Storm Warning 208, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 290021
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-291500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 968 MB LOW NEAR 57N 145W WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR 60N 142W SUN
MORNING. A 994 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR 60N 148W SUN AFTERNOON AND
WILL DISSIPATE SUNDAY NIGHT. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN GULF MONDAY.

$$

PKZ351-291500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-291500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW TO NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT.

.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.

.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKST FRI NOV 27 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER TROUGH OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE GULF OF
ALASKA CONTINUES TO SWING NORTH TOWARD THE MAINLAND. AN UPPER RIDGE
OVER WESTERN CANADA CONTINUES TO DRIFT EAST.
AT THE SURFACE...A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY HAS DEPOSITED AREAS OF SNOW OVER SOUTHERN
ALASKA. A TROUGH EXTENDS WEST OF THE LOW COMPLEX INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING. ANOTHER LOW 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS
HEADING TOWARD THE GULF.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL ARE INTO GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE MAJOR STORM
SYSTEMS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND THE GULF...THE COMPLEX LOW OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA
WILL SPREAD INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS EVENING THEN DISSIPATE
TONIGHT. AREAS OF SNOW OVER NORTHERN KENAI PENINSULA...ANCHORAGE AND
THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL BECOME SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING. THE NEW
STORM SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF SATURDAY
THEN WILL WEAKEN OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GALE
TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF TONIGHT AND SPREAD TO
THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
AS THE LOW BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND SUNDAY MORNING. THE RAIN AND SNOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT AND
SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO SHOWERS SUNDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING. AREAS OF SNOW MAINLY NORTH OF KING SALMON WILL END THIS
EVENING. A STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL
BRING COLD DRY AIR INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A NEW BERING
SEA STORM WILL MOVE A WEATHER FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING LATE
SUNDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE ALASKA PENINSULA
SUNDAY.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...A NEW STORM DEVELOPING EAST OF JAPAN WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SATURDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE INTO THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY EVENING AND WILL
LIE ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING, THE PRIBILOFS AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AROUND THE
STORM SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN SUNDAY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST
CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE BERING SEA STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING BY TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SWING
NORTHEAST TO LIE ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND KODIAK ISLAND MONDAY THEN
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE GULF TUESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM...120 170 172 175 176 179
         GALE...130 132 150 160 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

NM NOV 09