Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS54 KMAF 180155
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
855 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXC109-180230-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-080618T0230Z/
CULBERSON TX-
855 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CULBERSON COUNTY...

AT 850 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT A BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE 
STORMS EXTENDED FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF VAN HORN...TO 9 MILES 
NORTHEAST OF VAN HORN...TO 11 MILES NORTH OF PLATEAU...TO ABOUT
20 MILES NORTH OF KENT. THE STORMS NEAR VAN HORN ARE MOVING 
SOUTHEAST AT 18 MPH. THE STORMS NORTH OF PLATEAU AND KENT ARE MOVING 
TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH. 

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE...
VAN HORN...PLATEAU...BORACHO...AND INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE 
MARKERS 146 AND 168. 

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...DEADLY CLOUD TO 
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU 
CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. 
SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

LAT...LON 3151 10413 3112 10412 3073 10489 3132 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 313DEG 16KT 3110 10467

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMAF 180215
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
915 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXC109-180230-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-080618T0230Z/
CULBERSON TX-
915 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CULBERSON COUNTY...

AT 909 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...
AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 
NEAR PLATEAU...OR ABOUT 19 MILES EAST OF VAN HORN...MOVING SOUTHEAST 
AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
BORACHO...PLATEAU...AND INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 148 AND
164.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...DEADLY CLOUD TO 
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER... IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK 
SAFE SHELTER NOW.

LAT...LON 3151 10413 3112 10412 3073 10489 3132 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 292DEG 28KT 3104 10448

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
714 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ISOLATED EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
NEAR KCNM AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN EDDY COUNTY. WILL
ALSO MONITOR FOR A COMPLEX OF THUNDESTORMS CURRENTLY BECOMING
ORGANIZED ACROSS NORTHEAST NM/WESTERN TX PANHANDLE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN LATE THIS EVENING. THE
CHANCE FOR TSRA TO IMPACT KHOB AND KMAF STILL APPEARS TOO LOW TO
INCLUDE AS A TEMPO GROUP...AS MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THESE TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008/

DISCUSSION...
AFTERNOON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW A COLD FRONT IS PUSHING INTO
THE PERMIAN BASIN. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT.
THIS FRONT MAY ALSO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING CONVECTION. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS FOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ATTENTION IN THE SHORT TERM CONTINUES TO BE
FOCUSED ON THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SHORT
RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MCS ACTIVITY ACROSS THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE SOUTH INTO THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS EVENING.
GIVEN GOOD MODEL CONSISTENCY...WE HAVE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS EVENING. WE HAVE ALSO
MENTIONED THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FORECAST...WITH HIGH WINDS AND HAIL THE MAIN CONCERNS. A SIMILAR
SETUP IS ANTICIPATED FOR WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY THURSDAY...WITH
AFTERNOON CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
REGION. WE WILL ALSO HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER MCS
AFFECTING THE REGION...MAINLY ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN
LOW ROLLING PLAINS DURING THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS. THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONVECTION SHOULD
REMAIN FAVORED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...WITH POSSIBLE MCS ACTIVITY
AFFECTING THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...BUT SOME SLIGHT COOLING FORECAST AT 850MB
WARRANTS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN HIGH TEMPERATURES.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
329 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-182030-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
329 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008 /229 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THIS AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL MAINLY BE LOCATED
ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND THE ADJACENT VAN
HORN CORRIDOR AND LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION. STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
EXPAND ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN DURING THE EVENING. A COMPLEX OF
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AND
THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS LATE TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND WITH SOME HAIL POSSIBLE...ALONG
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL ACCOMPANY ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS. LIGHTNING STRIKES
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO START WILDFIRES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF SPOTTER ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
811 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

TXZ057-180145-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
811 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR WESTERN CULBERSON COUNTY.

AT 809 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS LOCATED ABOUT 12 MILES
NORTH OF VAN HORN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 13 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...PEA TO
MARBLE SIZE HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

RESIDENTS NEAR AND NORTH OF VAN HORN WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM.
BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO SOURCES FOR STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.