Severe Thunderstorm Warning 243, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 011921
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
221 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ALC063-107-011931-
/O.CAN.KBMX.SV.W.0243.000000T0000Z-080601T1930Z/
GREENE AL-PICKENS AL-
221 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN PICKENS AND
NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3306 8782 3290 8795 3311 8826 3325 8813
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 307DEG 24KT 3305 8798

$$

JD/81

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

.UPDATE...FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

NO BIG CHANGES WERE MADE ON THE AFTERNOON UPDATE TO THE FORECAST.
WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM MORNING MCS TO OUR NORTHEAST CUTS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF OUR CWA.  ANOTHER AREA OF ENHANCED CU
(SOME SORT OF CONVERGENCE ZONE) STRETCHES SW-NE ACROSS THE WESTERN
AND NORTHERN COUNTIES.  MORNING SOUNDINGS SHOWED A BIT OF A CAP
AROUND 700 MB...BUT WITH PLENTY OF CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SHOULD THAT
CAP BE ERODED OR OVERCOME.

LIKELY POPS STILL SEEM JUSTIFIED FOR THE NORTH HALF...AND I EXPECT
RW/TRW COVERAGE TO STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

/61/

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND MONDAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...LOOK FOR THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE
STATE TO SLOW.  THOUGH THE FIRST HINT WAS WITH THE 00Z RUNS..BOTH
THE GFS AND THE NAM ARE HINTING AT THE FORMATION OF A MCS IN THE
AREA OF WESTERN TENNESSEE AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND HAVE IT
MOVING INTO THE STATE AFTER 00Z TONIGHT.  THIS IS A QUESTIONABLE
FEATURE BUT ONE THAT NEEDS TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.  HAVE RAISED
POPS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING...AND
AGAIN FOR MONDAY DURING THE DAY AS TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SOAR
ONCE AGAIN.  ANY LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES FROM SUNDAY NIGHT COULD BECOME
A CONCERN FOR REDEVELOPMENT ON MONDAY.

27/SWU

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

STILL LOOKING RATHER WARM AND DRY IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
THICKNESSES SUPPORT TEMPERATURES AS HIGH AS 95 OR 96 DEGREES ON
TUESDAY. WILL TACK A FEW DEGREES ONTO GUIDANCE AND GO WITH A MORE
CONSERVATIVE 93 TO 94. WEAK RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WILL
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BUT WITH SUCH
WARM TEMPERATURES NOT COMFORTABLE TAKING ISOLATED WORDING TOTALLY OUT
OF THE FORECAST. THICKNESSES LOWER A BIT THURSDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND..BUT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL STILL BE 3 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. A TROUGH DEEPENS TO OUR WEST LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL TRANSITION BACK TO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. AS A RESULT...RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

ONGOING CONVECTION CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BHM/EET/ANB
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND INCLUDED TEMPO TSRA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. AT TCL/MGM/TOI...MERELY INCLUDED VCTS FOR NOW. EXPECT ONCE
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES GET DOWN INTO THE NICE JUICY AIR MASS...WILL
SEE MORE STORMS DEVELOPING. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THINGS SIMPLE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...WITH UNCERTAINTY DUE TO HUGE MCS IN THE
MIDWEST. CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING
WORTHY OF RETAINING MENTION OF AT LEAST CB THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
611 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

CORRECTED TYPO...

ALZ011>015-017>050-021112-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
611 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL:
BIRMINGHAM...MODERATE.
MONTGOMERY...MODERATE.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA. CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...AS WELL AS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL BE
THE MAIN THREATS. ISOLATED CELLS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER 12 PM IN THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES AND LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 CAN EXPECT
DEVELOPMENT AFTER 5 PM.

THE WEATHER THREAT WILL NOT BE CONFINED TO THE DAYTIME HOURS.
THOUGH HEATING WILL EXACERBATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS...
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN IN THE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.  THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A
LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE STATE AFTER
SUNSET...SO STAY TUNED TO YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO THROUGHOUT TODAY
AND MAKE SURE YOUR RADIO ALERT TONE IS TURNED ON BEFORE GOING TO
BED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY. ESPECIALLY DURING THE PEAK
HEATING OF THE DAY...AS THE FRONT FROM SUNDAY WILL BE LINGERING
ACROSS THE STATE.  AGAIN...THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...
HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BECOME
NECESSARY SUNDAY.

27/SWU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1256 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1256 PM     HAIL             ODENVILLE               33.69N 86.40W
06/01/2008  E1.00 INCH       ST. CLAIR          AL   AIRPLANE PILOT

&&

61

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
107 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ALZ019-021-027-028-011845-
CALHOUN-CLAY-CLEBURNE-TALLADEGA-
107 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CALHOUN...CLAY...CLEBURNE AND
TALLADEGA COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM CDT...

AT 105 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR BYNUM...OR NEAR COBB TOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 24
MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  BYNUM.
  WEST END-COBB TOWN.
  HOBSON CITY.
  ANNISTON METRO AIRPORT.
  OAK HILL.
  MOUNT CHEAHA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

JD/81

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
112 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW ODENVILLE          33.68N 86.41W
06/01/2008                   ST. CLAIR          AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN AT US-411 AND AL-174.

&&

61

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
117 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1252 PM     HAIL             3 W ABERNATHY           33.65N 85.45W
06/01/2008  E1.00 INCH       CLEBURNE           AL   PUBLIC

            HAIL UP TO QUATER SIZE REPORETD ON CR-6 AND ISBELL
            ROAD...NEAR BRANCHVILLE.

&&

61

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
152 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ALZ024-025-011930-
JEFFERSON-SHELBY-
152 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR JEFFERSON AND SHELBY COUNTIES UNTIL
230 PM CDT...

AT 149 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR HELENA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  SILURIA.
  HELENA.
  REGIONS PARK OR HOOVER MET.
  PELHAM.
  VERIZON MUSIC CENTER AT OAK MOUNTAIN.
  INDIAN SPRINGS VILLAGE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

JD/81

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
203 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ALZ018-026-011945-
ETOWAH-ST. CLAIR-
203 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR ETOWAH AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES UNTIL
245 PM CDT...

AT 159 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR STEELE...OR 11 MILES WEST OF RAINBOW CITY. THIS
STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  STEELE.
  GALLIANT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.