Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2008

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Springfield, MO

February 5, 20087 counties in Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood warning at Feb 5, 2008, 5:28 PM CST for 7 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 5, 2008, 5:28 PM CST (23:28 UTC)
Expired: Feb 5, 2008, 11:00 PM CST
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Texas County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 178 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 325 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 477 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KSGF 052331
FFWSGF
MOC065-067-091-149-153-203-215-060500-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0011.080205T2328Z-080206T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
528 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  HOWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  OREGON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  OZARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN DENT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CST.

* AT 524 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
  RAINFALL RATES WILL LIKELY AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE HALF TO LOCALLY 
  1.50 INCHES PER HOUR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE EARLY 
  EVENING. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS WILL 
  CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE WARNED AREA DURING THE 
  EVENING HOURS AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 
  COULD APPROACH THREE TO FIVE INCHES BEFORE THE RAINFALL TAPERS OFF 
  LATER THIS EVENING. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
  MOUNTAIN VIEW...THAYER...WEST PLAINS...WILLOW SPRINGS...ALTON...
  BAKERSFIELD...BIRCH TREE...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE
  AND WINONA.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. 
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE 
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS 
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY 
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3720 9193 3742 9162 3768 9116 3759 9116
      3758 9131 3751 9131 3750 9121 3742 9122
      3741 9117 3732 9118 3731 9115 3708 9115
      3708 9122 3685 9123 3683 9122 3682 9115
      3650 9115 3650 9278

$$

JLT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 5, 3:33 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 3:33 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
333 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. FLASH
FLOODING...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED
OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS AND ON THE MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST.
AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN
THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
ARKANSAS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY TRACK TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
OZARKS.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND. AT
20Z...THIS BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR CASVILLE TO NEAR MARSHFIELD
TO NEAR FORT LEONARD WOOD TO NEAR LECOMA. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR ALL MODES OF
SEVERE WEATHER. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE OVER 200 PERCENT
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO TRAIN...FLOODING WILL BE A PROBLEM. THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST...THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN MISSOURI. WILL CLOSELY BE MONITORING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW AND THE DEFORMATION ZONE THAT BOTH THE GFS
AND NAM DEPICT. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN
MISSOURI. HOWEVER...THIS IS DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW. IF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACK FURTHER SOUTH...THE HIGHER
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL BE SHIFTED SOUTH. AT THIS TIME...WILL
CONTINUE WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATION OF AROUND AN INCH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL OZARKS.

WEDNESDAY...DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
RETURN. WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AND COLD AIR ADVECTION THROUGH THE
DAY...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE IN THE LOWER 30S TO THE LOWER
40S IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DURING THIS TIME
FRAME ARE LOW. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THIS FLOW WILL HAVE
LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.

THIS WEEKEND A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO
REGION WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...SURFACE FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF BOTH
KSGF AND KJLN. VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS WILL BE PREDOMINATELY IFR
AND LIFR. HOWEVER...AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE
AERODROMES...VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS WILL VARY UNTIL 00Z. AFTER
10Z...PRECIPITATION COULD TRANSITION TO SOME SNOW AT KJLN.
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IFR BEFORE RAISING AROUND 18Z
WEDNESDAY.

ANGLE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...

FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 12 AM CST FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI.

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM CST FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTERAL
MISSOURI.

KS...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 1:13 PM CST, 4 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
113 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061915-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
113 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
TORNADOES ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEAR PURDY TO NIXA TO
MARSHFIELD TO LECOMA.

  DISCUSSION:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. DUE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS...STRONG WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY...LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE LIKELY. FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO TRACK OVER THE SAME AREAS.

COLDER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
RAIN SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME...ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS
EXPECTED...WITH UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

ANGLE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 5, 4:47 PM CST, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
447 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E ROLLA               37.95N 91.75W
02/05/2008                   PHELPS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RUNNING SWIFTLY OVER ROADWAYS ON THE EASTERN SIDE
            OF ROLLA.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

Local storm report, Feb 5, 4:50 PM CST, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             3 W HOUSTON             37.33N 92.01W
02/05/2008  E0.25 INCH       TEXAS              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Feb 5, 5:15 PM CST, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
515 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SE PLEASANT HOPE      37.44N 93.25W
02/05/2008                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 215 HAS APPROXIMATELY 3 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING
            OVER IT.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

Local storm report, Feb 5, 5:16 PM CST, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
516 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W FAIR GROVE          37.38N 93.19W
02/05/2008                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY CC IS CLOSED DUE TO 2-3 FEET OF WATER OVER THE
            ROADWAY.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

Local storm report, Feb 5, 5:17 PM CST, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
517 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S BRIGHTON            37.43N 93.35W
02/05/2008                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SAC RIVER IS OUT OF ITS BANKS NEAR HIGHWAY 13 SOUTH OF
            BRIGHTON.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

Local storm report, Feb 5, 5:19 PM CST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
519 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SW RICHLAND           37.80N 92.48W
02/05/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER AND DEBRIS OVER BRIDGE ON HIGHWAY FF BETWEEN
            HIGHWAYS T AND 133.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 4, 8:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Hickory, St. Clair	38 min
Feb 4, 8:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Camden, Hickory	28 min
Feb 4, 11:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	20 min
Feb 5, 12:14 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Polk	3 hr
Feb 5, 2:57 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Greene, Polk	6 hr
Feb 5, 12:46 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Barry, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Jasper and 5 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 1:45 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	McDonald, Newton	6 hr
Feb 5, 1:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton	27 min
Feb 5, 2:13 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Greene, Lawrence	6 hr
Feb 5, 2:53 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Polk, Pulaski, Webster and 1 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 2:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Stone	34 min
Feb 5, 3:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Stone, Taney	63 min
Feb 5, 3:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Maries	15 min
Feb 5, 3:22 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Christian	40 min
Feb 5, 3:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian	21 min
Feb 5, 3:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	62 min
Feb 5, 3:57 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Christian, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Taney and 3 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 3:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Wright	41 min
Feb 5, 4:08 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Phelps	6 hr
Feb 5, 4:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas	43 min
Feb 5, 5:13 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Howell, Ozark	77 min
Feb 5, 5:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Oregon, Shannon	63 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008 Every flash flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.