Tornado Warning 25, NWS Baltimore/Washington

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
442 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE MID ATLANTIC THROUGH LATE TOMORROW.
THE COMBINATION OF THE STALLED FRONT AND SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODIC SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

MORE STORMS. TORNADO WATCH EXTENDED UNTIL 1 AM FOR DC METRO AND
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...

CONVECTION SHOULD TAPER OFF WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE MCV THIS
EVENING. INSTABILITY RE-BUILDS QUICKLY TOMORROW AS RIDGING OCCURS
ALOFT. ANTICIPATE SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS A
RESULT...ON THE EDGE OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SOME OF THIS
ACTIVITY MAY BE STRONG DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

D4-7 REMAINS FAIRLY INTACT...W/ ANOTHER SLIGHT INCR IN HIGH TEMPS
/ESPC DRNG THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK/ W/ A SLIGHT MODERATION IN
TEMPS FOR MID WEEK. A LARGE AND FAIRLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL
RESIDE ACROSS THE SE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK...THRU THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. STILL LOOKING FOR PSBLE DAILY CONVECTION ACROSS THE
MTNS...HIGH TEMPS/WINDS WILL BE DEPENDANT ON THE STRENGTH AND
POSITION OF THE UPPER HIGH...KEEPING THE AREA UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED AS LL MOISTURE LINGER ACROSS THE AREA...MAKING
FOR HUMID AND HOT COND/S THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /TNGT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE LONG TERM WOULD BE THE PSBLTIES OF DAILY
TSTM ACTIVITY THRU THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MUCH OF THE
ACTIVITY LOOKS TO DEVELOP ACRS THE MTNS...THO SCT/D TSTM ACTIVITY
PSBLE ACRS THE PIEDMONT REGION.

&&

.MARINE...

WINDS SHLD REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK /BELOW SCA AT LEAST/ THRU THE
EXTND...THO S/RLY CHANNELING FROM AN EXITING HIGH THIS WEEKEND MAY
PICK WINDS UP ACRS THE BAY. THE HIGH THEN LOOKS TO MEANDER JUST
OFFSHORE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH MAY KEEP THE S/RLY CHANNELING
GOING EACH AFTN.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ530>537.

&&

PRODUCTS..WOODY/SJR/GMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
504 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-
051100-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-
CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-
504 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE MARYLAND
PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR THE ENTIRE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL
POTOMAC RIVER.

TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL RISE WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS
IN THE 90S. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

MDZ003>005-009-010-501-502-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050-051-
WVZ050>055-501>504-051100-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-PENDLETON-
HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
504 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FOR THE OUTLOOK
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL RISE WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS
IN THE 90S. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
627 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0623 PM     HAIL             4 W FREDERICKSBURG      38.30N 77.56W
06/04/2008  E0.88 INCH       SPOTSYLVANIA       VA   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

WOODCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
636 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     HAIL             FREDERICKSBURG          38.30N 77.49W
06/04/2008  E0.75 INCH       CITY OF FREDERICKS VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0636 PM     HAIL             KING GEORGE             38.27N 77.18W
06/04/2008  E0.88 INCH       KING GEORGE        VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WOODCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
640 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKTON                  38.41N 78.62W
06/04/2008  M69 MPH          ROCKINGHAM         VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WOODCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
643 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     HAIL             CULPEPER                38.47N 78.00W
06/04/2008  E0.75 INCH       CULPEPER           VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WOODCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
651 PM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             CROWNSVILLE             39.02N 76.60W
06/04/2008  E0.50 INCH       ANNE ARUNDEL       MD   AMATEUR RADIO

0646 PM     HAIL             CULPEPER                38.47N 78.00W
06/04/2008  E1.00 INCH       CULPEPER           VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WOODCOCK

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