Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2008

Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Springfield, MO

February 5, 2008Phelps County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood warning at Feb 5, 2008, 4:08 PM CST for Phelps County, Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 5, 2008, 4:08 PM CST (22:08 UTC)
Expired: Feb 5, 2008, 10:00 PM CST
In force: 6 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Phelps County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 325 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 477 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 223 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KSGF 052210
FFWSGF
MOC161-060400-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0010.080205T2208Z-080206T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
408 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  PHELPS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CST.

* AT 401 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED THAT EXCESSIVE   
  RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
  SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS WERE IMPASSABLE AROUND THE COUNTY WITH 
  A REPORT OF 1.60 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING. SOME
  LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...ROLLA...
  DOOLITTLE...NEWBURG AND ST. JAMES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL 
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3779 9155 3779 9181 3761 9182 3761 9203
      3790 9204 3801 9201 3806 9171 3805 9164
      3807 9163 3809 9152 3798 9152

$$

JLT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 5, 3:33 PM CST, 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 3:33 PM CST, 35 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
333 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. FLASH
FLOODING...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CENTERED
OVER THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS AND ON THE MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST.
AHEAD OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN
THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
ARKANSAS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY TRACK TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
OZARKS.

A SURFACE BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND. AT
20Z...THIS BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR CASVILLE TO NEAR MARSHFIELD
TO NEAR FORT LEONARD WOOD TO NEAR LECOMA. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY...THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR ALL MODES OF
SEVERE WEATHER. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE OVER 200 PERCENT
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO TRAIN...FLOODING WILL BE A PROBLEM. THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST...THE SURFACE FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN MISSOURI. WILL CLOSELY BE MONITORING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW AND THE DEFORMATION ZONE THAT BOTH THE GFS
AND NAM DEPICT. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN
MISSOURI. HOWEVER...THIS IS DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW. IF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACK FURTHER SOUTH...THE HIGHER
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL BE SHIFTED SOUTH. AT THIS TIME...WILL
CONTINUE WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATION OF AROUND AN INCH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL OZARKS.

WEDNESDAY...DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
RETURN. WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AND COLD AIR ADVECTION THROUGH THE
DAY...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE IN THE LOWER 30S TO THE LOWER
40S IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE REST
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. PRECIPITATION CHANCES DURING THIS TIME
FRAME ARE LOW. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THIS FLOW WILL HAVE
LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.

THIS WEEKEND A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO
REGION WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...SURFACE FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF BOTH
KSGF AND KJLN. VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS WILL BE PREDOMINATELY IFR
AND LIFR. HOWEVER...AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE
AERODROMES...VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS WILL VARY UNTIL 00Z. AFTER
10Z...PRECIPITATION COULD TRANSITION TO SOME SNOW AT KJLN.
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IFR BEFORE RAISING AROUND 18Z
WEDNESDAY.

ANGLE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...

FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 12 AM CST FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI.

TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM CST FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTERAL
MISSOURI.

KS...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 1:13 PM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
113 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061915-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
113 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND FLASH FLOODING.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
TORNADOES ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM NEAR PURDY TO NIXA TO
MARSHFIELD TO LECOMA.

  DISCUSSION:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. DUE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL
MOISTURE LEVELS...STRONG WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY...LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE LIKELY. FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO TRACK OVER THE SAME AREAS.

COLDER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
RAIN SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME...ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS
EXPECTED...WITH UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

ANGLE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 5, 2:35 PM CST, 1 hour 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
235 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S PLEASANT HOPE       37.43N 93.27W
02/05/2008                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY H SOUTH OF PLEASANT HOPE UNDER WATER. SEVERAL LOW
            WATER BRIDGES UNDER 2-3 FEET OF WATER IN AREA.

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Feb 5, 2:42 PM CST, 1 hour 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
242 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LEBANON                 37.68N 92.66W
02/05/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            EXTENSIVE STREET FLOODING IN DOWNTOWN LEBANON

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Feb 5, 2:44 PM CST, 1 hour 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
244 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CONWAY                  37.50N 92.82W
02/05/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            CITY STORM SHELTER FLOODED DUE TO HEAVY RAIN

&&

GCLAYCOM

Local storm report, Feb 5, 3:27 PM CST, 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
327 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ANDERSON                36.65N 94.44W
02/05/2008                   MCDONALD           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER THE ROADWAYS NEAR THE HIGH SCHOOL IN ANDERSON.

            PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 43 AND 76 ALSO HAVE WATER OVER THEM.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

Local storm report, Feb 5, 3:36 PM CST, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
336 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LEBANON                 37.68N 92.66W
02/05/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF STREET FLOODING IN LEBANON. PEA SIZED
            HAIL REPORTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS WELL.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

Local storm report, Feb 5, 4:07 PM CST, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
407 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E CONWAY              37.50N 92.77W
02/05/2008                   LACLEDE            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER BRIDGE ON HIGHWAY J.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 4, 8:27 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Hickory, St. Clair	38 min
Feb 4, 8:55 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Camden, Hickory	28 min
Feb 4, 11:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	20 min
Feb 5, 12:14 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Polk	3 hr
Feb 5, 2:57 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Greene, Polk	6 hr
Feb 5, 12:46 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Barry, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Jasper and 5 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 1:45 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	McDonald, Newton	6 hr
Feb 5, 1:48 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton	27 min
Feb 5, 2:13 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Greene, Lawrence	6 hr
Feb 5, 2:53 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Polk, Pulaski, Webster and 1 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 2:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Stone	34 min
Feb 5, 3:01 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Stone, Taney	63 min
Feb 5, 3:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Maries	15 min
Feb 5, 3:22 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Christian	40 min
Feb 5, 3:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian	21 min
Feb 5, 3:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas	62 min
Feb 5, 3:57 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Christian, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Taney and 3 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 3:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Wright	41 min
Feb 5, 4:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas	43 min
Feb 5, 5:13 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Howell, Ozark	77 min
Feb 5, 5:28 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dent, Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Shannon and 1 more	6 hr
Feb 5, 5:57 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SGF	Oregon, Shannon	63 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008 Every flash flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.