Severe Thunderstorm Warning 261, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 012210
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
511 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ALC107-125-012221-
/O.EXP.KBMX.SV.W.0261.000000T0000Z-080601T2215Z/
PICKENS AL-TUSCALOOSA AL-
511 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN TUSCALOOSA AND EASTERN
PICKENS COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 515 PM CDT...

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED. THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE
WARNING HAVE WEAKENED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA.

LAT...LON 3352 8767 3312 8760 3313 8784 3315 8784
      3315 8790 3315 8803 3342 8806
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 267DEG 20KT 3339 8777 3325 8774

$$

JD/81

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
331 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERAL SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPED IN THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. A LOT OF THE ACTION WAS CLUSTERED
WHERE LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM MORNING CONVECTION LINGERED
AND INTERSECTED. OUR ATTENTION THIS EVENING TURNS TO THE WEST...
WHERE A BIGGER AND BADDER AREA OF STORMS IS PUSHING THROUGH
ARKANSAS. LOTS OF WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH THAT MCS...AND IT
SEEMS TO BE HOLDING ITS OWN AS IT MAKES STEADY EAST-SOUTHEAST
PROGRESS. PRESENT TRAJECTORY WOULD EVENTUALLY PUT THIS INTO THE
WESTERN COUNTIES AROUND 00-02Z...AND THEN EASTWARD FROM THERE
AFTER THAT.

ONCE THAT SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT...THE SOUTHERN STATES
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD HELP RETURN OUR AREA TO A PATTERN MORE
TYPICAL OF SUMMERTIME. WITH THE LACK OF NEW GFS MODEL DATA IN
AWIPS...I DID NOT MAKE ANY MAJOR CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST
BEYOND TONIGHT.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

ONGOING CONVECTION CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BHM/EET/ANB
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND INCLUDED TEMPO TSRA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. AT TCL/MGM/TOI...MERELY INCLUDED VCTS FOR NOW. EXPECT ONCE
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES GET DOWN INTO THE NICE JUICY AIR MASS...WILL
SEE MORE STORMS DEVELOPING. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THINGS SIMPLE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...WITH UNCERTAINTY DUE TO HUGE MCS IN THE
MIDWEST. CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING
WORTHY OF RETAINING MENTION OF AT LEAST CB THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     65  90  65  91  68 /  50  30  10  10  10
ANNISTON    66  90  66  91  68 /  50  30  10  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  67  90  70  93  71 /  50  30  10  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  67  92  69  94  72 /  40  30  10  10  10
CALERA      67  89  69  93  71 /  40  30  10  10  10
AUBURN      69  90  69  91  71 /  40  30  10  10  10
MONTGOMERY  68  93  68  94  72 /  30  30  10  10  10
TROY        68  92  68  93  71 /  30  30  10  10  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
335 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ALZ011>015-017>050-022030-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
335 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL:
BIRMINGHAM...MODERATE.
MONTGOMERY...HIGH.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.

IN NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING MARION,
WINSTON, LAMAR, FAYETTE, AND WALKER COUNTIES...A COMPLEX OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER 6 PM. THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA...INCLUDING LOCATIONS IN
AND AROUND CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...CENTERVILLE...BIRMINGHAM...
CLANTON...GADSDEN...ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...ALEXANDER CITY AND
WEDOWEE...THE THREAT FROM ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING
LARGE HAIL. AFTER 7 PM...THE SAME SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH FROM
THE WEST...BRINGING THE THREAT OF DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORMS SHOULD TEND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY...BUT
STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT LEAST THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

FINALLY...LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...
FOR LOCATIONS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 80...THERE IS
A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PULSE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING AFTER 5 PM THROUGH SUNSET. LATER ON IN THE EVENING...
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY MOVE IN
FROM THE NORTHWEST...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

 STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA.
CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...AS WELL
AS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. ISOLATED CELLS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN AFTER 12 PM IN THE NORTHERN COUNTIES AND LOCATIONS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 85 CAN EXPECT DEVELOPMENT AFTER 5 PM.

THE WEATHER THREAT WILL NOT BE CONFINED TO THE DAYTIME HOURS.
THOUGH HEATING WILL EXACERBATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS...
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN IN THE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.  THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A
LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE STATE AFTER
SUNSET...SO STAY TUNED TO YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO THROUGHOUT TODAY
AND MAKE SURE YOUR RADIO ALERT TONE IS TURNED ON BEFORE GOING TO
BED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY. ESPECIALLY DURING THE PEAK
HEATING OF THE DAY...AS THE FRONT FROM SUNDAY WILL BE LINGERING
ACROSS THE STATE.  AGAIN...THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...
HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY SUNDAY.

27/SWU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
225 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     HAIL             5 ESE JEMISON           32.93N 86.67W
06/01/2008  E0.75 INCH       CHILTON            AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
228 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0228 PM     HAIL             5 ESE JEMISON           32.93N 86.67W
06/01/2008  E1.00 INCH       CHILTON            AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
244 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     HAIL             4 SW HOKES BLUFF        33.96N 85.91W
06/01/2008  E0.75 INCH       ETOWAH             AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED ABOUT A MILE EAST OF US-431...NEAR GLENCOE.

&&

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
312 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             HOKES BLUFF             34.00N 85.86W
06/01/2008  E1.00 INCH       ETOWAH             AL   PUBLIC

&&

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
327 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     HAIL             4 SSW HOLT              33.20N 87.53W
06/01/2008  E1.00 INCH       TUSCALOOSA         AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED ON 15TH STREET AND FOREST LAKE AREA OF
            TUSCALOOSA.

0318 PM     HAIL             6 S HOLT                33.17N 87.50W
06/01/2008  E1.75 INCH       TUSCALOOSA         AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED ON SKYLAND BLVD NEAR CYPRESS CREEK AVENUE.

&&

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
426 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     HAIL             3 SE CLANTON            32.81N 86.60W
06/01/2008  E0.88 INCH       CHILTON            AL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF CR 7 AND
            HWY 31.

&&

GOLDEN