Areal Flood Warning 9, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
230 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WAS STRETCHED ACRS THE NRN PARTS OF
CENTRAL INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING. RADAR SHOWS NMRS TSRA NEAR AND
ALONG THE FRONT...PUSHING EAST WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS OVER CENTRAL
IL. SKIES WERE CLOUDY AS THE MCS CONTINUED TO GROW. SFC DEW POINTS
WERE IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 AND SFC FLOW WAS SE ACRS MUCH OF
THE FA...AND MORE EASTERLY ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE FRONT.

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE TDY WL ONCE AGAIN BE POPS.

MODELS REMAIN IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN AND
WL USE A BLEND. FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW PLENTY OF CAPE
AVAILABLE TDY ACRS THE FA...IN EXCESS OF 2K J/KG. WITH PLENTY OF
BOUNDARIES IN THE AREA FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION ALONG WITH DECENT
DAYTIME HEATING EXPECTED...WL RAISE POP TDY FOR TSRA...ESPECIALLY
CLOSE TO THE FRONT. PWATS TDY REMAIN BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.0
INCHES...AND GIVEN THIS WL EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH ACRS THE NRN
PARTS OF THE FA UNTIL 400 PM. ACRS THE SRN PART OF THE FA WL STICK
CLOSE TO MAVMOS POPS AS LWR LVL CONVERGENCE WL NOT BE AS STRONG AND
H8-H7 TEMPS WL BE A BIT WARMER...RESULTING IN A STRONGER CAP. EXPECT
THE TSRA THREAT TO DIMINISH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES
THOUGH...ESPECIALLY BY EARL THIS EVENING AS H7 TEMPS RISE OVR
10C...RESULTING IN A STRONGER CAP AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES
TO PUSH FARTHER NORTH. GIVEN SOME OF THE LINGERING CLOUDS AND PCPN
WL LEAN TO THE COOLER SIDE OF THE MAVMOS FOR HIGHS.

TONIGHTS FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A STRONG CAP THAT WL BE IN
PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY AS H7 TEMPS RISE TO 13C. WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE STILL LINGERING DO NOT EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AS SOME CLOUDS
WL BE LURKING. ALONG WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW AND DEW POINTS TEMPS IN
THE SWEATY UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70...LOWS SHUD BE AOA MAVMOS LVL.

LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE FORECAST ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES AND CAP REMAINS IN PLACE. WL LEAVE POPS OUT
FOR NOW...BUT GIVEN ALL OF THE PCPN WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...FEEL TEMPS WL HAVE DIFFICULTY REACHING 90 AND MANY LOCATIONS.
WL KEEP TO THE UPPER 80S AT MANY LOCATIONS...BUT WITH DEW POINTS
NEAR 70...HI/S WL FEEL LIKE THE MIDDLE 90S.

ANOTHER WARM DAY APPEARS IN STORE FOR FRIDAY AS AN UPPER TROF
APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS FORCING SHUD ONCE AGAIN
BRING CHCS FOR TSRA TO INDIANA...BUT WL TRY AND FOCUS THIS TO THE
AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING WL BE MORE FAVORABLE THEN AND THESE
LARGER TROFS OFTEN SLOW DOWN IN THEIR PROGRESSION. THIS PATTERN WL
PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...AND WL KEEP TSRA CHCS THEN. ONGOING FORECAST
HANDLES THIS WELL.

AS FOR THE EXTENDED...

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS MOSTLY DRY AND
UNSEASONABLY WARM FRO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.  THERE COULD BE
SOME ISOLATED TSRA ON SUN/MON BUT THIS FAR OUT ITS A VERY LOW CHANCE
TO MENTION WITH SUCH HIGH UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS

SHOWERS AND STORMS TO IMPACT MOSTLY THE TERMINALS AT LAF AND
IND...AND STAY NORTH OF BMG AND HUF. CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME MVFR
LATER TONIGHT IN PATCHY FOG AND BORDERLINE CIGS. BUT THEN VFR AFTER
14Z AND REMAINING THAT WAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
AFTER 21Z AND WILL MENTION VCTS FOR NOW.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ENTIRE CWA UNTIL 10AM EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING...AND NRN PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIANA UNTIL 400 PM.

AVIATION...LJ
PUBLIC...PUMA
EXTENDED...SALLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
508 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INZ021-030-031-036>042-045>049-052>057-061>065-068>072-042115-
CARROLL-CLINTON-HOWARD-MONTGOMERY-BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-
DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-CLAY-OWEN-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
508 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR.

REMEMBER THAT DEADLY LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A THREAT WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME
STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND AND SMALL HAIL.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR
THEN. REMEMBER THAT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A
THREAT IN ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ028-029-035-043-044-051-060-067-042115-
WARREN-TIPPECANOE-FOUNTAIN-VERMILLION-PARKE-VIGO-SULLIVAN-KNOX-
508 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE AND FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR.

REMEMBER THAT DEADLY LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A THREAT WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM.

LOWLAND FLOODING ON THE WABASH RIVER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. SEE THE
LATEST HYDROLOGIC STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SOME
STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND AND SMALL HAIL.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR
THEN. REMEMBER THAT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A
THREAT IN ANY THUNDERSTORM.

LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH RIVER THROUGH MID
WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC STATEMENTS FOR
DETAILED INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

HAINES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1014 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S RUSHVILLE           39.53N 85.45W
06/03/2008                   RUSH               IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            NEAR STATE ROAD 244 A HOUSE WAS DESTROYED

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1023 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 PM     TORNADO          10 SW RUSHVILLE         39.51N 85.58W
06/03/2008                   RUSH               IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL HOMES HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED AROUND THE
            TOWN OF MOSCOW. POLICE REPORT UNKNOWN NUMBER OF INJURIES
            AND NUMEROUS PEOPLE MISSING.

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1024 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1022 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S RUSHVILLE           39.54N 85.45W
06/03/2008                   RUSH               IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COVERED BRIDGE OUT ON STATE ROAD 244

&&

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1033 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1002 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE GREENSBURG         39.39N 85.41W
06/03/2008                   DECATUR            IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROOF OFF OF HOUSE NEAR INTERSECTION 640N AND 700E

&&

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1136 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INZ041-040400-
DELAWARE-
1136 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER DELAWARE COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF DELAWARE COUNTY
AT 1135 PM EDT. THIS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH...AND WILL
IMPACT MUNCIE...SELMA...MOUNT PLEASANT AND PRAIRIE CREEK RESERVOIR
THROUGH MIDNIGHT EDT. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF INCH
DIAMETER HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. A TORNADO
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT.

NIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
251 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ037-046-040730-
BOONE-HENDRICKS-
251 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HENDRICKS COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH SALEM IN HENDRICKS
COUNTY AT 245 AM EDT. THIS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH...
AND WILL BE NEAR LIZTON AT 250 AM EDT...PITTSBORO AT 300 AM EDT...
AND WHITESTOWN AND BROWNSBURG BY 315 AM EDT. THIS THUNDERSTORM IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

NIELD