Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2009
Storm Warning 49, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 22, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 22, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 24, 2009, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAJK 221230 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-230300- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N TO NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF AND SE ALASKA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. $$ PKZ041-230300- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-230300- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-230300- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-230300- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-230300- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$
7 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAJK 230025 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-231400- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N TO NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF AND SE ALASKA TONIGHT AND MONDAY. $$ PKZ041-231400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-231400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ043-231400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .MON...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-231400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ052-231400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SUN NOV 22 2009 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 231230 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-240300- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW JUST E OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA BY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN CONTINUE N AND DISSIPATE BY EARLY TUE. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF AND SE ALASKA TODAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TUE NIGHT AND WED. $$ PKZ041-240300- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-240300- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-240300- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-240300- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ052-240300- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 231914 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1015 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-240300- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW JUST E OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA BY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN CONTINUE N AND DISSIPATE BY EARLY TUE. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF AND SE ALASKA TODAY. ANOTHER STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TUE NIGHT AND WED. $$ PKZ041-240300- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1015 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ042-240300- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1015 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-240300- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-240300- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ052-240300- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 240048 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-241400- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL TRACK NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF ON TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED STORM FORCE LOW WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-241400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ042-241400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ043-241400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ051-241400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ052-241400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 240315 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 615 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-241400- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL TRACK NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF ON TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED STORM FORCE LOW WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-241400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 615 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ042-241400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 615 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. $$ PKZ043-241400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 615 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. $$ PKZ051-241400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$ PKZ052-241400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 23 2009 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 241230 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-250300- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL TRACK N OVER THE EASTERN GULF TODAY...THEN INTO SE ALASKA TONIGHT BUT DISSIPATE BY LATE TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG LOW WILL MOVE NE TO EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY BUT SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD. $$ PKZ041-250300- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 FT. $$ PKZ042-250300- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT BY AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS TO 21 FT. .SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 31 FT. $$ PKZ043-250300- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS TO 21 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 32 FT. $$ PKZ051-250300- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS TO 20 FT. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 32 FT. $$ PKZ052-250300- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 30 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAJK 250020 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-251400- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 966 MB STORM FORCE LOW WILL TRACK INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OVERNIGHT AND THEN NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE CENTRAL OUTER COAST ON WEDNESDAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING. A SECOND LOW WILL FORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OVERNIGHT AND TRACK NORTH TOWARDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. $$ PKZ041-251400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ042-251400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ043-251400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ051-251400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT. .SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ052-251400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST TUE NOV 24 2009 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 21, 2:32 PM AKST, 13 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 21, 2:32 PM AKST, 13 hours 28 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
232 PM AKST SAT NOV 21 2009
.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE IMAGES THIS MORNING SHOW A 983 MB LOW
SPINNING IN THE CENTRAL GULF. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT IS CURRENTLY
MAKING LAND FALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OUTER COAST. THE
PRECIP BAND, THAT WAS SEEN ON PACG RADAR THIS MORNING, WITH THE
FRONT IS RELATIVELY NARROW. THE PRECIP HAS JUST REACHED JUNEAU
AND GUSTAVUS, BUT THE BACK EDGE OF THE BAND HAS ALREADY REACHED
SITKA. MORE CONVECTIVE PRECIP IS IN THE CARDS FOR SITKA FOR THE
REST OF TODAY. PRECIP TYPE SO FAR HAS BEEN ALL SNOW NORTH OF A
LINE FROM KAKE TO PERL STRAIT WITH A MIX TO ALL RAIN SOUTH.
EXCEPT FOR HYDER WHERE IT HAS BEEN SWITCHING BACK AND FORTH FROM
SNOW TO RAIN AND BACK AGAIN MOST OF THE MORNING.
HIGHEST WINDS TODAY HAVE BEEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE E-W INNER
CHANNELS, CLARENCE STRAIT AND THE COASTAL WATERS. MOSTLY IN THE
REALM OF SCA WINDS WITH SOME LOCALIZED HIGHER GUSTS.
WINDS AND PRECIP WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT AS THE
LOW AND THE FRONT WEAKEN AND BREAK APART. THE LOW WILL NOT EVEN
MAKE IT TO SHORE BEFORE IT WEAKENS AWAY TO NOTHING JUST OFF THE
CENTRAL OUTER COAST. EXPECT THAT THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE RATHER
QUICKLY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT SO NO ADVISORY
LEVEL SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED WHERE SNOW DOES FALL.
FOR TOMORROW, NORTHERN AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY. STILL KEEP
A CHANCE OF PRECIP FOR SOUTHERN AREAS AS A WEAK TROUGH IS STILL
PRESENT OVER THE SOUTH AND EXTENDS INTO THE NE GULF. IT WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THE FRONTAL BANDS
FROM OUR NEXT SYSTEM START MAKING THEIR WAY ACROSS THE GULF.
FORECAST TODAY WAS UPDATED WITH THE GFS WITH A BIT OF THE EC
BLENDED IN FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GFS LOOKED TO HAVE THE BEST
PLACEMENT OF THE LOW IN THE GULF WHILE THE OTHER MODELS PLACED IT
A BIT TOO FAR SOUTH AND WEST. IT ALSO SEEMED TO HAVE A GOOD GRASP
OF UPPER LEVEL FEATURES AS WELL. HOWEVER, THE EC APPEARED TO HAVE
A BETTER GRASP ON THE SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY NIGHT, SO ELECTED TO
START BLENDING IN MORE EC TOWARD THE HANDOFF WITH THE LONG TERM
DESK. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE TODAY SINCE
MODEL CONSENSUS IS GOOD FOR THE CURRENT SYSTEM, BUT MOST OF THE
MODELS DO NOT QUITE COMPLETELY CAPTURE WHAT IS CURRENTLY GOING
ON. AS SUCH SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS START
APPEARING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
.LONG TERM...THE FORECAST MODELS THIS AFTERNOON ARE IN FAIR
AGREEMENT WITH A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE
GULF WITH ASSOCIATED WEATHER FROM LIFTING OVER THE PANHANDLE. THE
SUBTROPICAL JET WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH AND DRIFT DEVELOPING LOWS
INTO THE GULF AND SEND IN WARMER TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEK. WHERE
CHANGES WERE MADE USED THE 12Z EC THROUGH TUE NIGHT THEN BLENDED
THE CURRENT FORECAST WITH HPC. THE REASON FOR THIS WAS THAT THE EC
HAS BEEN CONSISTENT THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS AND THE THE 12Z RUN
KEPT A LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF IN WED AND THIS FIT WELL WITH
THE ENSEMBLES. THE GFS WAS LIFTING THIS SYSTEM NORTH INTO THE NW
GULF MUCH FASTER AND WAS NOT PREFERRED. OTHER WISE THE THERE WAS
MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE OPERATIONAL EC/NAFES AND THE EC
ENSEMBLE SO WITH THAT SAID FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS FAIR TO GOOD.
AT THE START OF THE LONG RANGE PERIOD A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH
GOOD UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL LIFT OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC SUN
NIGHT AND INTO THE WEST/CENTRAL GULF BY MON AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT SE AK SUN NIGHT WITH
SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS DUE TO OVERRUNNING WHILE THE
COASTAL AND SOUTHERN INSIDE AREAS WILL SEE RAIN AND WINDY
CONDITIONS. THE FORECAST PROBLEM WITH THIS SYSTEM IS WHEN THE
PRECIP WILL START AND THE SNOW CHANGE TO RAIN. AS THERE WILL BE STRONG
EASTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE BUT ALOFT THE FLOW WILL BE FROM THE
SE. ATTM THE NORTH-CENTRAL INSIDE AREAS WILL SEE POSSIBLE SNOW
ADVY AMOUNTS LATE SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH AND THE PRECIP TURNS TO RAIN. FURTHER NORTH NEAR
PAHN AMOUNTS MAY BE MUCH LARGER WITH AMOUNTS ABOVE HEAVY SNOW
WARNING CRITERIA AND POSSIBLE 2 FT NEAR THE BORDER ALONG THE
HAINES HIGHWAY AND NEAR WHITE PASS. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE ON THIS SITUATION.
AS FOR WINDS WITH THE FRONT...GALES FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
E/W CHANNELS WITH MIN SMALL CRAFT FROM THE NORTH AS THE FRONT
APPROACHES BUT CHANGE TO THE SOUTH THROUGH MON. OVER THE GULF
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AS A BARRIER
JET WILL FORM SUN NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO MON AFTERNOON. THE REST
OF THE GULF WILL SEE MAX GALE FORCE WINDS BEFORE DIMINISHING TO SW
25KT MON AFTERNOON. OVER LAND THE COASTAL AREAS WILL SEE THE WINDS
INCREASE TO WIND ADVY LEVELS THROUGH SUN NIGHT AS A 70KT LLJ
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA BUT THE WINDS
WILL QUICKLY DECREASE BY MON AFTERNOON BUT THE WINDS OVER THE FAR
NORTHERN AREAS WILL INCREASE AS A RIDGE WILL BUILD BEHIND THE
FRONT.
THERE WILL BE 3/4 MORE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS THAT WILL MOVE OVER
THE PANHANDLE THE WEEK BRING IN SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS SO MOST OF
THE PRECIP WILL FALL AS RAIN BUT THERE MAY BE TIMES OF SOME SNOW
MIXED IN AS FREEZING LEVELS WILL NOT GET ABOVE 3500 FEET. A VERY
STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE FROM THE SOUTH AS THE
ASSOCIATED IN THE NORTH PACIFIC SLOWLY LIFTS NORTH THROUGH WED.
THIS WILL BRING IN LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN TO THE AREA AND RAISE THE
FREEZING LEVEL TO ABOUT 3500 FEET. AS THAT LOW LIFTS INTO CANADA
THURS ANOTHER FRONT WILL BE RIGHT BEHIND IT AND MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN GULF LATE THURSDAY AND OVER THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-032>036-041-043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ042.
&&
EAL/ABJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 5 days | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 days | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 5 days | |
| Nov 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 22, 4:44 AM AKST | Wind Advisory | AJK | 28 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.