Severe Thunderstorm Warning 199, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS54 KMAF 180434
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1134 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXC033-180515-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-080618T0515Z/
BORDEN TX-
1134 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR BORDEN COUNTY...

AT 1128 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR GAIL...MOVING SOUTH AT 35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...LAKE
J.B. THOMAS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER... IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK
SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3252 10119 3252 10169 3295 10168 3294 10119
TIME...MOT...LOC 0434Z 345DEG 30KT 3279 10140

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMAF 180453 RRA
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1153 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXC033-180515-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-080618T0515Z/
BORDEN TX-
1153 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR BORDEN COUNTY...

AT 1147 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
LAKE J.B. THOMAS...OR ABOUT 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GAIL...MOVING SOUTH
AT 49 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO 
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN 
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK 
SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3252 10119 3252 10169 3294 10166 3279 10119
TIME...MOT...LOC 0453Z 340DEG 42KT 3250 10129

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ISOLATED EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
NEAR KCNM AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN EDDY COUNTY. WILL
ALSO MONITOR FOR A COMPLEX OF THUNDESTORMS CURRENTLY BECOMING
ORGANIZED ACROSS NORTHEAST NM/WESTERN TX PANHANDLE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN LATE THIS EVENING. THE
CHANCE FOR TSRA TO IMPACT KHOB AND KMAF STILL APPEARS TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE AS A TEMPO GROUP...AS MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THESE TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008/

DISCUSSION...
AFTERNOON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A COLD FRONT IS PUSHING INTO
THE PERMIAN BASIN. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT.
THIS FRONT MAY ALSO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING CONVECTION. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS FOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ATTENTION IN THE SHORT TERM CONTINUES TO BE
FOCUSED ON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SHORT
RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MCS ACTIVITY ACROSS THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS EVENING.
GIVEN GOOD MODEL CONSISTENCY...WE HAVE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS EVENING. WE HAVE ALSO
MENTIONED THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST...WITH HIGH WINDS AND HAIL THE MAIN CONCERNS. A SIMILAR
SETUP IS ANTICIPATED FOR WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY...WITH
AFTERNOON CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
REGION. WE WILL ALSO HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER MCS
AFFECTING THE REGION...MAINLY ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN
LOW ROLLING PLAINS DURING THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS. THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONVECTION SHOULD
REMAIN FAVORED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...WITH POSSIBLE MCS ACTIVITY
AFFECTING THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...BUT SOME SLIGHT COOLING FORECAST AT 850MB
WARRANTS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN HIGH TEMPERATURES.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1018 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-190330-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1018 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008 /918 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN
AND LOWER TRANS PECOS REGIONS OF WEST TEXAS. VERY LARGE HAIL...
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH
OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE
STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED EM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HENNIG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
811 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXZ057-180145-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
811 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR WESTERN CULBERSON COUNTY.

AT 809 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS LOCATED ABOUT 12 MILES
NORTH OF VAN HORN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...PEA TO
MARBLE SIZE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

RESIDENTS NEAR AND NORTH OF VAN HORN WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM.
BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO SOURCES FOR STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
931 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXZ057-074-080-180300-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
MARFA PLATEAU-
931 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS AND
SOUTHERN CULBERSON COUNTIES.

AT 927 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS LOCATED ABOUT 6 MILES
SOUTH OF PLATEAU...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...PEA TO
MARBLE SIZE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL MAINLY IMPACT RURAL LOCATIONS OF SOUTHERN CULBERSON
AND NORTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES.

BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER INDOORS IF THIS STORM APPROACHES
YOUR LOCATION.