Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 14, 2008Grant County, Otter Tail County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2008, 6:39 PM CDT for Grant County, Otter Tail County, Minnesota. It was in force for 25 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 14, 2008, 6:39 PM CDT (23:39 UTC)
Expired: Jun 14, 2008, 7:04 PM CDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Grant County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 203 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 14, 6:43 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	Elbow Lake, MN	HAIL LASTED FOR FIVE MINUTES.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 14, 3:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1599 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 142339
SVRFGF
MNC051-111-150030-
/O.NEW.KFGF.SV.W.0072.080614T2339Z-080615T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
639 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GRANT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL OTTER TAIL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 634 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF ELBOW LAKE...OR 23 MILES SOUTH OF FERGUS FALLS...
  MOVING TO THE EAST AT 34 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BARRETT AT 645 PM CDT...
  ERDAHL AT 650 PM CDT...
  7 MILES NORTH OF HOFFMAN AT 655 PM CDT...

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4576 9626 4591 9626 4617 9600 4611 9563
      4610 9564 4610 9575 4594 9576 4593 9575
      4579 9575 4575 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 276DEG 30KT 4594 9596

$$

JK

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KFGF 150004
SVSFGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
704 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

MNC051-111-150014-
/O.CAN.KFGF.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-080615T0030Z/
GRANT MN-OTTER TAIL MN-
704 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GRANT AND SOUTH CENTRAL OTTER
TAIL COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 704 PM CDT...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA IN GRANT AND SOUTH CENTRAL OTTER TAIL COUNTIES. SO THE WARNING
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4576 9626 4591 9626 4617 9600 4611 9563
      4610 9564 4610 9575 4594 9576 4593 9575
      4579 9575 4575 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 276DEG 30KT 4592 9566

$$

JK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 1:23 PM CDT, 5 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 1:23 PM CDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
123 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

.SHORT TERM...
IT APPEARS PARAMETERS ARE LINING UP FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE AREA. A STRONG SPEED MAX AND
ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING QUICKLY INTO WESTERN ND THIS
AFTERNOON. LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS WAVE...COUPLED WITH A
DEVELOPING SFC BOUNDARY SHOULD HELP TRIGGER CONVECTION. MODELS ARE
IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT...WITH THE NAM HAVING A BETTER HANDLE ON
MOISTURE FIELDS SO WILL UTILIZE.

FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...INSTABILITY/SHEAR AND
LAPSE RATES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN
CENTRAL ND THIS AFTERNOON...MOVING EAST INTO MN THROUGH THE
EVENING. CAPES RISE TO NEARLY 2000 J/KG...WITH 0-6KM SHEAR FROM
25-50KT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. LI/S GET VERY UNSTABLE...AND APPROACH
-6C IN THE SOUTH. IF SURFACE DEWPOINTS RISE INTO THE UPPER
50S...THEN THE GFS -8C LI/S ARE EVEN POSSIBLE. DCAPE WILL BE
HIGH...AND SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG DOWNDRAFT WINDS AND POSSIBLY AN
ORGANIZED MINI BOW ECHO THAT IS SOMETIMES SEEN IN NW FLOW CASES.
FREEZING LEVELS ARE ALSO LOW...AND LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. WE
EXPECT A FEW STORMS TO ROTATE GIVEN THE STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...BUT
WITH STRONG DOWNDRAFTS TORNADOES ARE NOT EXPECTED. WE WILL MENTION
SEVERE IN THE GRIDS FROM 21Z- 03Z...AND TAPER OFF THUNDER THREAT
THEREAFTER.

BY SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION. 850MB TEMPS
COOL TO AROUND +4C...EVEN COOLER WITH THE GFS...AND A COLD DAY IS
EXPECTED. HIGHS SHOULD BE A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WITH A
FEW WRAPAROUND SHOWERS FOR THE NE. THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF
CLOUDS AROUND WITH VERY LOW CONVECTIVE TEMPS IN THE MID 50S BY
AFTERNOON.

FOR MONDAY...WITH SOME SLIGHT RIDGING ALOFT AND WARMING MID LEVEL
TEMPS...WILL KEEP IT DRY. BY MON NIGHT...A SHORTWAVE WILL TOP THE
RIDGE WITH AN MCS POSSIBLE IN THE FAR NORTH...AS SHOWALTERS GO
NEGATIVE. THE NAM IS MORE BULLISH WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS
HINTING AT SOME DEVELOPMENT. WILL ADD SOME POPS TO THE MON NIGHT
TIMEFRAME IN THE NORTH.

FOR TUE...RIDGING DEVELOPS ALOFT AND THERMAL FIELDS RISE. THIS
SHOULD HELP BOOST TEMPS TO NEAR NORMAL WITH A DRY DAY EXPECTED.

LONG TERM (WED-SAT)... MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT SO WILL GO WITH A BLENDED SOLUTION ATTM. MODELS SHOW A
FAIRLY STAGNANT PATTERN WITH THE MEAN 500MB RIDGE AXIS OVER THE N
PLAINS. A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO EJECT OUT THE L/W
TROF RESULTING IN SFC INSTABILITY...AND CONTINUED CHANCES FOR
-SHRA AND -TSRA THRU THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THEREFORE...NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES ARE PLANNED ATTM.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE PERIOD OVER THE FA. LOOKING FOR
-TSRA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS DYNAMICS COME
TOGETHER TO TRIGGER CONVECTION.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

DK/HOPKINS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 6:41 AM CDT, 11 hours 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
641 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-151145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
641 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
 EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AFTER 3PM WITH
THE MAIN HAZARD BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

VOELKER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:46 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
546 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST FARGO              46.87N 96.90W
06/14/2008                   CASS               ND   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN IN THE NORTH END OF WEST FARGO.

&&

AH

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:54 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
554 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SSW GALCHUTT          46.35N 96.83W
06/14/2008  E60 MPH          RICHLAND           ND   AMATEUR RADIO

            HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ON I-94 AT MILE MARKER 22.

&&

AH

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:55 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
555 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     10 S WAHPETON           46.13N 96.61W
06/14/2008                   RICHLAND           ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

AH

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:14 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
614 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 W FERGUS FALLS        46.28N 96.15W
06/14/2008                   OTTER TAIL         MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AH

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:22 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
622 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND GST     NEW ROCKFORD            47.68N 99.14W
06/14/2008  E60 MPH          EDDY               ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AH

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:38 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
638 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             4 W BORUP               47.18N 96.59W
06/14/2008  E0.88 INCH       NORMAN             MN   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN SPOTS.

&&

ROGERS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 2:39 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	FGF	Marshall	43 hr
Jun 14, 4:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Clay	59 min
Jun 14, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Clay, Norman	35 min
Jun 14, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Polk	63 min
Jun 14, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Clay, Wilkin	62 min
Jun 14, 5:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Becker, Clay, Norman, Otter Tail, Wilkin	49 min
Jun 14, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Clearwater, Pennington, Polk, Red Lake	65 min
Jun 14, 5:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin	46 min
Jun 14, 5:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin	23 min
Jun 14, 6:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Clearwater, Mahnomen, Norman, Polk	59 min
Jun 14, 6:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Becker, Clay, Clearwater, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail	53 min
Jun 14, 6:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Grant, Otter Tail	34 min
Jun 14, 6:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FGF	Otter Tail, Wilkin	52 min
Jun 14, 6:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Becker, Hubbard, Otter Tail, Wadena	46 min
Jun 14, 6:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.