Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 278, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 7, 2008Crawford County, Franklin County, Sebastian County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 7, 2008, 8:30 PM CDT for Crawford County, Franklin County, Sebastian County, Arkansas. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 7, 2008, 8:30 PM CDT (01:30 UTC)
Expired: May 7, 2008, 9:30 PM CDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Sebastian County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 7, 5:28 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 562 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 126 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 220 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 7, 7:50 PM CDT, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 7, 7:50 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
750 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
VERY PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES ARE
OCCURRING NOW ALONG THE LINE OF STORMS
MOVING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  GIVEN THE
LOW LIFTING CONDENSATION LEVELS AND INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL SHEARS...IT IS LIKELY THAT QUICK SPIN-UP
TORNADOES WILL OCCUR WITH ONE OR MORE OF THE
MESOCYCLONES.

A VERY PERSISTENT MESOCYCLONE TRACKED ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE TULSA METRO AREA
WITH 0 TO 1 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
THAT PORTION OF THE LINE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS IS NOW
MOVING INTO SHEAR VALUES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WHICH
INCREASES THE CONCERN THAT TORNADOES WILL OCCUR WITH
THIS LINE.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-
     OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ062-OKZ063.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....99

Hazardous weather outlook, May 7, 5:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
513 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ALONG WITH
   POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
 	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MCALESTER TO FORT SMITH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTH OF HIGHWAY 412.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...AREAS NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.

DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS NEAR THE DRY LINE LOCATED NEAR
INTERSTATE 35 IN TEXAS. AS THESE STORMS MOVE EAST THEY WILL
ENCOUNTER INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR TO PRODUCE ROTATING
SUPERCELLS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...ALONG WITH VERY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ANY STORMS THAT MOVE TO THE RIGHT OF THE
MEAN WIND FLOW STAND THE BEST CHANCE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THESE
STORMS WILL EXPAND INTO A LINE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AS THEY
MOVE EAST INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE UPPER LOW WHICH
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA THROUGH EASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATER THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS NEAR THE CORE OF THE UPPER LOW...AND WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND POSE A SLIM TORNADO THREAT.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN FROM THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS...AND
MORE HEAVY RAIN...PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE UPPER LOW TRACK WILL
PRESENT A THREAT OF FLOODING RAIN...PARTICULARLY NORTH OF STATE
HIGHWAY 412.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...
PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 DURING THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH TODAYS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL REMAIN IN OUR AREA THE NEXT FEW DAYS KEEPING THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE FORECAST.  THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM LATE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT...IF
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE CAN RETURN AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. ANOTHER FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 7, 7:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
718 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N BIXBY               35.97N 95.88W
05/07/2008                   TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DAMAGE NEAR 101ST AND MEMORIAL

&&

SAA

Local storm report, May 7, 7:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
724 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW BROKEN ARROW       36.03N 95.82W
05/07/2008  E60 MPH          TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WIND GUSTS AND TREE DAMAGE BEING REPORTED NEAR 111TH AND
            GARNETT

&&

SAA

Special weather statement, May 7, 7:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
725 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

OKZ049-053-080100-
CHOCTAW OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
725 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN CHOCTAW AND SOUTHERN PUSHMATAHA

AT 725 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES
NORTH OF FALLON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HUGO...SAWYER...FORT
TOWSON...SWINK...MESSER...SOBOL...FALLON...SPEER...APPLE...CORINNE...
RATTAN AND OLETA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3414 9558 3442 9504 3425 9503 3423 9505
      3422 9512 3416 9513 3415 9514 3399 9514
      3391 9546
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 243DEG 66KT 3405 9539

Local storm report, May 7, 7:54 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
754 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROKEN ARROW            36.05N 95.79W
05/07/2008                   TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER POLES BROKEN AND TREE DAMAGE NEAR RHEMA BIBLE
            COLLEGE.

&&

SAA

Local storm report, May 7, 8:05 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
805 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 PM     TSTM WND GST     PANAMA                  35.17N 94.67W
05/07/2008  E60 MPH          LE FLORE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

SAA

Local storm report, May 7, 8:20 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
820 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W TAHLEQUAH           35.92N 95.01W
05/07/2008  M60 MPH          CHEROKEE           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SAA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 7, 7:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner	59 min
May 7, 7:12 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Craig, Creek, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	37 days
May 7, 7:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	35 min
May 7, 7:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Mayes, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	65 min
May 7, 7:29 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Nowata, Rogers, Washington	6 hr
May 7, 7:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	47 min
May 7, 7:51 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, Rogers	6 hr
May 7, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Sequoyah and 1 more	64 min
May 7, 8:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah	29 min
May 7, 8:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Rogers	65 min
May 7, 8:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Sequoyah	32 min
May 7, 8:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	52 min
May 7, 8:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Delaware	33 min
May 8, 12:15 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage	3 hr
May 8, 12:15 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Tulsa	32 hr
May 8, 12:15 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Washington	44 hr
May 8, 12:15 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Rogers, Tulsa	3 days
May 8, 9:01 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Tulsa	35 hr
May 8, 9:01 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Muskogee	11 hr
May 7, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington	44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.