Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Warnings in 2008

Tornado Warning 16, NWS Paducah, KY

January 29, 2008Edwards County, Wabash County, Illinois

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Jan 29, 2008, 4:52 PM CST for Edwards County, Wabash County, Illinois. It was in force for 23 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 29, 2008, 4:52 PM CST (22:52 UTC)
Expired: Jan 29, 2008, 5:15 PM CST
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Edwards County, IL, Wabash County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 29, 4:56 PM CST	HAIL 0.88	Lancaster, IL	NICKLE SIZE HAIL.
Jan 29, 4:57 PM CST	HAIL 0.5	Mount Carmel, IL
Jan 29, 5:06 PM CST	HAIL 0.5	Mount Carmel, IL	MARBLE SIZE HAIL WITH WIND GUSTS 35 MPH REPORTED ONE MILE NORTH OF AIRPORT.
Jan 29, 5:08 PM CST	HAIL 0.5	Mount Carmel, IL	MARBLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG WEST SIDE OF TOWN.
Jan 29, 5:10 PM CST	TSTM WND GST 60	Mount Carmel, IL	REPORTED ON EAST SIDE OF TOWN. NO ELECTRICAL POWER ON EAST SIDE OF COMMUNITY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 29, 11:32 AM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 206 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 292301 CCA
TORPAH
ILC047-185-292315-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0016.080129T2252Z-080129T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
452 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
  WABASH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 515 PM CST.

* AT 451 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WEST
  SALEM...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BELLMONT...
  GARDS POINT...KEENSBURG...LANCASTER...MAUD...FRIENDSVILLE...MOUNT
  CARMEL...PATTON...ADAMS CORNER AND ALLENDALE.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

LAT...LON 3854 8767 3852 8764 3850 8764 3846 8775
      3844 8773 3842 8774 3834 8785 3836 8806
      3857 8803 3857 8766
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 267DEG 45KT 3849 8797

$$
...RETRANSMISSION...

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jan 29, 4:13 PM CST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 4:13 PM CST, 39 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR HIGH WIND WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
413 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THREE SYSTEMS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WITH MANY CHALLENGES...SO
WILL TRY NOT TO GET TOO VERBOSE.

INTENSE COLD FRONT JUST INSIDE THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF
OUR CWA AT THE TIME OF THIS WRITING. EXPECT A SQUALL LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG OR IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND
CROSS OUR CWA THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT THE FRONT AND THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER TO
EXIT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF OUR CWA BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM.
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WILL DROP OFF SHARPLY BEHIND THE
FRONT...AND PRECIP WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING BY
MIDNIGHT WITH ONLY A DUSTING EXPECTED.

NOT MUCH TIME IN BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND THE NEXT. MODELS BRINGING
SYSTEM NUMBER TWO INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY. AGAIN THE TRACK AND
TIMING OF THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE ALL OF THE DIFFERENCE WHEN IT COMES
TO SNOW POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM. GFS AND ECMWF KEEP THE SFC LOW A
BIT FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN THE NAM. THIS SCENARIO WOULD
OBVIOUSLY YIELD A COLDER SOLUTION AND THUS A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW.
ASSUMING THE STORM TAKES THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK...PRECIP SHOULD
START OUT AS A MIX OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS AND REMAIN
A MIX THROUGHOUT THE DAY THERE WITH ALL LIQUID ELSEWHERE. EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY
EVENING...AND ALL SNOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT. BY 12Z
FRIDAY COULD SEE 2-4 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS ALL OF OF OUR CWA EXCEPT
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER. EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO FLURRIES ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY...BUT LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED.

NEXT SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS EVENT WILL REMAIN ALL LIQUID. THE COLD
FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. EXPECT
LIGHT PRECIP TO LINGER BEHIND THE FRONT INTO TUESDAY EVENING.
1000-850 THICKNESS VALUES WOULD INDICATE A CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT SNOW
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO BE TOO WARM. WILL LIKELY HAVE TO MAKE ADJUSTMENTS AS WE
DRAW NEARER TO THIS EVENT.

&&

.AVIATION...
CLEAR SLOT OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI IS ALLOWING FOR SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE
HEATING IN THAT AREA LATE THIS MORNING. 60 DEGREE DEW POINTS
EXTENDED UP TO CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY 16Z. THIS WILL FAVOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF LOW TOPPED CONVECTION ALONG THE VERY SHARP COLD FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY OVER SE MISSOURI. PER SPC MCD...THE FORECAST
AREA WILL BE UPGRADED TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE SHORTLY.

FORECAST WAS UPDATED FOR SOMEWHAT WARMER TEMPS AND HIGHER DEW
POINTS...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THIS
IS THE REGION WHERE SOME SUN IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS THE DRY
SLOT EDGES EASTWARD. TIMING OF THE ARRIVAL OF COLD AIR WAS PUSHED
BACK JUST A FEW HOURS...SO MENTION OF SNOW FOR THIS AFTERNOON WAS
TRIMMED BACK A COUPLE COUNTIES.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...HIGH WIND WARNING ALL COUNTIES TIL 06Z WEDNESDAY
MO...HIGH WIND WARNING ALL COUNTIES TIL 06Z WEDNESDAY
IL...HIGH WIND WARNING ALL COUNTIES TIL 06Z WEDNESDAY
IN...HIGH WIND WARNING ALL COUNTIES TIL 06Z WEDNESDAY

&&

PUBLIC...JP
AVIATION...MY

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 29, 4:22 PM CST, 30 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
422 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-301045-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE
MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
422 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY ALONG AND JUST AHEAD
OF THIS BOUNDARY THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO RACE ACROSS THE REGION AT CLOSE TO 70 MPH. THE FRONT AND
STORMS WILL LEAVE THE REGION BETWEEN 600 PM AND 700 PM THIS EVENING.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS DUE TO POWERFUL WINDS
ALOFT...HOWEVER LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO ALSO POSSIBLE.

STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST OUTSIDE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
MOST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. WINDS WILL
AVERAGE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 MPH LIKELY...AND UP TO 65 TO
70 MPH POSSIBLE. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
REFER TO THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MORE DETAILS.

ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...SHARPLY COLDER AIR WILL QUICKLY
DROP TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S BY 900 PM. WIND
CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE TEENS BY LATER THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT WINTRY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR ICE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING.

PS/JAP

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 29, 4:41 PM CST, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
441 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAIRO                   37.00N 89.18W
01/29/2008                   ALEXANDER          IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DONW ON TRAILER WITH WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED 60 MPH.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 29, 4:42 PM CST, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
442 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     HAIL             TAMMS                   37.24N 89.27W
01/29/2008  M0.88 INCH       ALEXANDER          IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 29, 4:44 PM CST, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
444 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             MARION                  37.73N 88.94W
01/29/2008  M0.88 INCH       WILLIAMSON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON SOUTH SIDE OF COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 29, 4:45 PM CST, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
445 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FAIRFIELD               38.38N 88.37W
01/29/2008                   WAYNE              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF BLOWN OFF OF HOUSE ALONG HIGHWAY 45 JUST SOUTH OF
            TOWN.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 29, 4:46 PM CST, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
446 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N FAIRFIELD           38.41N 88.37W
01/29/2008                   WAYNE              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOFS BLOWN OFF OF HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jan 29, 4:49 PM CST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
449 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONKEYS EYEBROW         37.19N 88.99W
01/29/2008                   BALLARD            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS AND TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE AREA.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 28, 11:42 PM CST	Wind Advisory	PAH	Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more	16 hr
Jan 29, 3:26 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jackson, Perry	49 min
Jan 29, 3:50 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jefferson, Perry	25 min
Jan 29, 3:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander, Pulaski, Union	48 min
Jan 29, 4:04 PM CST	High Wind Warning	PAH	Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more	8 hr
Jan 29, 4:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Wayne, White	38 min
Jan 29, 4:13 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Alexander, Pulaski, Union	32 min
Jan 29, 4:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jackson, Johnson, Saline and 3 more	27 min
Jan 29, 4:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski and 1 more	47 min
Jan 29, 4:33 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wayne	27 min
Jan 29, 4:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin, Hamilton, Saline, White, Williamson	31 min
Jan 29, 4:52 PM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash	23 min
Jan 29, 5:07 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Edwards, Wabash, White	38 min
Jan 29, 5:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin, White	46 min
Jan 29, 5:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Hardin, Pope	46 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Illinois, 2008 Every tornado warning in 2008 Tornadoes in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.