Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 14, 20086 counties in North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2008, 5:33 PM CDT for 6 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 14, 2008, 5:33 PM CDT (22:33 UTC)
Expired: Jun 14, 2008, 6:30 PM CDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Bottineau County, ND, McHenry County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Wells County, ND

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 14, 1:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1202 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 1:24 PM CDT, 4 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 1:24 PM CDT, 4 hours 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
124 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS THE THREAT FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH
DAKOTA TODAY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ITS SURFACE REFLECTION ARE CURRENTLY
PUSHING EAST THROUGH SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN. A WEAK COLD
FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH TRAILS TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO WESTERN AND
CENTRAL MONTANA. RADAR RETURNS SHOW DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEASTERN MONTANA. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACES AS THIS DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES THE AREA. COLD AIR IS STILL IN PLACE ALOFT WITH 500MB
TEMPERATURES NEAR -15C THIS MORNING AND THE BISMARCK SOUNDING
INDICATED STEEP LAPSE RATES IN PLACE. MODERATE CAPE IN THE RANGE OF
1000 TO 2000 J/KG WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA WITH LIFTED INDEX VALUES IN THE -2 TO -4 CELSIUS RANGE.
DRYING IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL MODIFY THE SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE STATE
INTO AN INVERTED V PROFILE. THUS WE EXPECT THAT THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT TODAY WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS
THE GLASGOW SOUNDING INDICATED NEAR 1000 J/KG OF CAPE AND NEGATIVE
LIS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. FOR THESE REASONS THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER PLACES CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE IN THE
SLIGHT RISK CATEGORY FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER THE TROUGH/COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE STATE...A SLIGHT COOL
DOWN IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF GARDEN VARIETY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AS A DISTURBANCE ROTATES
AROUND THE EXITING UPPER LEVEL LOW. SUNDAY NIGHT RIDGING STARTS TO
BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION AND 500MB HEIGHTS REBOUND QUICKLY BY
MONDAY. AFTER SUNDAY EXPECT AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE HIGHS
AND A DRY FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FORECAST OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS IS HELD IN
CHECK THIS COMING WEEK AS CONTINUES SHORT WAVES BEING EJECTED FROM A
PACIFIC NORTHWEST UPPER TROUGH/CLOSED LOW EFFECTIVELY FLATTEN SAID
RIDGE. THESE SHORTWAVES WILL ALSO BRING SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDER
WED THROUGH SATURDAY TO OUR LOCAL AREA. THE RIDGE DOES HOWEVER
INCREASE THICKNESS VALUES ENOUGH WHERE WE WILL SEE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS WEST/CENTRAL ND...RANGING FROM
THE UPPER 70S TO LOW/MID 80S. LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE THIS
SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND A DYNAMIC MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING GOOD CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO WEST AND CENTRAL ND
THIS EARLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG
TO SEVERE WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL. CIGS
AND VIS IN HEAVIER TSRA MAY FALL TO MVFR CONDITIONS...PERHAPS BRIEF
IFR CONDITIONS AS WELL. SHRA AND TSRA WILL DIMINISH AROUND AND AFTER
SUNSET (2-4Z). A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH FROM SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA
AFTER MIDNIGHT WILL BRING AN AREA OF MVFR CIGS TO MAINLY PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL ND AROUND 5-11Z (MOT)...POSSIBLY PUSHING AS FAR SOUTH
AS BIS AND JMS AROUND 10-12Z. LOW CIGS SHOULD QUICKLY LIFT/DISSIPATE
BY MID MORNING SUNDAY.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

HW/NH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 4:55 AM CDT, 12 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
455 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-151000-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
455 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008 /355 AM MDT SAT JUN 14 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ROUGHLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A MINOT TO BISMARCK LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK.

KJB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 3:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
339 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     HAIL             10 NNW ROSS             48.44N 102.63W
06/14/2008  E1.00 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL LASTED FOR 10 MINUTES.

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 14, 3:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
348 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             STANLEY                 48.32N 102.39W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND WAS ESTIMATED AT 50 MPH.

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 14, 4:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND GST     STANLEY                 48.32N 102.39W
06/14/2008  E60 MPH          MOUNTRAIL          ND   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ALSO PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL

&&

DD

Local storm report, Jun 14, 4:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
427 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 N BERTHOLD            48.41N 101.74W
06/14/2008  E70 MPH          WARD               ND   BROADCAST MEDIA

0420 PM     HAIL             7 N BERTHOLD            48.41N 101.74W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       WARD               ND   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 14, 4:55 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
455 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND GST     MINOT AFB               48.42N 101.34W
06/14/2008  M52.00 MPH       WARD               ND   ASOS

0440 PM     TSTM WND GST     MINOT                   48.23N 101.30W
06/14/2008  M58.00 MPH       WARD               ND   ASOS

0450 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NE GUELPH             46.07N 98.16W
06/14/2008  E60.00 MPH       DICKEY             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DD

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:16 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
516 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     HAIL             6 NE WILTON             47.22N 100.69W
06/14/2008  M0.75 INCH       BURLEIGH           ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

THAMILTO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 2:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie, Williams	67 min
Jun 14, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Divide, Williams	59 min
Jun 14, 3:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Stutsman	60 min
Jun 14, 3:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Divide	12 min
Jun 14, 3:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, Divide, Mountrail, Williams	62 min
Jun 14, 4:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, McLean, Mountrail, Renville, Ward	58 min
Jun 14, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Dickey	54 min
Jun 14, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, McLean, Renville, Sheridan, Ward	55 min
Jun 14, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, McLean	45 min
Jun 14, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Foster, Stutsman, Wells	56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.