Red Flag Warning 55, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 071113
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
613 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO... THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS... VAN HORN AREA... AND THE UPPER
TRANS PECOS...

.WARM... DRY... AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AS AN UPPER TROUGH AND A SURFACE LOW COMBINE TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.  AS OF EARLY MORNING...
STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO MOVE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND TRANS PECOS.  AS THE SURFACE
LOW DEEPENS AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN DURING THE DAY...
THESE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA.  20 FT WINDS 
OF 20 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS.  RAINFALL FROM
LAST NIGHTS AND THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME
LOCATIONS TO REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT RH BUT THIS SHOULD BE SPOTTY.  
THE NORTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN WILL BE THE LOCATION MOST LIKELY NOT 
TO FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT AS RAIN FELL THIS MORNING AND WRAP AROUND 
MOISTURE EXPECTED TODAY.  THESE DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH 
HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER HAS RESULTED IN A RED FLAG WARNING TODAY.  
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.  ON THURSDAY SIMILAR DRY AND WINDY 
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... VAN HORN...
AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-258-072100-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0051.080508T1800Z-080509T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0055.080507T1200Z-080508T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
613 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2008 /513 AM MDT WED MAY 7 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

DRY AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT.  WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM 
THE WEST TO 20 TO 30 MPH CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
MUCH HIGHER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.  WINDS
WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING
THIS EVENING.  A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE 
AREA TODAY.

ON THURSDAY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN CREATE HEIGHTENED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS... VAN HORN AREA... AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT REGION THURSDAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-072100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0055.080507T1200Z-080508T0000Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
613 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

DRY AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT.  WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM 
THE WEST TO 20 TO 30 MPH CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
SUBSIDING THIS EVENING.   A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL 
OF THE AREA TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 071609 AAA
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1109 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT OR 6 PM MDT FOR
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN 
AREA... AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...

.WARM... DRY... AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH AND A SURFACE LOW COMBINE TO PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. AS THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENS AND
STRONG WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN DURING THE DAY... WINDY CONDITIONS
WILL SPREAD ACROSS ALL AREAS. 20 FOOT WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ACROSS THE PLAINS AND WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS ARE POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...WIDESPREAD MINIMUM RH/S BELOW 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER ARE IN STORE. THESE DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER HAS RESULTED IN A RED FLAG
WARNING TODAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
AFFECTS LOCATIONS EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER. ON THURSDAY SIMILAR DRY
AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
VAN HORN... AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED.

NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-258-080015-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0055.000000T0000Z-080508T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0051.080508T1800Z-080509T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1109 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2008 /1009 AM MDT WED MAY 7 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

DRY AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE
WEST TO 20 TO 30 MPH CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
MUCH HIGHER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL
BECOME NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING THIS
EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AREA
TODAY.

ON THURSDAY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN CREATE HEIGHTENED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS... VAN HORN AREA... AND THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT REGION
THURSDAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-080000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0055.000000T0000Z-080508T0000Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
1109 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

DRY AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE
WEST TO 20 TO 30 MPH CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING
THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AREA
TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 072002
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
302 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT OR 6 PM MDT
FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
VAN HORN AREA AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY EVENING ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. 20 FOOT
WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ACROSS THE 
PLAINS AND WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH IN THE 
MOUNTAINS ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD MINIMUM RH/S BELOW
15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ARE IN STORE. DRY AND WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THAT AREA.

NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-258-080315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0055.000000T0000Z-080508T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0051.080508T1800Z-080509T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
302 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008 /202 PM MDT WED MAY 7 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH
ALONG WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 15% WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EARLY EVENING. WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING...
HOWEVER POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY CAN BE EXPECTED.

ON THURSDAY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN CREATE HEIGHTENED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO... THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS... VAN HORN AREA... AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. 

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-080000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0055.000000T0000Z-080508T0000Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
302 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
NEAR 15% WILL PERSIST. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH BRINGING A NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHIFT AND
INCREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
244 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS INITIATED ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER
NORTHWESTERN PECOS COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS MOST LIKELY THE
FIRST SIGNS OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE AREA AHEAD OF
THE MAIN SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW EXITING THE NORTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED THE DEEPEST CU DEVELOPMENT FROM
WESTERN PECOS COUNTY...SOUTH TO NORTHERN BREWSTER COUNTY.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE LIKELY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS AS THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ENHANCES HEIGHT FALLS
OVER THE REGION. MODEL GUIDANCE WAS TOO FAR EAST WITH THE DRYLINE
ON PREVIOUS RUNS. THEREFORE...HAVE INCREASED POPS NEAR THE
AFOREMENTIONED CONVERGENCE LINE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND PUSHED POP
LINES SLIGHTLY BACK TO THE WEST FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. INITIAL
CONVECTION SHOULD BE DISCRETE CELLS BECOMING MULITCELL LINEAR AS
MORE BROADSCALE LIFT APPROACHES THE REGION TONIGHT ACTIVATING THE
DRYLINE ACROSS THE TRANSPECOS REGION.

.LONG TERM...
OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY TOMORROW
MORNING. SOME LINGERING CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN BASIN BUT MUCH DRIER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BASIN
TOMORROW THANKS TO WESTERLY FLOW AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS
WEST TEXAS. WINDS WILL GUST ONCE AGAIN IN THE PASS...BUT EXPECT
STRONG WINDS IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS WITH PERHAPS ADVISORY CRITERIA
WINDS ACROSS THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
SETTING UP IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN
BEHIND THE LOW EARLY THURSDAY BUT WILL STALL OUT IN THE TRANSPECOS
VALLEY BEFORE LIFTING NORTH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD...HOWEVER WEAK S/W TROFS MOVING THROUGH ON SUNDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL BRING A COUPLE OF WEAK FRONTS INTO WEST TEXAS.
UNFORTUNATELY THE UPPER DYNAMICS OF THESE SYSTEMS WILL BE TOO FAR
REMOVED FROM THE AREA TO BRING ANY DECENT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.

HENNIG

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE FROM THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER TRANS
PECOS...VAN HORN AREA...DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU UNTIL 10
PM CDT.  THIS AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER WILL
COINCIDE WITH RH/S OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER DURING THIS TIME.
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE DAVIS AND GLASS MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.  SOUTHEAST WINDS
OF 20 MPH OR GREATER WILL PREVAIL OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER
TRANS PECOS INTO THIS EVENING...BUT MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH/S WILL
REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT IN THESE AREAS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE STOCKTON PLATEAU AND TRANS PECOS
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING.  ANY OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS NEAR 60
MPH...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.  A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INTO CENTRAL TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
INITIALLY MOISTURE WILL BE VERY HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS AND MOST OF WEST TEXAS THIS EVENING...BUT DRIER AIR WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA ON SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OVERNIGHT.  RH/S WILL END
UP BEING POOR MOST LOCATIONS BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY...WHILE RH/S DROP TO 10
TO 15 PERCENT.  SINCE FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH TO VERY HIGH...A
RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM 10 AM
CDT UNTIL 7 PM CDT.  RECOVERY WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE POOR ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE PECOS RIVER...WITH FAIR TO GOOD TO THE NORTH OF THE
PECOS.  CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              63  85  58  90  /  60  10  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                59  87  57  94  /  30  10   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  64  93  61  96  /  40  10   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           61  87  61  94  /  40  10   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          55  81  58  86  /  20  10   0   0
HOBBS NM                   59  86  53  93  /  40  10   0   0
MARFA TX                   50  81  46  86  /  30  10   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    63  86  58  93  /  50  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                  63  86  60  94  /  50  10   0   0
WINK TX                    64  92  59  98  /  40  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...
     SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM
     MDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BIG BEND
     AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...
     MITCHELL...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY
     AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...VAN HORN
     AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM
     MDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE
     MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 10
     PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
     PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

67/10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
207 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-071915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
207 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008 /107 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...SOUTH ACROSS THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...STOCKTON PLATEAU...DAVIS AND GLASS MOUNTAINS
AND INTO THE BIG BEND REGION AND LOWER TRANS PECOS.  SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY
THREATS...ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO.  HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL ALSO BE A THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS THIS EVENING.  THESE STORMS WILL ALSO BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
COMBINE WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD FROM THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS...SOUTH THROUGH THE VAN HORN AREA...DAVIS
MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU.  A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THESE AREAS UNTIL 10 PM CDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS
WEDNESDAY.  A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...WHERE WIND SPEEDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AND GUSTS
NEAR 70 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

DRIER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION WEDNESDAY ON THE GUSTY WEST
WINDS.  SINCE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT
AND FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH AREAWIDE WEDNESDAY...A RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND