Severe Thunderstorm Warning 384, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 191817
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
116 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

MOC059-085-191915-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0384.000000T0000Z-080619T1915Z/
DALLAS MO-HICKORY MO-
116 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN DALLAS AND SOUTHEASTERN HICKORY COUNTIES...

AT 115 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR HERMITAGE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH. 
THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...AND 
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  URBANA BY 140 PM CDT.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3785 9296 3779 9323 3780 9324 3793 9333
      3799 9325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 329DEG 11KT 3789 9325

$$

RUNNELS

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 191850
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
149 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

MOC059-085-191859-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0384.000000T0000Z-080619T1915Z/
DALLAS MO-HICKORY MO-
149 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DALLAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN HICKORY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD MOVED INTO NORTHERN 
DALLAS COUNTY. 

WHILE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED...ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE 
ACROSS DALLAS AND HICKORY COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. 

LAT...LON 3785 9296 3779 9323 3780 9324 3793 9333
      3799 9325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 329DEG 11KT 3780 9318

$$

RUNNELS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1242 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES AS WE REMAIN IN NORTHWEST FLOW DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

MAIN MCS ACTIVITY THIS MORNING WAS CENTERED FURTHER WEST THAN LAST
NIGHT AND WAS AFFECTING WESTERN KANSAS/OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
TEXAS. A SECONDARY AREA OF CONVECTION WAS PUSHING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA.

SHORT RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH TIMING OF SHORTWAVE
ENERGY AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA. IT APPEARS AS IF
MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA
TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING BEFORE INCREASED CHANCES DURING
THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL TAKE AIM AT THE AREA TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING WHICH WILL LIKELY PROVIDE THE BEST OPPORTUNITY
FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE CWA. HAVE GENERALLY UNDERCUT THE HIGH
MOS POPS FROM TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY TIME PERIOD DUE TO CONTINUED
UNCERTAINTY IN THE MODEL PERFORMANCE. BEST COVERAGE WILL STILL
LIKELY REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE CWA SO WILL HAVE MY HIGHEST POPS
IN THE WESTERN CWA.

MAIN SHORTWAVE SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH RIDGE
BUILDING FURTHER EAST HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. FLY IN OINTMENT
MAY BE WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY THE GFS ID BRINGING INTO EASTERN
MISSOURI ON SUNDAY.  HAVE LEFT DRY FOR NOW BUT WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED.

SHOULD SEE A WARMING TREND OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES HEADING TO
MORE NORMAL READINGS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...THE AREA HAS DESTABALIZED EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE OR NO CAP IN PLACE. THIS HAS CAUSED ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP INVOF SGF...AND A FEW ARE BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP IN THE JLN AREA AS WELL. THIS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE EVENTUALLY DYING
OFF. A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL LIKELY INITIATE OVER NEBRASKA AND
KANSAS...AND MOVE SOUTH SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY
IMPACT BOTH SGF AND JLN WITH THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS LOWERED
CEILINGS WITH THE STORMS...AND POTENTIALLY IN THE WAKE OF THE
ACTIVITY AS WELL. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS TO CLEAR OUT BY AT
LEAST 15Z.

BARJENBRUCH

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
104 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
104 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST OF HIGHWAY
65 THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE WEST OF HIGHWAY 65. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A
FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BECOME MARGINALLY SEVERE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARDS THE REGION. WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MIDDLE HALF OF NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1225 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

MOZ055-068-069-191800-
HICKORY MO-CAMDEN MO-BENTON MO-
1225 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN HICKORY...SOUTHEASTERN
BENTON AND WESTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CDT...

AT 1221 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF HERMITAGE...MOVING EAST
AT 18 MPH.

A SECOND STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF HERMITAGE.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN HICKORY...SOUTHEASTERN BENTON AND WESTERN
CAMDEN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF MACKS CREEK...SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

BARJENBRUCH