Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WWUS53 KILX 040203
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
903 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

ILC107-125-129-167-040215-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0106.000000T0000Z-080604T0215Z/
LOGAN-MASON-MENARD-SANGAMON-
903 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN MASON...LOGAN...EASTERN MENARD AND EXTREME NORTHERN
SANGAMON COUNTIES...

AT 901 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5
MILES NORTH OF MOUNT PULASKI...OR ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LINCOLN...MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS ARE STILL THREATENED...
  CHESTNUT...
  LATHAM...
  BEASON...
  ATLANTA...

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...WILLIAMSVILLE...SWEETWATER...NEW
HOLLAND...MIDDLETOWN...MASON CITY...LAWNDALE...HARTSBURG...FANCY
PRAIRIE...ELKHART...CORNLAND...CANTRALL AND BROADWELL.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...IS LIKELY IN THE WARNED AREA.

DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS STORM...THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS...VIADUCTS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3993 8971 4022 8971 4026 8960 4029 8917
      4022 8917 4021 8915 4020 8916 4018 8915
      3994 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 256DEG 28KT 4008 8928

$$

SMITH

000 
WWUS53 KILX 040212
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
912 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

ILC107-125-129-167-040222-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0106.000000T0000Z-080604T0215Z/
LOGAN-MASON-MENARD-SANGAMON-
912 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MASON...LOGAN...
EASTERN MENARD AND EXTREME NORTHERN SANGAMON COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 915
PM CDT...

AT 910 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAD PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3993 8971 4022 8971 4026 8960 4029 8917
      4022 8917 4021 8915 4020 8916 4018 8915
      3994 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 256DEG 28KT 4010 8919

$$

BARNES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
643 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 300 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION THIS MORNING LIES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...THEN BACK WESTWARD INTO
EASTERN MISSOURI. AIRMASS BETWEEN KEOKUK IA AND COLUMBIA MO IS
RECOVERING RAPIDLY AND LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION REMAINS OUT
THERE. MOISTURE/SHEAR/INSTABILITY ARE NO PROBLEM...AND EXPECT NEXT
ROUND OF SEVERE CONVECTION TO DEVELOP OVER EASTERN MISSOURI SOON. IT
MAY BE A BIT LATER THIS FAR EAST WHERE THE AIRMASS IS STILL PRETTY
OVERTURNED BY THE STORMS EARLIER. THE NEW STORMS SHOULD MOVE
EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG/NORTH OF AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY WITH A
SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR DISCREET SUPERCELLS AT LEAST DURING THE INITIAL
HOURS OF THE EVENT. HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL LOOKS HIGH ACROSS AREAS
THAT ARE ALREADY SUPERSATURATED FROM EARLIER STORMS. WILL THEREFORE
ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE
SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA.

AS WAS THE CASE TODAY...CONVECTIVE TRENDS TONIGHT WILL HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON WHAT WILL HAPPEN ON WEDNESDAY. IT STILL
APPEARS THAT THE SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY WILL BE IN THE AREA...NOT TO
MENTION ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM TONIGHTS STUFF. LIKELY POPS ARE
WARRANTED OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS THE
SOUTHEAST...WHERE THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THEY MAY BE CAPPED OFF TO
ANYTHING MORE THAN SCATTERED CELLS.

AS PRESSURES FALL OVER THE PLAINS...THE MAIN FRONT SHOULD LIFT NORTH
AND LEAVE CENTRAL ILLINOIS HOT AND CAPPED THURSDAY AND AT LEAST THE
EARLY PART OF FRIDAY. THE ECMWF/GFS AS WELL AS THE NAM HAVE BEEN IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT ON SLOWING THE FRIDAY FRONT A LITTLE...AND EXPECT
THE MAIN THREAT FOR CONVECTION TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WILL CONTINUE WITH HEALTHY POPS FOR THAT TIMEFRAME.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
A SIMILAR EVOLUTION OF THE FRIDAY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED AS WHAT IS
HAPPENING WITH THE CURRENT FRONT...WITH THE BOUNDARY STALLING
SOMEWHERE OVER THE MIDWEST THEN LIFTING NORTH BY SUNDAY. CHANCE POPS
WILL BE INCLUDED FOR THE SOUTHEAST HALF ON SATURDAY NEAR THE TAIL OF
THE STALLING FRONT...THEN DRY AND HOT FOR SUNDAY. THE ECMWF IS
HINTING THAT THE FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTH INTO ILLINOIS ON MONDAY...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS QUITE LOW THAT FAR IN ADVANCE.

04
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 643 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY OVER MISSOURI/EXTREME WESTERN
ILLINOIS EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT
THE CENTRAL ILLINOIS TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SOME OF
THE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE. PRECIPITATION
THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...BUT CIGS/VSBYS WILL DROP INTO
THE MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CATEGORY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BACK
TO VFR WEDNESDAY AS WINDS PICK UP FROM THE SOUTH. ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE WITH AFTERNOON HEATING WEDNESDAY...BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS IS TOO LOW TO CARRY IN THE TERMINALS AT
THIS TIME.

BAK
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR ILZ040>057-
061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
327 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

ILZ040-041-044-047>053-041100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-PIATT-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-
SCOTT-
327 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. IN
ADDITION...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN
MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE
EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS. ALONG WITH HAIL AND WINDS...VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED. THE RAINS FALLING ON SATURATED
GROUND WILL LEAD TO HIGH RUNOFF RATES AND POSSIBLY SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.

THE HEAVY RAINS WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RISES ON THE ILLINOIS AND
SANGAMON RIVERS WITH FLOODING EXPECTED BY LATER THIS WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AS A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
INTERACTS WITH A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES. SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER...WITH
THE BEST CHANCES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM 6 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

ILZ063-068-073-041100-
CLARK-CRAWFORD-LAWRENCE-
327 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. IN
ADDITION...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN
MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE
EASTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. ALONG WITH HAIL AND WINDS...VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED. THE RAINS FALLING ON SATURATED GROUND
WILL LEAD TO HIGH RUNOFF RATES AND POSSIBLY SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

THE HEAVY RAINS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED FLOODING ON THE WABASH
RIVER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AS A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND INTERACTS WITH A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCES. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER...WITH THE BEST CHANCES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM 8 PM UNTIL 2 AM TONIGHT.

ILZ042-043-045-046-054>057-061-062-066-067-071-072-041100-
CHAMPAIGN-CLAY-COLES-CUMBERLAND-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-
JASPER-LOGAN-MOULTRIE-RICHLAND-SHELBY-VERMILION-
327 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. IN
ADDITION...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN
MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE
EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. ALONG WITH HAIL AND
WINDS...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED. THE RAINS FALLING ON
SATURATED GROUND WILL LEAD TO HIGH RUNOFF RATES AND POSSIBLY SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AS A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AND INTERACTS WITH A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCES. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER...WITH THE BEST CHANCES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM 6 PM UNTIL 2 AM TONIGHT.

ILZ027>031-036>038-041100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MCLEAN-PEORIA-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
327 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN
MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE
EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS. ALONG WITH HAIL AND WINDS...VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AS A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
INTERACTS WITH A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES. SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER...WITH
THE BEST CHANCES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM 6 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

BARKER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
359 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SHERMAN                 39.89N 89.61W
06/03/2008  M4.81 INCH       SANGAMON           IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM NWS COOP OBSERVER AND NWS
            EMPLOYEE

&&

KELLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
731 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TORNADO          4 W WINCHESTER          39.63N 90.53W
06/03/2008                   SCOTT              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND

&&

KELLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
734 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TORNADO          4 S WINCHESTER          39.57N 90.46W
06/03/2008                   SCOTT              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND

&&
CORRECTED REPORT LOCATION

KELLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
752 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     TORNADO          2 N MANCHESTER          39.57N 90.33W
06/03/2008                   SCOTT              IL   STORM CHASER

            TORNADO OCCASIONALLY TOUCHING DOWN

&&

KELLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
757 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     HAIL             2 S PHILADELPHIA        39.89N 90.12W
06/03/2008  M1.75 INCH       CASS               IL   MESONET

            SWOP REPORT

&&

KELLY