Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
205 AM EDT WED JUN 4 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND STALL NORTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR TODAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. A SERIES OF UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL ACT TO ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ALONG THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
ANOTHER UPDATE TO THE FORECAST AS MENTIONED EARLIER TO REMOVE
REMAINDER OF THE WATCHES WITH STABLE AIR WORKING IN BEHIND
REMNANTS OF BOW ECHO. STILL KEPT POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE OVER NRN
CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT WHEN ANY FUTURE DEVELOPMENT MAY BE WORKING
INTO THE AREA ALONG THE WARM FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LAY OUT ALONG AND N OF THE I-70
CORRIDOR AND REMAIN A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO BE PRODUCED IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. KEPT A CHANCE FOR SEVERE IN THIS AREA
THROUGH WED MORNING. THE THREAT AREA WILL QUICKLY MOVE E AHEAD OF
THE UPPER TROUGH AND ANY RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF IN THE
AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY EARLY EVENING OVER CENTRAL OHIO.

UPPER FORCING EXITS OHIO VALLEY AND THE BOUNDARY N OF THE
INTERSTATE WILL LIFT NE AS A WARM FRONT OVERNIGHT WED AND INTO
THURS. HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR MOST OF
THE REGION DURING THE SHORT TERM OF THE FORECAST.

TEMPS WERE ONLY BUMPED A DEGREE OR SO OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS...NOTHING SIGNIFICANT. DEWPOINTS WERE RAISED A LITTLE IN THE
LATTER PART OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY WHICH BRINGS DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 90S THROUGH FRIDAY. COLD
FRONT ADVANCES EASTWARD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY LATE FRIDAY AS AN UPPER
WAVE PASSES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.  LOOKS LIKE THE FRONT WILL HAVE
A TOUGH TIME MAKING IT THIS FAR EAST WITH THE STRONG RIDGE IN PLACE.
KEPT CHANCE POPS FRI NIGHT AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HIGHEST
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WHICH WILL BE CLOSER TO THE BOUNDARY AND UPPER
ENERGY. UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EASTERN US THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED WITH CONTINUED ABOVE AVG TEMPS.  SHOULD BE
GENERALLY DRY...THOUGH ISOLD DIURNAL STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FA WHICH WILL
BE CLOSER TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ACTIVE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN WITH SERIES OF FAST MOVING SHORTWAVES
RESULTING IN ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY.
MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AND JUST
NORTH OF WARM FRONT WHICH IS OVER SW OHIO THIS MORNING. NEXT
S/W OVER IL TO TRACK ACRS INDIANA AND INTO WESTERN OHIO TOWARD
SUNRISE. 50-55KT SWRLY LOW LEVEL JET TO ENHANCE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE IN RESPONSE TO THIS MID LEVEL WAVE. WITH FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SHIFTING A LTL NORTH EXPECT THE MAIN FOCUS TO SHIFT ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE I70 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING. HAVE PREVAILING THUNDERSTORMS
ACRS THE NRN TAF SITES WITH ONLY A MENTION OF TEMPO IN THE SRN SITES
EARLY TODAY. WILL THEN ALLOW FOR A BREAK THROUGH LATE MORNING
BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT RETURNS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS
AIRMASS DESTABILIZES ONCE AGAIN.

OUTLOOK...TSTMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH POTENTIAL
FOR MVFR CIGS/VIS IN TSTMS...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...FRANKS
SHORT TERM...FRANKS
LONG TERM...HAWBLITZEL
AVIATION...AR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
851 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-KYZ091>093-OHZ042-051>055-060>065-070>074-
077>082-088-050100-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-BOONE-
KENTON-CAMPBELL-DARKE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-
PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-
CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
851 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 441 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LAY OUT WEST TO EAST OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
AND LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EARLY ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

OHZ026-034-035-043>046-056-050100-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-LICKING-
851 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY
OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LAY OUT WEST TO EAST OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
AND LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EARLY ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

INZ080-KYZ089-090-094>100-050100-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-
MASON-LEWIS-
851 PM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LAY OUT WEST TO EAST OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
AND LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT. THIS WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EARLY ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1052 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     SPRINGBORO              39.56N 84.24W
06/03/2008                   WARREN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0849 PM     HAIL             LIBERTY                 39.63N 84.93W
06/03/2008  E1.00 INCH       UNION              IN   PUBLIC

0853 PM     HAIL             CAMBRIDGE CITY          39.81N 85.17W
06/03/2008  E1.00 INCH       WAYNE              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0854 PM     TORNADO          COTTAGE GROVE           39.60N 84.86W
06/03/2008                   UNION              IN   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF A TOUCHDOWN NEAR ROUTE 27. STORM WAS MOVING
            TOWARDS COLLEGE CORNER AND OXFORD.

0906 PM     HAIL             OXFORD                  39.51N 84.75W
06/03/2008  E0.75 INCH       BUTLER             OH   PUBLIC

0910 PM     FLOOD            1 N WILMINGTON          39.08N 84.95W
06/03/2008                   DEARBORN           IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER OVER ROAD

0925 PM     HAIL             XENIA                   39.69N 83.94W
06/03/2008  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0927 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRING VALLEY           39.61N 84.01W
06/03/2008                   GREENE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OAKLAND                 39.48N 83.91W
06/03/2008                   CLINTON            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWER OUTAGE

0937 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     EATON                   39.75N 84.63W
06/03/2008                   PREBLE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

1010 PM     FLOOD            CAMDEN                  39.64N 84.65W
06/03/2008                   PREBLE             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROADS ACROSS PREBLE COUNTY WERE FLOODED.

1010 PM     FLOOD            XENIA                   39.69N 83.94W
06/03/2008                   GREENE             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL STREETS WERE FLOODED IN XENIA.

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE XENIA             39.66N 83.87W
06/03/2008                   GREENE             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A NUMBER OF TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1059 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HEAVY RAIN       10 NW WILMINGTON        39.55N 83.96W
06/03/2008  M4.10 INCH       CLINTON            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SINCE THIS MORNING.

1024 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CENTERVILLE             39.64N 84.14W
06/03/2008  M2.24 INCH       MONTGOMERY         OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED SINCE 6 PM.

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1136 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N WILMINGTON          39.49N 83.83W
06/03/2008  M2.41 INCH       CLINTON            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1156 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1041 PM     FLOOD            3 SW EATON              39.72N 84.67W
06/03/2008                   PREBLE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING IN THE LAKEGREN COMMUNITY. TWO HOUSES FLOODED
            WITH EVACUATIONS OF THE RESIDENTS.

1045 PM     FLOOD            RICHMOND                39.83N 84.89W
06/03/2008                   WAYNE              IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            US ROUTE 27 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR RICHMOND.

1045 PM     FLOOD            2 WSW CAMDEN            39.63N 84.68W
06/03/2008                   PREBLE             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MORNING SUN ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. OTHER
            FLOODING ISSUES REPORTED COUNTYWIDE THROUGHOUT PREBLE
            COUNTY.

1045 PM     FLOOD            BOSTON                  39.74N 84.85W
06/03/2008                   WAYNE              IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OLD ROUTE 122 FLOODED AND CLOSED IN BOSTON.

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
305 AM EDT WED JUN 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0247 AM     HAIL             5 E ARCANUM             39.99N 84.46W
06/04/2008  E0.88 INCH       DARKE              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0255 AM     HAIL             WEST MILTON             39.95N 84.33W
06/04/2008  E0.88 INCH       MIAMI              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HATZOS