Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
756 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE FRONT. VERY WARM AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE AREA FOR THE END OF
THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND TRACK ALONG A WARM FRONT
LOCATED OVER OHIO. THIS PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS
EVENING...WITH WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS TRAINING ALONG AND NORTH
OF I-70. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM SOUTH OF I-70
DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. OWING TO STRONG WIND SHEAR AND AMPLE
INSTABILITY...SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE...SO TORNADO WATCH
NUMBER 444 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM. THIS IS PROBABLY NOT THE LAST
WATCH WE WILL SEE DURING THE PERIOD. THE TRAINING AND PERSISTENT
NATURE OF THE STORMS NORTH OF I-70 NECESSITATED THE ISSUANCE OF A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THERE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL LIFT
FAR ENOUGH NORTH LATE TONIGHT TO ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BE PUSHED NORTH BY STRENGTHENING LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AS A RESULT...ILN CWA
WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE
AS HIGH AS THE LOW 90S. THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE RELATIVELY
HUMID...A STRONG CAP SHOULD PREVENT DEEP CONVECTION...SO THE
FORECAST FOR THIS PERIOD IS PRIMARILY PRECIPITATION FREE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY WHICH BRINGS DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 90S THROUGH FRIDAY. COLD
FRONT ADVANCES EASTWARD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY LATE FRIDAY AS AN UPPER
WAVE PASSES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.  LOOKS LIKE THE FRONT WILL HAVE
A TOUGH TIME MAKING IT THIS FAR EAST WITH THE STRONG RIDGE IN PLACE.
KEPT CHANCE POPS FRI NIGHT AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HIGHEST
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WHICH WILL BE CLOSER TO THE BOUNDARY AND UPPER
ENERGY. UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EASTERN US THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED WITH CONTINUED ABOVE AVG TEMPS.  SHOULD BE
GENERALLY DRY...THOUGH ISOLD DIURNAL STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FA WHICH WILL
BE CLOSER TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ACTIVE PATTERN PERSISTS WITH SHORTWAVES CONTINUE TO RUN ALONG THE
SLOW MOVING WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL FORECAST AREA. FOCUS
FOR THE FIRST 4 HOURS WILL BE NUMEROUS TSTMS FROM
KCMH/KLCK/KCVG/KCVG...THEN A BRIEF LULL WILL BRING MAINLY SHOWERS
UNTIL BOUNDARY BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND INSTABILITY DOES INCREASE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY LATER TODAY. FOCUS FOR GREATEST TSTM CHANCES
WILL THEN BE KDAY/KLCK/KCMH. CIGS AND VSBYS OUTSIDE OF TSTMS WERE
REACHING VFR...BUT MVFR WITHIN TSTMS. SOUTHERN TAF SITES WELL
SOUTH OF BOUNDARY AFTER 00Z...SO VFR OVERNIGHT HERE WITH EXCEPTION
OF LATE MVFR BR FOR KLUK. NORTHERN LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE SHRA MOST
OF TONIGHT WITH POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS...GENERALLY VFR TO
OCCASIONALLY MVFR CIGS/VSBY IN PRECIPITATION.

OUTLOOK...TSTMS POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR MVFR
CIGS/VIS IN TSTMS...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
     051>056-060>065-070>074.
KY...NONE.
IN...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR INZ050-058-059-066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO
LONG TERM...HAWBLITZEL
AVIATION...JDR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
926 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ074-075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>082-088-051000-
DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-
OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-
BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
926 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 446 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST
OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

OHZ053>056-060>065-070>074-051000-
CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-
926 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 446 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY
OF OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

OHZ051-052-051000-
MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-
926 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-
926 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO
AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

INZ073-051000-
RIPLEY-
926 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TODAY...AND MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

RYAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
759 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S MADEIRA             39.14N 84.37W
06/04/2008                   HAMILTON           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS DOWNED...UP TO 20-40 FEET IN LENGTH
            AND ONE FOOT IN DIAMETER. NUMEROUS SMALL TREES AND POWER
            LINES DOWNED.

0750 AM     HAIL             CINCINNATI              39.14N 84.51W
06/04/2008  E0.88 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   PUBLIC

0756 AM     HAIL             3 ESE CINCINNATI        39.12N 84.45W
06/04/2008  E0.75 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
807 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 AM     HAIL             5 SW FAYETTEVILLE       39.14N 84.00W
06/04/2008  E0.88 INCH       CLERMONT           OH   PUBLIC

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
830 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 AM     TORNADO          NEWTOWN                 39.12N 84.35W
06/04/2008                   HAMILTON           OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAMILTON COUNTY AND NEWTOWN POLICE REPORTING A TORNADO
            TOUCHDOWN WITH WITNESSES IN NEWTOWN...PRESENTLY
            UNCONFIRMED. NUMEROUS TREES WERE TWISTED AND
            DOWNED...ALONG WITH A HEAVY METAL AWNING...A PORTABLE
            TOILET THROWN 500 FEET...AND GENERAL DEBRIS SCATTERED
            AROUND.

&&

HATZOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
831 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

INZ059-066-073>075-080-KYZ091>093-OHZ070-071-077-041330-
UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-DEARBORN IN-RIPLEY IN-OHIO IN-SWITZERLAND IN-
BOONE KY-CAMPBELL KY-KENTON KY-HAMILTON OH-BUTLER OH-WARREN OH-
831 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE CINCINNATI METRO
AREA INCLUDING...EXTREME WESTERN WARREN...BUTLER...HAMILTON...
KENTON...CAMPBELL...BOONE...SWITZERLAND. ..OHIO...SOUTHERN
RIPLEY...DEARBORN...EASTERN FRANKLIN AND SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTIES
THROUGH 930 AM EDT...

AT 827 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OXFORD TO
REXVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...THE
GREATER CINCINNATI METRO AREA...BROOKVILLE...HAMILTON...RISING
SUN...LAWRENCEBURG...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...AND ALEXANDRIA.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

RYAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
901 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MIDLAND                 39.31N 83.91W
06/04/2008                   CLINTON            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MANY TREES DOWNED DUE TO HIGH WINDS...WITH SOME FALLING
            ON BUILDINGS AND CAUSING STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
915 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CHILLICOTHE             39.34N 82.99W
06/04/2008                   ROSS               OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS ROADS.

&&

HATZOS