Severe Thunderstorm Warning 357, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010125
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
825 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

OKC113-010135-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0357.000000T0000Z-080601T0200Z/
OSAGE OK-
825 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM. 

LAT...LON 3662 9601 3643 9601 3659 9623 3667 9620
TIME...MOT...LOC 0125Z 296DEG 19KT 3656 9604

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
633 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED ZONES REFLECT ADDITION OF TORNADO WATCH 407 EFFECTIVE UNTIL
06Z FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE FORECAST LEFT PRETTY
MUCH AS IS FOR NOW. WILL MONITOR TEMP/POP TRENDS FOR POSSIBLE
MID-EVENING UPDATE.

UPDATED ZFP ALREADY SENT.
&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
658 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
658 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.
	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...TONIGHT

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
A WELL-DEFINED BOUNDARY EXISTS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
..EXTENDING WEST TO NEAR A SURFACE LOW IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. AS OF
EARLY THIS EVENING...PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WILL BE PRONE TO ORGANIZED ROTATION...AND AS
A RESULT WILL PRODUCE FUNNELS OR BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS.

LATER THIS EVENING...ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
INTO A COMPLEX LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES OVER THE AREA. THESE STORMS WILL THEN MOVE
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS.

ALSO...DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING...ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE STORM COMPLEX
TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO AN ENHANCED FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE
EVENING. ADDITIONAL WATCHES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE ONGOING STORM COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A WIND AND HAIL
THREAT TO FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY
SUNDAY...WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES BRINGING A LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR
REDEVELOPMENT IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL THEN SHIFT NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LATEST MODEL DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE GREAT PLAINS IN THE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY TIME FRAME. AT THIS TIME...ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS LIKELY. WIND SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY
OF SOME SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE
HAIL AND LONG TRACKED TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ONGOING STORMS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAY REQUIRE SPOTTER
ACTIVATION TO CONTINUE. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND DISCUSSIONS REGARDING SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     HAIL             1 N BIGHEART            36.87N 96.23W
05/31/2008  E1.75 INCH       OSAGE              OK   PUBLIC

            AT HERD...QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.

0818 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OKESA                   36.71N 96.13W
05/31/2008                   OSAGE              OK   PUBLIC

            APPLE TREE BLOWN OVER AND OTHER TREES DAMAGED BY WIND.

0820 AM     HAIL             OKESA                   36.71N 96.13W
05/31/2008  E1.25 INCH       OSAGE              OK   PUBLIC

0820 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE OKESA             36.73N 96.08W
05/31/2008                   OSAGE              OK   PUBLIC

            ROOF BLOWN OFF TRAILER HOME.

0845 AM     HAIL             1 E LENAPAH             36.85N 95.62W
05/31/2008  E0.88 INCH       NOWATA             OK   PUBLIC

0902 AM     HAIL             10 ENE NOWATA           36.76N 95.47W
05/31/2008  E1.00 INCH       NOWATA             OK   PUBLIC

0905 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 E NOWATA             36.70N 95.46W
05/31/2008                   NOWATA             OK   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS BROKEN TREE LIMBS. PEA AND MARBLE SIZE HAIL.

0932 AM     HAIL             VINITA                  36.64N 95.15W
05/31/2008  E1.00 INCH       CRAIG              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREE BRANCHES BROKEN

1000 AM     HAIL             8 N LENAPAH             36.97N 95.64W
05/31/2008  E1.75 INCH       NOWATA             OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            IN SOUTH COFFEYVILLE...NICKEL UP TO GOLFBALL HAIL.

1035 AM     HAIL             2 N HOLLOW              36.92N 95.27W
05/31/2008  E0.75 INCH       CRAIG              OK   PUBLIC

1051 AM     TSTM WND DMG     8 WSW TULSA             36.09N 96.05W
05/31/2008                   TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROOF DAMAGE AT TOWNWEST SHOPPING CENTER NEAR 49TH WEST
            AVENUE AND I-44.

1113 AM     HAIL             LIBERTY                 35.86N 95.98W
05/31/2008  E0.88 INCH       TULSA              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL DESTROYED SEVERAL SECURITY LIGHTS.

1125 AM     HAIL             3 S LEONARD             35.88N 95.80W
05/31/2008  E0.75 INCH       WAGONER            OK   PUBLIC

1154 AM     TSTM WND GST     BOYNTON                 35.65N 95.66W
05/31/2008  E60.00 MPH       MUSKOGEE           OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

1154 AM     HAIL             2 N BOYNTON             35.68N 95.66W
05/31/2008  E0.88 INCH       MUSKOGEE           OK   PUBLIC

&&

SAA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
507 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1056 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E SAPULPA             36.00N 96.08W
05/31/2008                   CREEK              OK   PUBLIC

            POWER LINES DOWNED AND TREES DAMAGED BETWEEN SAPULPA AND
            HIGHWAY 75 ALONG HIGHWAY 33. A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN.

&&

SAA