Red Flag Warning 54, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 062016
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
316 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...UPPER
TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AREA...MARFA PLATEAU AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
FOR WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION...

.BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AS WELL AS THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT BUT WILL INCREASE
WEDNESDAY FROM THE WEST BRINGING WARM AND DRY AIR ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION. HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH WINDS
ABOVE 20 MPH AND VERY DRY FUELS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.

NMZ114-115-TXZ057>059-074-080-258-071115-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0049.080507T1500Z-080508T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0055.080507T1500Z-080508T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0054.000000T0000Z-080507T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-MARFA PLATEAU-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
316 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008 /216 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 7 PM
CDT /6 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO
7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE MAINLY WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER INTO THIS
EVENING. WINDS WILL SUSBIDE BELOW 20 MPH OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL
INCREASE WEDNESDAY TO 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH IN
THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. THE WIND DIRECTION WILL
INITIALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST...BUT WILL VEER TO THE
NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-079-081-082-071115-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0049.080507T1500Z-080508T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0055.080507T1500Z-080508T0000Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
316 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE ENTIRE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH HUMIDITIES
FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AND WEST TO 20 TO 30 MPH CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE SUBSIDING WEDNESDAY EVENING.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
625 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

.AVIATION...
SEVERE STORMS ENDED SEVERAL HOURS AGO BUT HAVE A FEW SHOWERS CONTINUING
ACROSS THE AREA.  EXPECTING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT.  INCLUDED TEMPO FOR MAF... WITH HOB... INK...
AND FST A LOWER CHANCE.  SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS THIS MORNING AND PERHAPS
A LITTLE LIGHT FOG WITH LOW TEMP/DEWPT SPREAD BUT NOT EXPECTING ANY
SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION TO VSBYS THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 354 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER ACTIVE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED AS THE SOUTHERN STREAM
UPPER LOW NEAR BAJA GETS KICKED EAST BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT LOOKS
PROMISING BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OR EARLY EVENING AS HEIGHTS
FALL WITH APPROACH OF UPPER JET WITH LARGE SCALE FORCING INCREASING
ABOVE A SHARPENING DRYLINE. A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IS
ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN
IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. WILL
MENTION SEVERE WORDING IN THE ZONES ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE DRYLINE WILL BE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AS
THE UPPER LEVEL STORM PASSES ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN. WENT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING IN THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN CLOSE TO THE TRACK OF
THE UPPER LOW. THE UPPER LOW SHOULD PUSH NORTHEAST OF THE REGION
WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE IN ITS WAKE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH WINDY
CONDITIONS LOOKING LIKE A GOOD BET. IT WILL BE VERY WINDY
IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BUT HAVE OPTED NOT TO ISSUE A HIGH
WIND WATCH AT THIS TIME AS THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY
AND NOT A FAVORABLE DIRECTION FOR HIGH WINDS.

WENT DRY THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS A FAIRLY FAST WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT IS STILL FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE WITH MINIMAL WIGGLES IN THE
FLOW. BY NEXT MONDAY AND TUESDAY THE FLOW IS FORECAST TO TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY ALOFT WITH A DRYLINE IN PLACE. STILL TOO EARLY
TO ANTICIPATE CONVECTION THOSE DAYS.

FIRE WEATHER...
WILL UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS...
DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. A DRYLINE WILL BE SHARPENING AND SURGING EASTWARD THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AIDED BY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET
ROTATING TOWARD THE BIG BEND.

WILL KEEP THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH GOING FOR WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA. MANY LOCATIONS WILL PROBABLY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING
IN LATER SHIFTS.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...
     SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM
     MDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BIG BEND
     AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...
     MITCHELL...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY
     AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...UPTON...VAN HORN
     AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 10
     PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
     PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
444 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-062030-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
444 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008 /344 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN. BY TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN
WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF AN ANDREWS TO
SNYDER LINE. SOME OF THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING BEHIND A DRYLINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE GUADALUPE AND
DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE UPPER
TRANS PECOS REGION AND THE MARFA PLATEAU.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON WEDNESDAY...GUSTY WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER CONDITIONS. FIRE WEATHER WILL BE A
CONCERN WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS FROM 10 AM UNTIL 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND OR THIS
EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
211 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

TXZ069-070-060745-
UPTON-REAGAN-
211 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN UPTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN REAGAN COUNTIES.

AN INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TEXON
AT 211 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

AS THIS THUNDERSTORM INCREASES...SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

GUSTY WINDS... SMALL HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
352 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

TXZ048-060915-
SCURRY-
352 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHERN SCURRY COUNTY.

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HUDD AT 352 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

MARBLE SIZED HAIL AND WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

SEEK SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.