Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Detroit, MI

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
920 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-120930-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
920 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. THESE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 70 MPH OR
GREATER...AS WELL AS SPAWNING A TORNADO OR TWO. ALL OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN IS AT RISK...HOWEVER IT APPEARS THE MOST ORGANIZED AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ALONG THE I-69 CORRIDOR...WHERE THE GREATEST
RISK OF TORNADO WILL BE. STORM MOTION WILL BE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE MIDWEST IS EXPECTED
TO BE LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOWER
MICHIGAN. AFTER A PERIOD OF SUNSHINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT AS AN EXTENSION OF THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS INTO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST OF
THE REGION BY AROUND 10 PM THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGER IMMEDIATELY.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-120930-
ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT
BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM
OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW
BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
920 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT INTO TONIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS
OF LAKE HURON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
SAGINAW BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE HURON...AS WELL AS THE
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS
/GLFLH/.../NSHDTX/ AND /MWWDTX/ FOR DETAILS.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THERE IS A
CHANCE A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE. STORM MOTION WILL
BE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FROM LATE IN THE
DAY SATURDAY ON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BE MOST LIKELY OVER
LAKE HURON...WHERE A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST FLOW WILL PRODUCE HIGHER
WAVE ACTION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGER IMMEDIATELY.

SF

YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
647 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

MIZ053>055-060>062-068-069-120015-
GENESEE-LAPEER-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-SAGINAW-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-TUSCOLA-
647 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 196 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM...

AT 643 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF
CARO TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOWELL. THE STORMS WERE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THESE STORMS TO FURTHER STRENGTHEN BECOME
SEVERE WITH HAIL TO ONE INCH AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FENTON...OTISVILLE BY 700 PM EDT...
  TYRONE TOWNSHIP...LAPEER...AND GRAND BLANC BY 705 PM EDT...
  FOSTORIA BY 710 PM EDT...

A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

/ BT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
649 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             GOODRICH                42.92N 83.51W
04/11/2008  E0.88 INCH       GENESEE            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HOROW

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