Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WWUS55 KTWC 140418
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
918 PM MST WED AUG 13 2008

AZC021-140427-
/O.EXP.KTWC.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-080814T0415Z/
PINAL AZ-
917 PM MST WED AUG 13 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

AT 915 PM MST THE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY HAD 
DIMINISHED TO BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG WITH 
SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS 
AS THEY MOVE WESTWARD TOWARD CENTRAL PORTIONS OF PINAL COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3282 11046 3271 11093 3306 11106 3310 11085
      3301 11079 3300 11076 3305 11071 3307 11072
      3315 11064 3316 11061 3314 11059 3317 11056
      3319 11045
TIME...MOT...LOC 0336Z 059DEG 13KT 3295 11073

$$

MEYER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
243 PM MST WED AUG 13 2008

.SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AROUND TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY BEFORE BECOMING ISOLATED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CLOUD COVER OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THIS MORNING WAS
SLOW TO DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS HAS CUT DOWN POTENTIAL
HEATING ACROSS THE AREA. WHERE THERE HAS BEEN SUN...ESPECIALLY NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER...STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AND
ARE SLOWLY PUSHING NORTH. REGIONAL SOUNDINGS THIS MORNING AND GOES
PW INDICATED THAT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE BETWEEN 1.50 AND 2
ACROSS THE AREA...WETTEST WEST OF TUCSON. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BETWEEN UPPER LOW OFF BAJA SPUR AND
UPPER HIGH IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO. THIS PLACES UPPER DIFFLUENCE AREA
OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA. WITHIN IN THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE
PIECES OF ENERGY THAT MIGHT ENHANCE ACTIVITY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
ACCORDING TO WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON...ONE APPEARS TO BE
MOVING OVER CENTRAL BAJA. INCREASED POPS A BIT THIS EVENING AND
INCLUDED HEAVY SHOWERS WITH A FEW STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OVER
AN INCH OF RAIN.

ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHAT HAPPENS THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. SO WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS
THE AREA.

QUASI-STATIONARY LOW OVER SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN WILL MOVE THROUGH
EASTERN MONTANA THURSDAY...WYOMING FRIDAY AND BE IN COLORADO ON
SATURDAY. UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY/BUILD NORTH INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING THE ABOVE TIME FRAME WITH MOISTURE VALUES ACROSS
THE AREA GRADUALLY LOWERING EACH DAY. HOWEVER STILL ENOUGH AROUND
FOR SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS THIS WEEKEND. BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK...THIS UPPER LOW WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD. STILL ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND TO KEEP
SLIGHT CHANCE WORDING EACH DAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL WITH THE USUAL DAY 2 DAY
FLUCTUATIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS EVENING THEN
START TO WIND DOWN OVERNIGHT. LIGHT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS OF 5-15
KTS EXPECTED...EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON