Alert archive / Michigan / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 196

April 11, 200824 counties in Indiana; 39 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 11, 2008, 12:58 PM EDT for 24 counties in Indiana; 39 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2008, 12:58 PM EDT (16:58 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2008, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 71 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 1:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Kent, Ottawa48 min
Apr 11, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIsabella, Mecosta, Montcalm38 min
Apr 11, 2:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRGratiot, Ionia, Isabella, Mecosta, Montcalm40 min
Apr 11, 2:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw, Shiawassee68 min
Apr 11, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee, Saginaw, Tuscola65 min
Apr 11, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw, Shiawassee38 min
Apr 11, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClinton, Gratiot, Montcalm50 min
Apr 11, 4:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Jackson31 min
Apr 11, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXHuron, Sanilac, Tuscola62 min
Apr 11, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRClinton, Eaton, Ingham, Ionia38 min
Apr 11, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay, Saginaw32 min
Apr 11, 5:30 PM EDTTornado WarningDTXSanilac29 min
Apr 11, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXShiawassee70 min
Apr 11, 5:53 PM EDTTornado WarningDTXShiawassee30 min
Apr 11, 6:06 PM EDTTornado WarningDTXGenesee, Saginaw30 min
Apr 11, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee, Shiawassee64 min
Apr 11, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLapeer62 min
Apr 11, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston39 min
Apr 11, 6:49 PM EDTTornado WarningDTXGenesee35 min
Apr 11, 7:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland63 min
Apr 11, 7:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXTuscola30 min
Apr 11, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLapeer, Saint Clair, Sanilac75 min
Apr 11, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb56 min
Apr 11, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland26 min
Apr 11, 8:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaint Clair64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2008-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 448 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
462 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
448 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
382 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 111659
SEL6  
SPC WW 111659
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LMZ000-120100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 196
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN INDIANA
       SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
       NORTHWEST OHIO
       LAKE ERIE
       LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL 900
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
SAGINAW MICHIGAN TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT WAYNE INDIANA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND
IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON FROM NRN
INDIANA INTO SW LOWER MI.  STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
TORNADOES /ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WARM FRONT IN LOWER MI/...LARGE
HAIL...AND AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS.  THE SEVERE STORM
THREAT WILL SHIFT EWD TO NW OH AND SE LOWER MI BY MID-LATE
AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 8:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDubois, Gibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh and 1 more57 min
Apr 10, 10:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDubois, Gibson, Knox, Pike, Posey, Spencer and 2 more66 min
Apr 11, 11:47 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 18 more88 min
Apr 11, 12:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Floyd, Franklin and 9 more2 hr
Apr 11, 2:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb and 14 more94 min
Apr 11, 6:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRandolph, Wayne89 min
Apr 10, 8:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGogebic, Ontonagon6 hr
Apr 11, 12:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGogebic4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2008Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2008Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.