Severe Thunderstorm Warning 518, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...AFTER 8 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A DRY LINE
LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT MAINLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH THIS EVENING
AS THEY MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM STRUCTURES
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WIND. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT LOCATED ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AT 5 PM WILL MOVE EAST INTO
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING. A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE
MAIN THREAT WITH THE SQUALL LINE THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND A LOW
TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL EXIST WITH THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO EXIT NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS DRIER AIR SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION FROM
THE WEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

FAIR WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

69

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
741 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

OKZ060-064-066-060215-
CREEK OK-OKMULGEE OK-TULSA OK-
741 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 815 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN OKMULGEE...EASTERN CREEK AND TULSA

AT 741 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG CLUSTER OF
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER KIEFER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...TULSA
...LIBERTY...BIXBY...JENKS...GLENPOOL...BROKEN
ARROW...MOUNDS...KIEFER AND SAPULPA.

THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL 10 PM CST.

LAT...LON 3606 9611 3625 9582 3623 9581 3622 9582
      3617 9582 3617 9580 3599 9576 3586 9596
      3578 9619
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 224DEG 42KT 3597 9602

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
752 PM CST WED NOV 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             1 N HALLETT             36.25N 96.57W
11/05/2008  E1.75 INCH       PAWNEE             OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

JDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
756 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

OKZ065-060230-
OKFUSKEE OK-
756 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 830 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 756 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CASTLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKEMAH...BEARDEN...CASTLE...
BOLEY...MASON AND OKFUSKEE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3565 9637 3565 9633 3559 9618 3556 9618
      3556 9610 3532 9641 3535 9644 3546 9645
      3545 9647 3542 9649 3544 9654 3542 9656
      3543 9657
TIME...MOT...LOC 0156Z 221DEG 40KT 3546 9640

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
805 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

OKZ060-061-060230-
ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-
805 PM CST WED NOV 5 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 830 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN ROGERS AND TULSA

AT 805 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
TULSA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...TULSA...CATOOSA...OWASSO AND
COLLINSVILLE.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST.

LAT...LON 3640 9556 3606 9585 3606 9603 3608 9603
      3643 9589
TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 214DEG 47KT 3614 9595 3614 9584

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
807 PM CST WED NOV 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     HAIL             5 W CLEVELAND           36.31N 96.55W
11/05/2008  E1.00 INCH       OSAGE              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
848 PM CST WED NOV 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 PM     HAIL             5 N SKIATOOK            36.44N 96.00W
11/05/2008  E0.88 INCH       WASHINGTON         OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            ON HWY 11

&&

JDS