Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
717 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

.UPDATE...HAVE UPDATED ZONES REMOVING TORNADO WATCH 902 AND
REPLACING WITH WATCH 904. ZONE UPDATE AND COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
ALREADY OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 508 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008/

DISCUSSION...RAPIDLY WEAKENING IKE CONTINUES TO ADVANCE RAPIDLY
NORTH WITH WINDS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENTLY THE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF IKE WAS JUST NORTHEAST OF TYLER TEXAS.
IKE HAS LEFT A PATH OF DESTRUCTION PRIMARILY FROM AN UNPRECEDENTED
STORM SURGE ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
FURTHER DOWN THE TEXAS COAST. EXPANDING WATERS FROM A CONTINUED
SURGE CAN NOW BE SEEN FROM OUR OFFICE.

SUFFICIENT WINDS IN THE WAKE OF IKE TO ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY
INLAND.

WILL BE MAINTAINING RAIN CHANCES GOING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEKEND WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF OUR FIRST REASONABLY
STRONG COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON. AREA NOT NEEDING ANY RAINS...BUT
POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE MOST WELCOME FOR THE COMING
WEEK WITH AN EXTENDED DRY PERIOD...SLIGHTLY COOLER DAYS AND NIGHTS
AND SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  77  87  70  82  64 /  50  60  50  20  20
KBPT  77  87  69  84  64 /  70  60  50  20  20
KAEX  77  85  67  82  59 /  70  50  40  10  20
KLFT  77  86  70  83  62 /  50  60  50  20  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...
     CALCASIEU...CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON
     DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST.
     LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...
     TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM
     20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO
     CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
     FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

MARCOTTE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
403 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-140915-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
403 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH PERIODS OF TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...TIDAL SURGES
FROM 12 FEET IN VERMILION PARISH TO 20 FEET IN JEFFERSON COUNTY
THROUGH THE MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. TIDAL CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE LATER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TOMORROW AS IKE EXITS THE
REGION ALTHOUGH RAINS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

K. KUYPER