Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 14, 2008Dickey County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2008, 4:21 PM CDT for Dickey County, North Dakota. It was in force for 54 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 14, 2008, 4:21 PM CDT (21:21 UTC)
Expired: Jun 14, 2008, 5:15 PM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Dickey County, ND

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 14, 4:50 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	5 Ne Guelph, ND

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 29 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 14, 1:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1354 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KBIS 142121
SVRBIS
NDC021-142215-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0063.080614T2121Z-080614T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
421 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DICKEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 418 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  MONANGO...OR 52 MILES SOUTH OF JAMESTOWN...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FULLERTON BY 435 PM CDT...
  6 MILES NORTH OF GUELPH BY 450 PM CDT...
  OAKES AND 6 MILES NORTH OF LUDDEN BY 455 PM CDT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND SOMETIMES DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH
LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4626 9803 4595 9803 4608 9877 4625 9873
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 279DEG 37KT 4615 9861

$$

LEBLANG

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KBIS 142155
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
455 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NDC021-142215-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-080614T2215Z/
DICKEY ND-
455 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN DICKEY COUNTY...

AT 452 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR OAKES...OR 57 MILES SOUTH OF VALLEY CITY...MOVING EAST
AT 43 MPH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4595 9803 4604 9849 4626 9803 4602 9803
      4602 9804 4601 9803
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 279DEG 37KT 4609 9811

$$

LEBLANG

000 
WWUS53 KBIS 142210
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
510 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NDC021-142220-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0063.000000T0000Z-080614T2215Z/
DICKEY ND-
510 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DICKEY COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM CDT/415 PM MDT/...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND NO LONGER POSES
A SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4595 9803 4604 9849 4626 9803 4602 9803
      4602 9804 4601 9803
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 279DEG 37KT 4606 9789

$$

LEBLANG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 1:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 1:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
124 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS THE THREAT FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH
DAKOTA TODAY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ITS SURFACE REFLECTION ARE CURRENTLY
PUSHING EAST THROUGH SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN. A WEAK COLD
FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH TRAILS TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO WESTERN AND
CENTRAL MONTANA. RADAR RETURNS SHOW DEVELOPING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEASTERN MONTANA. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACES AS THIS DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES THE AREA. COLD AIR IS STILL IN PLACE ALOFT WITH 500MB
TEMPERATURES NEAR -15C THIS MORNING AND THE BISMARCK SOUNDING
INDICATED STEEP LAPSE RATES IN PLACE. MODERATE CAPE IN THE RANGE OF
1000 TO 2000 J/KG WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA WITH LIFTED INDEX VALUES IN THE -2 TO -4 CELSIUS RANGE.
DRYING IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL MODIFY THE SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE STATE
INTO AN INVERTED V PROFILE. THUS WE EXPECT THAT THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT TODAY WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS
THE GLASGOW SOUNDING INDICATED NEAR 1000 J/KG OF CAPE AND NEGATIVE
LIS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. FOR THESE REASONS THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER PLACES CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE IN THE
SLIGHT RISK CATEGORY FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AFTER THE TROUGH/COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE STATE...A SLIGHT COOL
DOWN IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF GARDEN VARIETY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AS A DISTURBANCE ROTATES
AROUND THE EXITING UPPER LEVEL LOW. SUNDAY NIGHT RIDGING STARTS TO
BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION AND 500MB HEIGHTS REBOUND QUICKLY BY
MONDAY. AFTER SUNDAY EXPECT AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE HIGHS
AND A DRY FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FORECAST OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS IS HELD IN
CHECK THIS COMING WEEK AS CONTINUES SHORT WAVES BEING EJECTED FROM A
PACIFIC NORTHWEST UPPER TROUGH/CLOSED LOW EFFECTIVELY FLATTEN SAID
RIDGE. THESE SHORTWAVES WILL ALSO BRING SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDER
WED THROUGH SATURDAY TO OUR LOCAL AREA. THE RIDGE DOES HOWEVER
INCREASE THICKNESS VALUES ENOUGH WHERE WE WILL SEE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS WEST/CENTRAL ND...RANGING FROM
THE UPPER 70S TO LOW/MID 80S. LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE THIS
SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND A DYNAMIC MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING GOOD CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO WEST AND CENTRAL ND
THIS EARLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG
TO SEVERE WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL. CIGS
AND VIS IN HEAVIER TSRA MAY FALL TO MVFR CONDITIONS...PERHAPS BRIEF
IFR CONDITIONS AS WELL. SHRA AND TSRA WILL DIMINISH AROUND AND AFTER
SUNSET (2-4Z). A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH FROM SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA
AFTER MIDNIGHT WILL BRING AN AREA OF MVFR CIGS TO MAINLY PARTS OF
NORTH CENTRAL ND AROUND 5-11Z (MOT)...POSSIBLY PUSHING AS FAR SOUTH
AS BIS AND JMS AROUND 10-12Z. LOW CIGS SHOULD QUICKLY LIFT/DISSIPATE
BY MID MORNING SUNDAY.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

HW/NH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 4:55 AM CDT, 11 hours 26 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
455 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-151000-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
455 AM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008 /355 AM MDT SAT JUN 14 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ROUGHLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A MINOT TO BISMARCK LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK.

KJB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 3:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
312 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     HAIL             8 SSE FORTUNA           48.81N 103.69W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       DIVIDE             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO STRONG WINDS - HAIL COVERING GROUND

0245 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 WSW FORTUNA           48.86N 103.96W
06/14/2008  E60 MPH          DIVIDE             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZED HAIL COVERING GROUND

&&

DD

Local storm report, Jun 14, 3:39 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
339 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     HAIL             10 NNW ROSS             48.44N 102.63W
06/14/2008  E1.00 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL LASTED FOR 10 MINUTES.

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 14, 3:48 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
348 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             STANLEY                 48.32N 102.39W
06/14/2008  M1.00 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND WAS ESTIMATED AT 50 MPH.

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 14, 4:00 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND GST     STANLEY                 48.32N 102.39W
06/14/2008  E60 MPH          MOUNTRAIL          ND   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ALSO PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL

&&

DD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 2:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie, Williams	67 min
Jun 14, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Divide, Williams	59 min
Jun 14, 3:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Stutsman	60 min
Jun 14, 3:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Divide	12 min
Jun 14, 3:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, Divide, Mountrail, Williams	62 min
Jun 14, 4:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, McLean, Mountrail, Renville, Ward	58 min
Jun 14, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, McLean, Renville, Sheridan, Ward	55 min
Jun 14, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, McLean	45 min
Jun 14, 5:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, Pierce, Rolette, Sheridan, Wells	57 min
Jun 14, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Foster, Stutsman, Wells	56 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.