Red Flag Warning 22, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1023 AM MDT MON JUN 23 2008

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
THROUGH MIDWEEK...MAINTAINING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
STATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXIST ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING...WITH MOST OF THE CLOUDS BEING OVER THE WASATCH
PLATEAU AREA. SOME MOISTURE REMAINS IN THE AREA TODAY FOLLOWING
YESTERDAYS SHORTWAVE...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN
POSSIBLE TODAY WITH THE DAYTIME HEATING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN UTAH...BUT STORMS
IN THE WEST DESERTS OF UTAH AND IN SOUTHWEST WYOMING ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. HAVE UPDATED THE POP FORECAST THIS MORNING TO INCLUDE
THUNDERSTORMS IN SOME OF THE DESERT AREAS...BUT NOTHING THAT
CHANGED THE ZONE FORECASTS.

THE AIRMASS IN THE MID LEVELS WILL DRY OUT SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...WITH ONLY MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED PAST TODAY.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY WARM AND DRY IN THE LOWER
LEVELS...WITH AFTERNOON MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOUT 10
DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY IN MOST AREAS. IN THE EXTENDED...WILL
TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT THE POSSIBILITY OF INCREASED MOISTURE MOVING
INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH AS EARLY AS SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AT THE SLC
TERMINAL BETWEEN 18Z AND 20Z. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PRIMARILY
BE EAST OF THE TERMINAL THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THERE IS STILL A 10
PERCENT CHANCE OF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AREA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RESIDUAL MOISTURE FROM LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION
COMBINED WILL ANOTHER DAY OF WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO MORE
HIGH-BASED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
THE INITIAL STORMS WILL BE OVER NE THROUGH CNTRL UTAH. THESE STORMS
WILL SPREAD EAST LATER TODAY. SEVERE FIRE WX CONDITIONS COULD SPREAD
ACROSS E/CNTRL UTAH LATER TODAY.

DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO EXTREME SW UTAH TUESDAY...THEN SPREAD NORTH
AND EAST ON WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY. A MOISTURE SURGE COULD SET UP THIS
WEEKEND AS LOW PRESSURE SETS UP ALONG THE CA COAST AND PRODUCES A
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OUT OF NW MEXICO.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 10 PM MONDAY FOR UTZ013.

WY...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...SCHOENING
FIRE WEATHER...CONGER
AVIATION...SCHOENING

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
547 AM MDT MON JUN 23 2008

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-241100-
CACHE VALLEY/UTAH PORTION-NORTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
SALT LAKE AND TOOELE VALLEYS-SOUTHERN WASATCH FRONT-
GREAT SALT LAKE DESERT AND MOUNTAINS-WASATCH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WASATCH MOUNTAINS I-80 NORTH-WASATCH MOUNTAINS SOUTH OF I-80-
WESTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-WASATCH PLATEAU/BOOK CLIFFS-
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-CASTLE COUNTRY-SAN RAFAEL SWELL-
SANPETE/SEVIER VALLEYS-WEST CENTRAL UTAH-SOUTHWEST UTAH-
UTAHS DIXIE AND ZION NATIONAL PARK-SOUTH CENTRAL UTAH-
GLEN CANYON RECREATION AREA/LAKE POWELL-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST WYOMING-
547 AM MDT MON JUN 23 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF
UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS
CENTRAL UTAH. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE STRONG AND
ERRATIC WINDS AS WELL AS LOCAL BLOWING DUST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)