Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Seattle, WA

November 6, 2008Snohomish County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Nov 6, 2008, 9:46 PM PST for Snohomish County, Washington. It took effect at Nov 7, 2008, 12:19 AM PST. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Nov 6, 2008, 9:46 PM PST (05:46 UTC)
In effect from: Nov 7, 2008, 12:19 AM PST
Expired: Nov 7, 2008, 4:35 AM PST
In force: 4 hr
Issued by: NWS Seattle, WA
Flood severity: Minor

County Snohomish County, WA

The radar

The Seattle radar (KATX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Stillaguamish River at Arlington (ARLW1).

Action stage: 12.5 ft
Minor stage: 14 ft
Moderate stage: 17.5 ft
Major stage: 19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12167400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS46 KSEW 070546
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY.
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 4

PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ON THE NORTH COAST AND THE OLYMPIC RANGE...WITH 5 TO 7
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH CASCADES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO EXCEED 10 INCHES ON THE SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES
OF THE OLYMPICS. 

IN THE LAST 18 HOURS UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY BEEN
REPORTED INTHE CASCADES WITH UP TO 6 INCHES IN THE OLYMPICS. THIS
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE THE NOOKSACK...STILLAGUAMISH AND SNOQUALMIE
RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS...OR SUVS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

WAC073-071246-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0006.081107T1105Z-081107T1953Z/
/NSSW1.1.ER.081107T1105Z.081107T1200Z.081107T1353Z.UU/
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM FRIDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 8.1 FEET AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER FLOODWATERS WILL INUNDATE 
  MUCH OF THE LOW FARM LANDS ALONG THE RIVER...WITH WATER OVER SOME 
  ROADWAYS...INCLUDING POTENTIALLY HIGHWAY 9 NORTH OF ACME.

$$

WAC073-071246-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0007.081107T1542Z-081108T0534Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.081107T1542Z.081107T1800Z.081107T2034Z.NO/
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 146.7 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE NOON TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC061-071246-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0008.081107T1500Z-081108T0448Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.081107T1500Z.081107T1800Z.081107T1948Z.NO/
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 AM FRIDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE NOON TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-071246-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0009.081107T0819Z-081108T1836Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.081107T0819Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0936Z.NO/
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:24 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 12 AM 
  FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER 
  HIGHWAY AND ALONG NORMAN RD.  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC033-071246-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0010.081107T1042Z-081108T1008Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.081107T1042Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0108Z.NO/
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:30 PM THURSDAY THE FLOW WAS 6399 CFS.
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD FLOW AROUND 3 AM FRIDAY 
  AND CREST NEAR 24230 CFS AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD FLOW TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 20000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-071245-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0011.081107T1610Z-081109T0008Z/
/CRNW1.1.ER.081107T1610Z.081108T0000Z.081108T1508Z.NO/
946 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY
  AND CREST NEAR 55.4 FEET AROUND 4 PM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 54.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL FLOOD MUCH OF THE 
  FARM LAND AND SEVERAL ROADS FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  CARNATION AND DUVALL.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

3 follow-up statements

000
WGUS86 KSEW 070832
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 5


PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ON THE NORTH COAST AND THE OLYMPIC RANGE...WITH 5 TO 7
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH CASCADES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO EXCEED 10 INCHES ON THE SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES
OF THE OLYMPICS. 

IN THE LAST 18 HOURS UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY BEEN
REPORTED INTHE CASCADES WITH UP TO 6 INCHES IN THE OLYMPICS. THIS
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE THE NOOKSACK...STILLAGUAMISH AND SNOQUALMIE
RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS...OR SUVS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

WAC045-071532-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081108T1625Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.081107T0513Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0725Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. 
* AT 12:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE  FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT  9:13 PM THURSDAY 
  AND WILL CONTINUE RISING...CRESTING NEAR 16.5 FEET AROUND 10 AM 
  FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE .
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC073-071532-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0006.081107T1148Z-081107T1953Z/
/NSSW1.1.ER.081107T1148Z.081107T1200Z.081107T1353Z.UU/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE.
* FROM 4 AM FRIDAY UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 12:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  8.1 FEET AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THIS MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  AND WILL CONTINUE TO 
  FALL. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR SOME AREAS UNTIL THE FLOOD WAVE 
  HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER FLOODWATERS WILL INUNDATE 
  MUCH OF THE LOW FARM LANDS ALONG THE RIVER...WITH WATER OVER SOME 
  ROADWAYS...INCLUDING POTENTIALLY HIGHWAY 9 NORTH OF ACME.

$$

WAC073-071531-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0007.081107T0830Z-081108T0627Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.081107T0814Z.081107T1200Z.081107T2127Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 12:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE  FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 12:14 AM FRIDAY AND 
  WILL CONTINUE RISING...CRESTING NEAR 147.0 FEET AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC061-071531-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.081107T1500Z-081108T0448Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.081107T1500Z.081107T1800Z.081107T1948Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON.
* FROM 7 AM FRIDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 12:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  13.1 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE NOON TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-071531-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-081108T1836Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.081107T0958Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0936Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON.
* FROM 2 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 12:09 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  16.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER 
  HIGHWAY AND ALONG NORMAN RD.  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC033-071531-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-081108T0428Z/
/TOLW1.2.ER.081107T0448Z.081107T1200Z.081107T1928Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 12:15 AM FRIDAY THE FLOW WAS 5124 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE TOLT RIVER WILL FLOOD TOLT RIVER RD AND 
  MANY DRIVEWAYS. SOME HOMES IN THE SAN SOUCI AREA COULD BE 
  INACCESSIBLE DUE TO DEEP AND QUICK FLOOD WATERS. THIS RIVER LEVEL 
  ON THE TOLT CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-071531-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0010.081107T1100Z-081108T1008Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.081107T1100Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0108Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS.
* FROM 3 AM FRIDAY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 11:30 PM THURSDAY THE FLOW WAS 11649 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS. 
* IMPACT...AT 20000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-071531-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0011.081107T1610Z-081109T0008Z/
/CRNW1.1.ER.081107T1610Z.081108T0000Z.081108T1508Z.NO/
1232 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION.
* FROM 8 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 49.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  55.4 FEET AROUND 4 PM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  AND WILL CONTINUE TO 
  FALL. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR SOME AREAS UNTIL THE FLOOD WAVE 
  HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 54.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL FLOOD MUCH OF THE 
  FARM LAND AND SEVERAL ROADS FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  CARNATION AND DUVALL.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

000
WGUS86 KSEW 070914
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE AFFECTING WHATCOM 
  COUNTY. 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 7

PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ON THE NORTH COAST AND THE OLYMPIC RANGE...WITH 5 TO 7
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH CASCADES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO EXCEED 10 INCHES ON THE SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES
OF THE OLYMPICS. 

IN THE LAST 18 HOURS UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY BEEN
REPORTED INTHE CASCADES WITH UP TO 6 INCHES IN THE OLYMPICS. THIS
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE THE NOOKSACK...STILLAGUAMISH AND SNOQUALMIE
RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS...OR SUVS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

WAC045-071614-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081108T1625Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.081107T0513Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0725Z.NO/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. 
* AT 12:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE  FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT  9:13 PM THURSDAY 
  AND WILL CONTINUE RISING...CRESTING NEAR 16.5 FEET AROUND 10 AM 
  FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE .
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC073-071614-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0006.081107T1148Z-081107T1953Z/
/NSSW1.1.ER.081107T1148Z.081107T1200Z.081107T1353Z.UU/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE.
* FROM 4 AM FRIDAY UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 12:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  8.1 FEET AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER FLOODWATERS WILL INUNDATE 
  MUCH OF THE LOW FARM LANDS ALONG THE RIVER...WITH WATER OVER SOME 
  ROADWAYS...INCLUDING POTENTIALLY HIGHWAY 9 NORTH OF ACME.

$$

WAC073-071613-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081108T0628Z/
/NRKW1.1.ER.081107T0814Z.081107T1200Z.081107T2128Z.NO/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 12:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 146.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE  FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 12:45 AM FRIDAY AND 
  WILL CONTINUE RISING...CRESTING NEAR 147.0 FEET AROUND 4 AM FRIDAY.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 146.5 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  LYNDEN.

$$

WAC061-071613-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.081107T1500Z-081108T0448Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.081107T1500Z.081107T1800Z.081107T1948Z.NO/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON.
* FROM 7 AM FRIDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 12:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  13.1 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE NOON TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-071613-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-081108T1836Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.081107T1022Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0936Z.NO/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON.
* FROM 2 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 12:54 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  16.8 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER 
  HIGHWAY AND ALONG NORMAN RD.  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC033-071613-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0010.081107T1255Z-081108T1652Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.081107T1255Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0752Z.NO/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS.
* FROM 5 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 12:30 AM FRIDAY THE FLOW WAS 13575 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM...CRESTING  
NEAR 25000 CFS EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL RECEDE BACK
BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-071613-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0011.081107T1610Z-081109T0008Z/
/CRNW1.1.ER.081107T1610Z.081108T0000Z.081108T1508Z.NO/
114 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION.
* FROM 8 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 12:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 49.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  55.4 FEET AROUND 4 PM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 54.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL FLOOD MUCH OF THE 
  FARM LAND AND SEVERAL ROADS FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  CARNATION AND DUVALL.

$$

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

000
WGUS86 KSEW 071235
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE AFFECTING WHATCOM 
  COUNTY.
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH AFFECTING MASON COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 8

WE ARE ABOUT HALFWAY THRU THE EVENT WITH ANOTHER TWO TO FOUR INCHES
OF RAIN FOR THE MOUNTAINS. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST SLOPES OF THE OLYMPICS WHERE ANOTHER SIX INCHES OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR THE LOWLANDS...ANOTHER ONE HALF
TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN TODAY WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS BETWEEN
SHELTON AND MONTESANO. THE HEAVIER PRECIP SHOULD SHIFT FROM THE 
CENTRAL PORTION OF WESTERN WASHINGTON TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING AS
THE NEXT SURGE COMES ASHORE. 

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS...OR SUVS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

WAC045-071935-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081109T0136Z/
/SRPW1.1.ER.081107T1611Z.081107T1800Z.081108T1636Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKOKOMISH RIVER NEAR POTLATCH.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT 9:13 PM THURSDAY. 
  CRESTING NEAR 16.6 FEET AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL                
BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE SKOKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS...WITH WATER FLOWING QUICKLY OVER EAST 
  BOURGAULT ROAD AND SKOKOMISH VALLEY ROAD.

$$

WAC073-071305-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-081107T1953Z/
/NSSW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER AT SAXON BRIDGE.
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 

$$

WAC073-071305-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-081108T0628Z/
/NRKW1.N.ER.081107T0814Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE.
* AT  3:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED NEAR 146.0 FEET AROUND 1 AM FRIDAY.

$$

WAC061-071305-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-081108T0448Z/
/ARGW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON.
* AT  3:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10.1 FEET 4 PM
  FRIDAY.

$$

WAC061-071305-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-081108T1836Z/
/ARLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON.
* AT  3:54 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12.3 FEET 4 PM
  FRIDAY.

$$

WAC033-071934-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-081108T0950Z/
/TOLW1.2.ER.081107T0448Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0050Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  4:00 AM FRIDAY THE FLOW WAS 5729 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 6000 CFS AROUND 10 AM.
  RIVER FALLING BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE TOLT RIVER WILL FLOOD TOLT RIVER RD AND 
  MANY DRIVEWAYS. SOME HOMES IN THE SAN SOUCI AREA COULD BE 
  INACCESSIBLE DUE TO DEEP AND QUICK FLOOD WATERS. THIS RIVER LEVEL 
  ON THE TOLT CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-071934-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0010.081107T1331Z-081108T1652Z/
/SQUW1.1.ER.081107T1331Z.081107T1800Z.081108T0752Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS.
* FROM 6 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:30 AM FRIDAY THE FLOW WAS 17613 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REACH FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 AM. THE RIVER 
WILL CREST NEAR 25000 CFS AROUND 10 AM THIS MORNING. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 20000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-071934-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0011.081107T1611Z-081109T0008Z/
/CRNW1.1.ER.081107T1611Z.081108T0000Z.081108T1508Z.NO/
435 AM PST FRI NOV 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION.
* FROM 8 AM FRIDAY UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 51.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY AND CREST NEAR
  55.4 FEET AROUND 4 PM FRIDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 54.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL FLOOD MUCH OF THE 
  FARM LAND AND SEVERAL ROADS FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH 
  CARNATION AND DUVALL.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 6, 8:30 PM PST, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 6, 8:30 PM PST, 1 hour 16 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
830 PM PST THU NOV 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A PLUME OF WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WILL
BRING PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
WILL MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...BRINGING COOLER
CONDITIONS AND SHOWERY PRECIPITATION. A SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS
WILL GIVE PERIODS OF RAIN AND WIND MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...RAIN CONTINUES. AROUND AN INCH HAS FALLEN IN THE
LOWLANDS WITH TWO TO FOUR IN THE MOUNTAINS. FAST RESPONDING RIVERS
ARE GOING TO FLOOD TONIGHT. WARNINGS ARE ALREADY OUT FOR THE
BOGACHIEL AND SKOKOMISH AND TOLT...WARNINGS FOR THE STILLAGUAMISH
AND POSSIBLY A FEW OTHERS ARE SOON TO FOLLOW. FREEZING LEVEL IN THE
00Z KUIL SOUNDING WAS 9700 FEET SO VIRTUALLY ALL PRECIPITATION IN
THE MOUNTAINS IS IN THE FORM OF RAIN. THE FOOT OR SNOW OF FRESH SNOW
IN THE MOUNTAINS IS RAPIDLY MELTING...ACCORDING TO NWAC DATA.

IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT MOST RIVERS FLOWING OFF THE OLYMPICS AND
CASCADES WILL FLOOD AT SOME POINT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE IS
STILL SOME QUESTION ABOUT LEWIS COUNTY RIVERS. MODELS TEND TO KEEP
THE RAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHERNMOST PART OF THE CWA. HOWEVER THAT MAY
BE CUTTING IT A BIT TOO FINE AND IT MAY BE PRUDENT TO ADD LEWIS
COUNTY TO THE FLOOD WATCH AREA.

NO CHANGE TO THE GENERAL PATTERN AND FORECAST. CONVEYOR BELT RAIN
KEEPS GOING THROUGH FRIDAY. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH SHOWERS SATURDAY. BURKE

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MORE SHOWERS ARE IN STORE FOR MON
AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH OR WEAK UPPER LOW PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.
THEN MON NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK EXPECT A SERIES OF FAST
MOVING SYSTEMS TO GIVE PERIODS OF RAIN AND WINDY CONDITIONS AT TIMES
TO THE AREA. TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL SYSTEMS WILL BE NEAR IMPOSSIBLE AS
A 160-180 KT 300 MB JET PLOWS SYSTEMS THROUGH THE AREA AT FREQUENT
INTERVALS. AS A RESULT WILL BROAD BRUSH THE WORDED FORECAST. ALBRECHT

&&

.AVIATION...A FRONTAL BAND WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...ALONG WITH POCKETS OF IFR CONDITIONS
ACCOMPANIED BY MODERATE AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. CEILINGS ARE NOT
LIKELY TO IMPROVE ABOVE MVFR UNTIL SATURDAY. STRONG WINDS IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER ONLY SPORADICALLY REACHED THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. HOWEVER...SURFACE GRADIENTS HAVE RELAXED SOMEWHAT AND
PROFILER DATA SHOWS WINDS IN THE 2000 TO 5000 FOOT LAYER GRADUALLY
EASING. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...AND WILL
SERVE TO ENSURE THAT CEILINGS AND SURFACE VISIBILITIES WILL PROBABLY
REMAIN POOR.

KSEA...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING OVERNIGHT WITH LOW
MVFR...AND OCCASIONAL IFR CEILINGS. REDUCED SURFACE VISIBILITIES
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL. SOUTH WINDS GENERALLY 8 TO 12
KNOTS...OCCASIONALLY GUSTING HIGHER THIS EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...A STALLED FRONT REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS THE WATERS TONIGHT.
GRADIENTS HAVE RELAXED SOMEWHAT...AND THE PREVIOUS SET OF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN EXPIRED WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE COAST.
WINDS WILL PICK UP ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATERS AGAIN LATER FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
REGION EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A GALE WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE
COAST FROM MIDDAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...A NEW
ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE POSTED FOR MUCH OF THE
INLAND WATERS.

27

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON
FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COAST ALL WATERS EXCEPT THE CENTRAL STRAIT
AND PUGET SOUND/HOOD CANAL. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH GRAYS
HARBOR BAR.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR THE ENHANCED AFD PLEASE VISIT

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATESTWEBAFD.HTML (ALL LOWERCASE)

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 6, 5:15 PM PST, 4 hours 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
515 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WNW SEKIU             48.28N 124.37W
11/06/2008  M3.70 INCH       CLALLAM            WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3.70 INCHES IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

DDAMICO

Local storm report, Nov 6, 6:37 PM PST, 3 hours 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
637 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0636 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ELWHA                   48.06N 123.59W
11/06/2008  E1.40 INCH       CLALLAM            WA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1.40 INCHES OF RAIN RECEIVED SINCE 8 AM THIS MORNING AT
            THE ELWHA DAM.

&&

DDAMICO

Local storm report, Nov 6, 8:40 PM PST, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
840 PM PST THU NOV 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NE BLACK DIAMOND      47.35N 121.93W
11/06/2008  M2.00 INCH       KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE MIDNIGHT IN CUMBERLAND.

&&

DDAMICO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 6, 5:14 PM PST	Areal Flood Advisory	SEW	King, Kitsap, Mason, Pierce, Snohomish, Thurston	12 hr
Nov 6, 5:32 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Clallam	18 hr
Nov 6, 5:32 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Mason	3 days
Nov 6, 8:21 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	King	34 hr
Nov 6, 9:01 PM PST	Gale Watch	SEW		6 hr
Nov 6, 9:01 PM PST	Small Craft Advisory	SEW		60 hr
Nov 6, 9:46 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	King	30 hr
Nov 6, 9:46 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	King	48 hr
Nov 6, 9:46 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Whatcom	7 hr
Nov 6, 9:46 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Whatcom	7 hr
Nov 6, 9:46 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Snohomish	7 hr
Nov 7, 7:38 AM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Snohomish	25 hr
Nov 7, 10:56 AM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Grays Harbor	17 hr
Nov 7, 10:56 AM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Snohomish	24 hr
Nov 7, 10:56 AM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Snohomish	29 hr
Nov 7, 12:58 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Snohomish	8 hr
Nov 7, 12:58 PM PST	River Flood Warning	SEW	Snohomish	15 hr
Nov 7, 2:57 PM PST	Gale Warning	SEW		24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2008 Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.