Storm Warning 250, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 290021
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 968 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE ONSHORE 90 NM
WEST OF YAKUTAT SUN MORNING. A 994 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR MONTAGUE
ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON AND WILL DISSIPATE SUNDAY NIGHT. A STRONG
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF MONDAY.

$$

PKZ120-291500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 50
KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-291500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-291500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-291500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-291500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-291500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-291500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT EXCEPT N WIND 20 KT
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
6 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-291500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER TROUGH OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE GULF OF
ALASKA CONTINUES TO SWING NORTH TOWARD THE MAINLAND. AN UPPER RIDGE
OVER WESTERN CANADA CONTINUES TO DRIFT EAST.
AT THE SURFACE...A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY HAS DEPOSITED AREAS OF SNOW OVER SOUTHERN
ALASKA. A TROUGH EXTENDS WEST OF THE LOW COMPLEX INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING. ANOTHER LOW 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS
HEADING TOWARD THE GULF.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL ARE INTO GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE MAJOR STORM
SYSTEMS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND THE GULF...THE COMPLEX LOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA
WILL SPREAD INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS EVENING THEN DISSIPATE
TONIGHT. AREAS OF SNOW OVER NORTHERN KENAI PENINSULA...ANCHORAGE AND
THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL BECOME SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING. THE NEW
STORM SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF SATURDAY
THEN WILL WEAKEN OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GALE
TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TONIGHT AND SPREAD TO
THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
AS THE LOW BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND SUNDAY MORNING. THE RAIN AND SNOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT AND
SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO SHOWERS SUNDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF SNOW MAINLY NORTH OF KING SALMON WILL END THIS
EVENING. A STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL
BRING COLD DRY AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A NEW BERING
SEA STORM WILL MOVE A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING LATE
SUNDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA
SUNDAY.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...A NEW STORM DEVELOPING EAST OF JAPAN WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE INTO THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY EVENING AND WILL
LIE ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING, THE PRIBILOFS AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND THE
STORM SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST
CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE BERING SEA STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING BY TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SWING
NORTHEAST TO LIE ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND KODIAK ISLAND MONDAY THEN
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE GULF TUESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM...120 170 172 175 176 179
         GALE...130 132 150 160 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

NM NOV 09