Gale Warning 53, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 090027 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 160

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091500-
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 977 MB WILL
WEAKEN TO 979 MB 160 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND BY FRI MORNING. FRI
AFTERNOON THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO 989 MB 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT...AND DISSIPATE WHILE MOVING INLAND 100 NM NORTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT SAT NIGHT. ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW AT 988 MB WILL BE 80 NM
SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-091500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-091500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-091500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-091500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-091500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-091500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

263 
FZAK52 PAFC 091250
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100300-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WEAKENS TO 1000 MB AS IT MOVES TO
80 NM EAST OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-100300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-100300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-100300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-100300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-100300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-100300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 9 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AKST THU JAN 8 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS ARE REASONABLE. FORECAST
TRENDS THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. MODELS DIVERGE
BEYOND THIS POINT WITH SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES SOUTH OF THE BERING
SEA AND LOW APPROACHING THE GULF OF ALASKA. EAST...HIGHER RESOLUTION
NAM WILL BE USED IN SHORT TERM...GFS TIMING OF FRONTAL TROUGH INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA LOOKS BETTER. OUT WEST...GFS/ECMWF BLEND LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST CHOICE. IN ALL...ADJUSTMENTS WILL ONLY BE MADE THROUGH
SUN AFTERNOON DUE TO MODEL CONSISTENCY ISSUES.

.UPPER LEVELS...BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS/AK PEN MAINTAINS GENERAL POSITION THROUGH SAT. SHORT
WAVE SOUTH OF THE AK PEN MOVES OVER THE NE GULF OF ALASKA FRI
AFTERNOON THEN WEAKENS AS IT MOVES ACROSS CANADA. THE RIDGE TENDS TO
BUILD OVER THE MAINLAND ON SUN AS SW FLOW INCREASES OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.EAST...970S LOW CENTER SSE OF KODIAK WILL REACH MAXIMUM INTENSITY
THIS EVENING THE WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR YAKUTAT FRI AFTERNOON.
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH ELONGATES EAST UNDER STRONG SW FLOW ALOFT.
EXPECT THE MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION TO HEAD INTO SE ALASKA.
HOWEVER...SOME WARP AROUND MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO KODIAK TODAY AND
THE NORTH GULF TONIGHT. SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION BAND SHIFT EAST FRI
WITH LOW CENTER. STRONG WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE GULF WILL SUBSIDE ON
FRI AS LOW CENTER AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH MOVE EAST. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF KODIAK ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A COMBINATION OF STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND
FRESH SNOW. WEAK WARM ADVECTION SHOULD PROVIDE SOME RELIEF TO COLD
TEMPS IN SOUTHCENTRAL INTO THE WEEKEND...MORE SIGNIFICANT WARMING
POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...BRISK OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT
THEN DIMINISHES FRI AS GULF LOW MOVES EAST AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS
RELAX. WINDS COMBINED WITH COLD TEMPS LIKELY TO HOLD WIND CHILL
ADVISORIES OVER 155 AND POSSIBLY 161 THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
INCREASE AGAIN ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND SOUTHWEST COASTAL AREAS SAT AND
SAT NIGHT AS NEXT LOW CENTER MOVES SOUTH OF THE AK PEN. WIND CHILLS
PROBABLY WILL NOT BE A BIG CONCERN AS WARMING LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM. THE GFS APPEARS TO BE TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH THE INTENSITY OF
THIS LOW AND NORTH MOVEMENT. THE ECMWF APPEARS TO HAVE A BETTER
HANDLE WITH A FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION AND SOMEWHAT WEAKER.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...GENERAL NORTH TO NE WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE
OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AK PEN FRI NIGHT AND SAT AS NEXT LOW
CENTER MOVES SOUTH OF THE AK PEN SAT AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...CONFIDENCE FOR SPECIFICS REMAINS LOW BEYOND
THIS WEEKEND. NATIONAL AND MODEL GUIDANCE ARE STILL HOLDING ONTO
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EAST BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WHICH SIGNALS A WARMING TREND FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AND A COOLING TREND
FOR SOUTHWEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 130 138 140 132 155 170 179 351 352 412
                        413
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...121 130 138 140 141 150 160 165 179 185 411
                       412 413 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JAN 09