Tornado Warning 86, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
359 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ALL EYES REMAIN FIXED ON GUSTAV AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST
ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. THOUGH GUSTAV HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...IT REMAINS A
DANGEROUS STORM. SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM ARE STILL CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING ISOLATED TORNADOES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY
RAIN.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON RECORDED WIND SPEEDS...STORM SURGES AND
DAMAGE...PLEASE REFER TO HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS UNDER THE HEADER
HLSLIX AND PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS ISSUED UNDER THE HEADER
PNSLIX.

GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST THROUGH LOUISIANA FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS IT DOES SO...THE OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
RESULTING IN LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 12 INCH RANGE
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ON SOME OF THE
AREA RIVERS. FOR INFORMATION REGARDING SPECIFIC RIVERS...PLEASE
REFER TO THE DAILY HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT ISSUED UNDER THE HEADER
RVSLIX.

EVEN AFTER GUSTAV MOVES OUT OF THE AREA...WINDS WILL STILL MAINTAIN
A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT ALLOWING GULF MOISTURE TO REMAIN IN THE AREA.
SHOULD SEE AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE
IS ONE CAVEAT TO THIS FORECAST. HURRICANE HANNAH IS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND SOMEWHERE ALONG THE GEORGIA OR SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST AND THEN TURN MORE NORTHWARD AS IT IS PICKED UP BY AN
APPROACHING TROUGH. IF HANNAH WERE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND INTO
GEORGIA THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED...NORTHERLY WINDS TRANSPORTING DRIER
AIR INTO THE REGION WOULD RESULT IN MUCH LOWER POPS LATE IN THE
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG NEAR BTR FOR THIS EVENING...WHILE
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AT MSY...BTR...GPT LATER TODAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
TONIGHT.  AS HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE
DROPPED...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY TO BE REQUIRED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  72  83  73  85 / 100  90  70  60
BTR  73  84  73  86 / 100  90  70  60
MSY  77  85  77  85 / 100  90  70  60
GPT  74  84  75  85 / 100  90  70  60

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...HURRICANE WARNING FOR LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LAZ034>040-046>050-
     056>070.

     HURRICANE WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR LAZ034>037-
     046>048.

     TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR LAZ039.

GM...HURRICANE WARNING FOR GMZ530-550-555-570-575.

MS...HURRICANE WARNING FOR MSZ080>082.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR MSZ068>071-077-
     080>082.

     TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR
     MSZ068>071-077.

GM...HURRICANE WARNING FOR GMZ550-555-570-575.

&&

AVIATION/MARINE...25
REST OF DISCUSSION...95/DM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1028 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-021530-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1028 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL WATERS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV MADE LANDFALL NEAR COCODRIE
LOUISIANA THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING CONTINUES
TO BE A THREAT IN LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND TO THE
EAST OF COCODRIE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OR WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT...WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS EXPECTED FARTHER INLAND. THERE
WILL BE A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CONTINUING INTO THIS
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES AND MAY
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...AS WELL AS MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING ALONG
SOME RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY
ASSOCIATED WITH GUSTAV. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A THREAT WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF NEAR 20 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS. FLOODING OF RIVERS MAY
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW FOR THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO CONTINUE SUPPORTING HURRICANE
OPERATIONS TODAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
234 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0224 PM     HURRICANE        BATON ROUGE             30.45N 91.13W
09/01/2008                   EAST BATON ROUGE   LA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AT GOVERNMENT AND SOUTH
            ACADIAN IN BATON ROUGE.

&&

PGRIGSBY