ012-060815-
LAMAR-
237 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LAMAR COUNTY UNTIL 315 AM CDT...

AT 233 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES EAST OF ABERDEEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  STAR.
  BEDFORD.
  VERNON.
  SULLIGENT.
  CREWS.
  BEAVERTON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
310 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

ALZ011-012-060845-
LAMAR-MARION-
310 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LAMAR AND MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 345
AM CDT...

AT 310 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR CREWS...OR NEAR SULLIGENT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  PINE SPRINGS.
  HENSON SPRINGS.
  PIKEVILLE.
  GU-WIN.
  PEA RIDGE.
  PEARCES MILL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
351 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

ALZ011-014-015-060915-
MARION-WALKER-WINSTON-
351 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR MARION...WALKER AND WINSTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

AT 351 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR BRILLIANT...OR NEAR WINFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  WINFIELD.
  BRILLIANT.
  PINEY GROVE.
  LAKE BUTTAHATCHEE.
  NATURAL BRIDGE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.