Tornado Warning 141, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
343 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

.DISCUSSION...
AS WHAT IS LEFT OF THE CIRCULATION OF IKE IS MOVING ACROSS NRN
AR...SRN PERIPHERY BANDS CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS SE TX AND SW LA.
IN ADDITION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST REGION
THROUGH EARLY MON. HOWEVER...MAIN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE SLOWER TO
MOVE ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE U.S. AS THE LOW FROM IKE
CONTINUES NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION. WITH
MAIN UPPER HIGH NOT SPREADING ACROSS THE WRN U.S. TILL WHAT LOOKS
LIKE TUE. THIS WILL KEEP US FROM INITIALLY GETTING NWRLY FLOW
ACROSS SE TX/SW LA. AS WELL...WILL NEED TO KEEP SOME RAIN CHANCES
AROUND TO ACCOMMODATE THIS LAGGING TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED RIPPLES
IN THE FLOW WHICH COULD HELP SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ACTIVITY
PERSIST BEHIND THE FRONT.

BY FRI...SFC HIGH SHOULD SHIFT NE ACROSS U.S. ALLOWING FOR RETURN
GULF MOISTURE TO INFILTRATE INTO THE REGION AND ENOUGH SO TO
POSSIBLE SQUEEZE OUT SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY FIRST ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AND THEN SPREADING INLAND BY NEXT WEEKEND.

AS FOR MARINE...WILL CONTINUE WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
OUTER COASTAL ZONES THROUGH ONLY MID MORNING GIVING A LITTLE
FURTHER ALLOWANCE FOR RECEDING LEVELS. WILL ALSO CONTINUE WITH
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AS TIDE LEVELS CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE CRITERIA
AND EXPECTED TO TAKE A LITTLE TIME AS WELL TO RECEDE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  87  69  82  64  83 /  60  50  20  10  20
KBPT  86  68  82  64  83 /  60  50  20  10  20
KAEX  86  66  82  59  81 /  50  30  20   0   0
KLFT  87  69  82  62  82 /  60  50  20  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX
     EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
     LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

11/KEISER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
403 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-140915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
403 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...TIDAL SURGES
FROM 12 FEET IN VERMILION PARISH TO 20 FEET IN JEFFERSON COUNTY
THROUGH THE MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. TIDAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE LATER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TOMORROW AS IKE EXITS THE
REGION ALTHOUGH RAINS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

K. KUYPER