Areal Flood Warning 13, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
230 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WAS STRETCHED ACRS THE NRN PARTS OF
CENTRAL INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING. RADAR SHOWS NMRS TSRA NEAR AND
ALONG THE FRONT...PUSHING EAST WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS OVER CENTRAL
IL. SKIES WERE CLOUDY AS THE MCS CONTINUED TO GROW. SFC DEW POINTS
WERE IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 AND SFC FLOW WAS SE ACRS MUCH OF
THE FA...AND MORE EASTERLY ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE FRONT.

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE TDY WL ONCE AGAIN BE POPS.

MODELS REMAIN IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN AND
WL USE A BLEND. FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW PLENTY OF CAPE
AVAILABLE TDY ACRS THE FA...IN EXCESS OF 2K J/KG. WITH PLENTY OF
BOUNDARIES IN THE AREA FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION ALONG WITH DECENT
DAYTIME HEATING EXPECTED...WL RAISE POP TDY FOR TSRA...ESPECIALLY
CLOSE TO THE FRONT. PWATS TDY REMAIN BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.0
INCHES...AND GIVEN THIS WL EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH ACRS THE NRN
PARTS OF THE FA UNTIL 400 PM. ACRS THE SRN PART OF THE FA WL STICK
CLOSE TO MAVMOS POPS AS LWR LVL CONVERGENCE WL NOT BE AS STRONG AND
H8-H7 TEMPS WL BE A BIT WARMER...RESULTING IN A STRONGER CAP. EXPECT
THE TSRA THREAT TO DIMINISH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES
THOUGH...ESPECIALLY BY EARL THIS EVENING AS H7 TEMPS RISE OVR
10C...RESULTING IN A STRONGER CAP AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES
TO PUSH FARTHER NORTH. GIVEN SOME OF THE LINGERING CLOUDS AND PCPN
WL LEAN TO THE COOLER SIDE OF THE MAVMOS FOR HIGHS.

TONIGHTS FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A STRONG CAP THAT WL BE IN
PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY AS H7 TEMPS RISE TO 13C. WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE STILL LINGERING DO NOT EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AS SOME CLOUDS
WL BE LURKING. ALONG WITH A SOUTHERLY FLOW AND DEW POINTS TEMPS IN
THE SWEATY UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70...LOWS SHUD BE AOA MAVMOS LVL.

LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE FORECAST ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES AND CAP REMAINS IN PLACE. WL LEAVE POPS OUT
FOR NOW...BUT GIVEN ALL OF THE PCPN WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...FEEL TEMPS WL HAVE DIFFICULTY REACHING 90 AND MANY LOCATIONS.
WL KEEP TO THE UPPER 80S AT MANY LOCATIONS...BUT WITH DEW POINTS
NEAR 70...HI/S WL FEEL LIKE THE MIDDLE 90S.

ANOTHER WARM DAY APPEARS IN STORE FOR FRIDAY AS AN UPPER TROF
APPROACHES FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS FORCING SHUD ONCE AGAIN
BRING CHCS FOR TSRA TO INDIANA...BUT WL TRY AND FOCUS THIS TO THE
AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING WL BE MORE FAVORABLE THEN AND THESE
LARGER TROFS OFTEN SLOW DOWN IN THEIR PROGRESSION. THIS PATTERN WL
PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...AND WL KEEP TSRA CHCS THEN. ONGOING FORECAST
HANDLES THIS WELL.

AS FOR THE EXTENDED...

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS MOSTLY DRY AND
UNSEASONABLY WARM FRO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.  THERE COULD BE
SOME ISOLATED TSRA ON SUN/MON BUT THIS FAR OUT ITS A VERY LOW CHANCE
TO MENTION WITH SUCH HIGH UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 06Z TAFS

SHOWERS AND STORMS TO IMPACT MOSTLY THE TERMINALS AT LAF AND
IND...AND STAY NORTH OF BMG AND HUF. CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME MVFR
LATER TONIGHT IN PATCHY FOG AND BORDERLINE CIGS. BUT THEN VFR AFTER
14Z AND REMAINING THAT WAY. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
AFTER 21Z AND WILL MENTION VCTS FOR NOW.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ENTIRE CWA UNTIL 10AM EDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING...AND NRN PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIANA UNTIL 400 PM.

AVIATION...LJ
PUBLIC...PUMA
EXTENDED...SALLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
341 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ021-030-031-036>042-045>049-052>057-061>065-068>072-050745-
CARROLL-CLINTON-HOWARD-MONTGOMERY-BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-
DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-CLAY-OWEN-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
341 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA
TODAY. MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO
PRODUCE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR
THEN. REMEMBER THAT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A
THREAT IN ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ028-029-035-043-044-051-060-067-050745-
WARREN-TIPPECANOE-FOUNTAIN-VERMILLION-PARKE-VIGO-SULLIVAN-KNOX-
341 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA
TODAY. MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO
PRODUCE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TONIGHT.

LOWLAND FLOODING ON THE WABASH RIVER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. SEE THE
LATEST HYDROLOGIC STATEMENTS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR
THEN. REMEMBER THAT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A
THREAT IN ANY THUNDERSTORM.

LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH RIVER THROUGH MID
WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC STATEMENTS FOR
DETAILED INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

PUMA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1136 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INZ041-040400-
DELAWARE-
1136 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER DELAWARE COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF DELAWARE COUNTY
AT 1135 PM EDT. THIS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH...AND WILL
IMPACT MUNCIE...SELMA...MOUNT PLEASANT AND PRAIRIE CREEK RESERVOIR
THROUGH MIDNIGHT EDT. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF INCH
DIAMETER HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED. A TORNADO
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT.

NIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
251 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ037-046-040730-
BOONE-HENDRICKS-
251 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HENDRICKS COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH SALEM IN HENDRICKS
COUNTY AT 245 AM EDT. THIS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH...
AND WILL BE NEAR LIZTON AT 250 AM EDT...PITTSBORO AT 300 AM EDT...
AND WHITESTOWN AND BROWNSBURG BY 315 AM EDT. THIS THUNDERSTORM IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

NIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
301 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ039-047-040800-
HAMILTON-MARION-
301 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE INDIANAPOLIS
METROPOLITAN AREA...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM FISHERS TO THE
INDIANAPOLIS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AT 300 AM EDT. THIS STORM WAS
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH...AND IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50
MPH AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM.

NIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
330 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ041-042-048-049-055>057-062>065-070>072-040830-
BARTHOLOMEW-BROWN-DECATUR-DELAWARE-HANCOCK-HENRY-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
JOHNSON-LAWRENCE-MONROE-RANDOLPH-RUSH-SHELBY-
330 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHED FROM MUNCIE TO MARTINSVILLE
AT 325 AM EDT. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AT 40 MPH.
THE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN...SMALL
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL ENTER RUSHVILLE...
EDINBURGH...AND NASHVILLE BY 350 AM EDT...AND WILL ENTER GREENSBURG
BY 415 AM EDT.

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN WILL SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY...AND
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING.
BE EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS IF TRAVELING. IT IS MUCH HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
FLOODING AT NIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM.

NIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
347 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0346 AM     FLOOD            CLINTON                 39.66N 87.41W
06/04/2008                   VERMILLION         IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS ACROSS THE WHOLE COUNTRY REPORTED
            WASHED OVER. FEATHER CREEK ALSO BEGINNING TO FLOOD.

&&

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
427 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-041100-
BARTHOLOMEW-BOONE-BROWN-CARROLL-CLAY-CLINTON-DAVIESS-DECATUR-
DELAWARE-FOUNTAIN-GREENE-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HENDRICKS-HENRY-HOWARD-
JACKSON-JENNINGS-JOHNSON-KNOX-LAWRENCE-MADISON-MARION-MARTIN-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-OWEN-PARKE-PUTNAM-RANDOLPH-RUSH-SHELBY-SULLIVAN-
TIPPECANOE-TIPTON-VERMILLION-VIGO-WARREN-
427 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...MORE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA...

ANOTHER LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ENTERING THE STATE AT 425
AM EDT. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM ATTICA TO
EFFINGHAM ILLINOIS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE
INTO THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA BY 600 AM EDT...AND THE RUSHVILLE AND
NASHVILLE AREAS BY 700 AM EDT. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING 50 MPH WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN.

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN WILL SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY...AND CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING.
BE EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS IF TRAVELING. IT IS MUCH HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
FLOODING AT NIGHT.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM.

NIELD