Severe Thunderstorm Warning 360, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010840
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
340 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

OKC035-010900-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-080601T0900Z/
CRAIG OK-
340 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CRAIG COUNTY...

AT 332 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PYRAMID CORNERS...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 31 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3680 9500 3660 9501 3659 9501 3656 9502
      3670 9532 3686 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 0840Z 293DEG 27KT 3670 9506

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 010852
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
351 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

OKC035-010901-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0360.000000T0000Z-080601T0900Z/
CRAIG OK-
351 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CRAIG COUNTY EXPIRES
AT 400 AM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM IS MOVING OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND WEAKENED 
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL 
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3680 9500 3660 9501 3659 9501 3656 9502
      3670 9532 3686 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 0851Z 293DEG 27KT 3667 9497

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1031 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
CAP INDEX NUMBERS AT 10 PM JUMPED
TO SHOW A MODERATE TO STRONG CAP
FOR SURFACE BASED CONVECTION NOW
IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
WITH JUST A LOCAL WEAKNESS IN
NORTHERN WASHINTON COUNTY.

STORM-RELATIVE AND DEEP-LAYER WINDS
REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR SUPERCELL
STORM MODES IN FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.  THE CELL IN NORTHEAST
OSAGE COUNTY IS HEADED TOWARD
THE ONLY REMAINING POCKET OF
HIGHER LOW-LEVEL CAPE REMAING.
GIVEN THIS AND THE STORM-RELATIVE
WIND FIELDS...THE TORNADO POTENTIAL
WITH THIS CELL IS NOT ZERO AND IT
IS BEING MONITORED CLOSELY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
202 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
200 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...AREA NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONT LIES EAST TO WEST ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS WILL REMAIN A FOCUS
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT DRIFTS VERY SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH.
WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF
THIS BOUNDARY THROUGH TODAY. HAIL AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUES TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT BUT WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO.

SLOW MOVEMENT ALONG WITH ABUNDANT AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
THE THREAT OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING
DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION LIKELY NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LATEST MODEL DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE GREAT PLAINS IN THE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY TIME FRAME. AT THIS TIME...ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEARS LIKELY. WIND SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY
OF SOME SIGNIFICANT SEVERE STORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE
HAIL AND LONG TRACKED TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ALL INTERESTED PARTIES NEED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND DISCUSSIONS
REGARDING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR LATE NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1018 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

OKZ054-010400-
OSAGE OK-
1018 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN OSAGE

AT 1018 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES NORTHWEST OF HULAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 21 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HULAH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3693 9600 3683 9613 3700 9636 3700 9614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 307DEG 18KT 3701 9627

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
311 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

OKZ057-010900-
CRAIG OK-
311 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL CRAIG

AT 311 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CENTRAILIA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...VINITA...CENTRALIA...PYRAMID
CORNERS...BLUEJACKET AND CENTRAILIA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3683 9500 3660 9501 3659 9501 3658 9502
      3670 9541 3688 9535
TIME...MOT...LOC 0811Z 283DEG 39KT 3676 9523