Tornado Warning 144, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 251100
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
600 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

ALC047-105-251115-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0144.000000T0000Z-080825T1115Z/
DALLAS AL-PERRY AL-
600 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
PERRY AND WEST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...

AT 600 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SAFFORD...OR ABOUT 13 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF UNIONTOWN...MOVING NORTH AT 41 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES WEST OF MARION JUNCTION BY 610 AM CDT...
  7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VALDEN BY 615 AM CDT...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3227 8744 3231 8744 3231 8742 3238 8742
      3258 8744 3258 8727 3256 8724 3226 8730
      3225 8738
TIME...MOT...LOC 1100Z 158DEG 36KT 3231 8739

$$

17/KLAWS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
449 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MAIN WEATHER IMPACT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE HE REMNANTS OF FAY. UNLIKE
SUNDAY...EXPECT THERE TO BE MORE COVERAGE AND MORE LIKELY SEVERAL
RAIN BANDS. THE REMNANTS OF FAY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
TODAY...RESULTING IN NEARLY 100 POPS AREA WIDE. BY THIS
AFTERNOON...THE REMNANTS OF FAY WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY TRACK
NORTHEAST. IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE EXPERIENCED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

TAKING A CLOSER LOOK AT TODAY...MAIN RAIN BAND ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. AN ENHANCED RAIN BAND WILL BEGIN TO WORK
INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.
THIS WILL BEGIN THE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE AREA. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...AND WE GET SOME HEATING ACROSS
THE EAST AND NORTH A SECOND RAIN BAND WILL GET GOING. ACTIVITY
ALONG THIS BAND MAY BE MORE ISOLATED AND SCATTERED IN NATURE...SO
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS THEY GET GOING. BY LATE AFTERNOON...
LOOK FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

WITH THAT SAID...CURRENTLY HAVE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING THROUGH
7 AM TUESDAY MORNING. DEPENDING ON THE TIMING AND MOVEMENT OF THE
REMNANTS OF FAY...MAY NEED TO EXTEND THE WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL HOLD FOR NOW...AS TUESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT
INCLUDE ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THAT SAID...COULD SEE AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. WITH WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN...IF THIS
MATERIALIZES...THERE WILL BE SOME POSSIBLE RIVER FLOODING ISSUES
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

BY THURSDAY...MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE CLEAR OF IMPACTS FROM
FAY...BUT TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL BE BACK IN PLACE...SO HAVE
KEPT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING. BY SATURDAY A COLD FRONT WILL
BEGIN TO APPROACH THE AREA AND INCREASE THE RAINFALL CHANCES WILL
INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN SHOWERS IS SPREADING NORTHWARD FROM THE
GULF...AND WILL LIKELY MAKE IT TO TCL BY 07Z.  CEILINGS WILL BE IN
THE 500 TO 2000 FOOT RANGE AREA WIDE WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE AS MORNING APPROACHES.  RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE WIDESPREAD TOMORROW...AND LIKELY BE
THE PREVAILING WEATHER AT ALL SITES FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON.  AS
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM SWING ACROSS THE AREA...DO NOT EXPECT
TO SEE MUCH DECREASE IN PRECIPITATION AFTER SUNSET.

12/SIRMON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     81  71  80  70  86 / 100  90  80  50  40
ANNISTON    82  71  81  72  86 / 100  90  90  60  40
BIRMINGHAM  82  72  82  72  87 / 100  90  80  50  40
TUSCALOOSA  81  73  84  73  91 / 100  80  70  40  30
CALERA      82  71  83  71  87 / 100  90  80  50  40
AUBURN      82  71  78  70  86 / 100  80  90  50  40
MONTGOMERY  83  72  83  73  88 / 100  80  70  50  40
TROY        83  72  83  73  87 /  90  80  70  40  40

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
BETWEEN 7 AM MONDAY AND 7 AM TUESDAY FOR ALL AREAS.

&&

16/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
800 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-260100-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
800 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY UNTIL THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FAY EXITS THE AREA. SOME
UNCERTAINTY DOES EXIST WITH PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
AMOUNTS...BUT AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS A
LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH TUESDAY. IF THESE RAIN AMOUNTS
MATERIALIZE...IT WOULD TRANSLATE INTO A POTENTIAL RIVER FLOODING
PROBLEM BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

12/SIRMON