High Wind Warning 6, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 250649
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

AKZ027-251400-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-091025T1400Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY. 

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
THE GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO AROUND 60 MPH BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH BY SUNRISE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKDT SUN OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ026-251400-
/X.EXA.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.091025T1100Z-091025T2300Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA FROM THE WEST. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
AROUND 45 MPH BY 3 AM SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-251400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.091025T0800Z-091025T2000Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT SUNDAY. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-251400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.091025T0800Z-091025T2300Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PANHANDLE FROM THE WEST. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-251400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.091025T1100Z-091025T2000Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO NOON AKDT
SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO NOON AKDT SUNDAY. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA FROM THE SOUTH. EAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH BY
3 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ029-251400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.091025T1100Z-091025T2300Z/
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
1049 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKDT
SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA FROM THE WEST. EAST
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND
45 MPH BY 3 AM SUNDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 251258
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
458 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

AKZ027-251400-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-091025T1400Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
458 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
THE NEXT HOUR. GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF
THE MORNING AND DIMINISH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF LIFTS NORTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKDT SUN OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-023-026-252100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-091026T0000Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...
PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
458 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. SOUTHEAST WINDS
20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-029-252100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-091025T2100Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
458 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BURST
OF STRONG WINDS TONIGHT AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 251342
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
542 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

AKZ027-252100-
/X.EXP.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-091025T1400Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.091025T1400Z-091025T2100Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
542 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM AKDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM AKDT EARLY THIS MORNING. 

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. SOUTHEAST WINDS 20
TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER
BURST OF STRONG WINDS TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ022-023-026-252100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-091026T0000Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...
PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
542 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. SOUTHEAST WINDS
20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-029-252100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-091025T2100Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
542 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE WINDS
WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER
BURST OF STRONG WINDS TONIGHT AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1258 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2009

.SHORT TERM...EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS A DRIFTING
LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WITH ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION MOVING
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. A TRIPLE POINT OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
PASSING OVER CAPE SPENCER AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
ARE OCCURRING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. A RIDGE
DRIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS COAST MOUNTAIN PRODUCES BREEZY TO
LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS. THE
INTENSITY OF THE LOW APPEARS TOO WEAK TO PRODUCE ADVISORY LEVEL
WIND GUSTS FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. THE PROXIMITY AND TRACKING OF THE LOW ALSO
APPEAR NOT TO LEAD ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS. THUS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR ZONES 17...22 AND 23.

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW NEAR MIDDLETON
ISLAND THIS EVENING CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND INLAND BY
EARLY TONIGHT. ANOTHER LOW IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY QUICKLY AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE GULF TONIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH
THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE FORECAST DOMAIN LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
TIGHTENING EAST-WEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ADVISORY LEVEL
WIND GUSTS BEGINNING OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS TONIGHT AND
SPREAD NORTH TO COVER THE CENTRAL COASTAL SECTIONS THROUGH MIDDAY
SUNDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WITH ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS AND INNER CHANNELS WITH OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SMALL CRAFT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE INNER CHANNELS.

.LONG TERM...PROGRESSIVE HI AMPLITUDE PATTERN DEPICTED IN GLOBAL
MODELS FOR LONG RANGE. THIS MEANS TRANSITIONS FROM TROUGH TO RIDGE
TO TROUGH NEXT WEEK. TIMING OF THE TRANSITIONS HAS BEEN
INCONSISTENT BETWEEN MODELS PAST FEW DAYS. THE MOST BASIC EFFECT
BY OPERATIONAL GFS IS WET START TO WEEK THEN H5 RIDGING OVER GULF
STARTING ABOUT THUR AND INCREASING COOL/DRY OFFSHORE FLOW. THE GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN PROGRESSES SAME UPPER RIDGE INLAND TO ROCKIES BY FRI
AND MORE WET SW FLOW INTO PANHANDLE. ENSEMBLE CONFIDENCE /RMOP/ IS
HIGHEST WITH TROUGHING OVER SW CONUS RIDGING NW US/CANADA AND N
PAC TROFS OF ALEUTIANS. PREVIOUS FCSTS LEANING MORE TO GFS DUE TO
LESS RUN TO RUN VARIATION. WILL KEEP SCREAMING MESSAGE AT START OF
EXTENDED RANGE TO BE WET SUN NIGHT TURNING TO SHOWERS MONDAY.
PROBABLE SCA WINDS FROM RISING PRESSURE TENDENCY.

WITH THE 12Z ECMWF AND GFS COMING MORE INTO LINE WITH ONE ANOTHER
DID START THE TREND OF DRIER/COOLER WEATHER IN THE GRIDS DAY 5 ONWARD
TOWARD A SOLUTION MORE CONSISTENT WITH HPC GUIDANCE. WHILE
OFFSHORE FLOW AND DRIER WEATHER DOES LOOK MORE LIKELY NEAR THE END
OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND THE SOURCE REGION FOR THE COLDER
AIR REMAINS RATHER WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AS TEMPERATURES
ACROSS INTERIOR ALASKA HAVE NOT COOLED TO NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL
NORMS. THEREFORE DID NOT COOL TEMPERATURES BUT A FEW DEGREES IN
EXTENDED AS OF YET. OTHERWISE CHANGES TO THE GRIDS IN THE EXTENDED
WERE MADE TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE TO INCREASE THE OFFSHORE FLOW DAY 5 ONWARD.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO NOON AKDT SUNDAY FOR AKZ022.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON AKDT SUNDAY FOR
     AKZ023.
         WIND ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKDT SUNDAY FOR AKZ029.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-033>036-041>043-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031-032.

&&

AHN/TA/PSS