Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Albany, NY

000 
WWUS51 KALY 162011
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
411 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

MAC003-NYC001-083-115-VTC003-162045-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-080616T2045Z/
BENNINGTON VT-ALBANY NY-RENSSELAER NY-WASHINGTON NY-BERKSHIRE MA-
411 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN BERKSHIRE...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...
RENSSELAER...EAST CENTRAL ALBANY AND SOUTHERN BENNINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 409 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM READSBORO TO
LANESBOROUGH...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NORTH ADAMS TO PITTSFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 26 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LITTLE EGYPT...HOOSAC TUNNEL STATION...HOOSAC TUNNEL AND EASTERN
  SUMMIT BY 420 PM EDT...
  SAVOY CENTER AND DRURY BY 425 PM EDT...
  BRIER AND SAVOY BY 430 PM EDT...
  WINDSOR BY 435 PM EDT...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
EASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4273 7301 4271 7301 4270 7294 4267 7297
      4266 7294 4263 7294 4248 7298 4254 7338
      4247 7393 4297 7333 4297 7300 4296 7301
      4293 7301 4292 7292 4274 7293
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 270DEG 23KT 4278 7296 4252 7325

$$

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

GJM/VTK

000 
WWUS51 KALY 162047
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
447 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

MAC003-NYC001-083-115-VTC003-162057-
/O.EXP.KALY.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-080616T2045Z/
BENNINGTON VT-ALBANY NY-RENSSELAER NY-WASHINGTON NY-BERKSHIRE MA-
447 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN BERKSHIRE...EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...RENSSELAER...EAST CENTRAL ALBANY AND
SOUTHERN BENNINGTON COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
EASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4273 7301 4271 7301 4270 7294 4267 7297
      4266 7294 4263 7294 4248 7298 4254 7338
      4247 7393 4297 7333 4297 7300 4296 7301
      4293 7301 4292 7292 4274 7293
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 270DEG 23KT 4278 7296 4252 7325

$$

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

GJM/VTK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
300 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS CANADA WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. FREQUENT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR IN THE WARM AIR MASS AHEAD OF AND ALONG
THE FRONT. BEHIND THE FRONT...A COOL AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL
SETTLE OVER OUR REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...AS LOW
PRESSURE ALOFT BRINGS CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 500 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE
COUNTY WARNING AREA THROUGH 700 PM THIS EVENING. WIND DAMAGE AND
LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS....BUT THUS FAR ONLY LARGE HAIL
HAS BEEN REPORTED. ATMOSPHERE IS ESPECIALLY CONDUSIVE TO PRODUCING
LARGE AMOUNTS OF HAIL UP TO 1 OR 1.25 INCHES IN SIZE.

SEVERE WEATHER ALREADY ONGOING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA AND WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TO THE SOUTH AND EAST
ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA DURING THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON.

AN 1800 UTC BALLOON LAUNCH WAS PERFORMED AND WILL SOON BE AVAILABLE.

AFTER AROUND 01Z-03Z TONIGHT...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE
OVER...BUT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL
BE OVER THE REGION AS UPPER LEVEL TROFINESS AND COLD POOL ALOFT
KEEPS THE REGION GENERALLY MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME SHOWERS AND TEMPS
BELOW NORMAL.

SHOWERS WILL FEATURE A DIURNAL VARIATION WITH THE BEST CHANCE EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

&&

.LONG TERM /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST ABOUT VERTICALLY STACKED WILL BRING
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE REGION FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD.
A H500 TROUGH WILL SETUP ACROSS THE ESTERN PORTION OF THE US AS A
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST.  WILL INCLUDE A
CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ERN NY TERMINALS ARE IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM BOX UNTIL 2300 UTC.  A
COLD FRONT AND ITS ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL CONTINUE TO
TRIGGER NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH APPRECIABLE
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE IN PLACE.  LOW AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO STEEPEN.  ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MAY CONTINUE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY FROM KALB SOUTH TO KPOU BTWN
0000-1200 UTC/TUE.

WE ARE THINKING THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO REACH KGFL AND
KALB WILL BE BETWEEN 1900 UTC AND 2100 UTC WITH MVFR/IFR CIGS AND
VSBYS.  THERE MAYBE TSRA/S THEREAFTER...BUT WE WILL COVER IT WITH
VCTS/S FOR NOW.  CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS TOWARDS 0400
UTC/MIDNIGHT.  SOME IFR FOG IS POSSIBLE AT KGFL AFTER 0600 UTC WITH
CLEARING SKIES AND LITTLE WIND.

KPOU...A LINE OF TSRAS WILL LIKELY REACH THE TERMINAL BETWEEN
2100-2300 UTC.  IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THUNDERSTORMS. WE
THINK SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE UP TO MIDNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL IFR CONDITIONS MAY LINGER. CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE TO VFR
LEVELS IN THE 0300 UTC-0600 UTC.

THE WINDS TODAY WILL BE S/SW AROUND 10 KTS WITH SOME GUSTS TO 40 KTS
OR GREATER IN ANY CONVECTION PRIOR 0000 UTC.  THE WINDS WILL GO
LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT...AND WILL INCREASE FROM THE SW TO W AT
10-15 KTS AFTER 1200 UTC.

OUTLOOK...
TUE-FRI...UNSETTLED. MAINLY VFR...WITH MVFR...IN SCT SHWRS/TSTMS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WET FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THORUGH THIS EVENING WITH SHOWERS
AND YHUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION.

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RISE FROM 50 PERCENT THIS TO NEAR 100
PERCENT TONIGHT...THEN FALL TO AROUND 50 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INTO THIS
EVENING...THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST LATER TONIGHT AFTER THE
FRONT PASSES THROUGH. WINDS TUESDAY WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS
UP TO 25 OR 30 MPH DURING THE MID AFTERNOON.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH REGION THIS EVENING WILL BRING
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ALBANY HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA.
ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...THEY ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO PERSIST LONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING
PROBLEMS. SOME LOCAL URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE WHERE THE HEAVIER DOWNPOURS OCCUR.

MORE SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...BUT AGAIN...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED IN COVERAGE
AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALTHOUGH A FEW HEAVY
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE. TOTAL BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL FOR THE NEXT 5
DAYS IS FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH. LARGER RIVERS
WILL SEE MINOR CHANGES IN STAGE. SMALL CREEKS WILL SEE SOME SHARP
RISES WHERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NAS
NEAR TERM...MAGLARAS/WASULA/FRUGIS
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...RCK
AVIATION...WASULA
FIRE WEATHER...RCK
HYDROLOGY...SND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1152 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-171600-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
1152 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 550 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO
VERY COLD AIR ALOFT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF THE SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORK IS REQUESTED FOR ALL
COUNTIES IN THE ALBANY COUNTY WARNING AREA FOR THE PERIOD BETWEEN
100 PM AND 700 PM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
328 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     HAIL             LOUDONVILLE             42.71N 73.77W
06/16/2008  E1.00 INCH       ALBANY             NY   PUBLIC

&&

ROKEEFE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
329 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             EAST GREENBUSH          42.59N 73.70W
06/16/2008  E0.88 INCH       RENSSELAER         NY   PUBLIC

&&

ROKEEFE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
330 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             LOUDONVILLE             42.71N 73.77W
06/16/2008  E1.00 INCH       ALBANY             NY   PUBLIC

&&

ROKEEFE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
331 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

NYZ033-042-043-083-162015-
HAMILTON NY-NORTHERN WARREN NY-SOUTHEAST WARREN NY-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON NY-
331 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN HAMILTON...NORTHERN
WARREN COUNTIES MOVING INTO NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 328 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM EAGLE POINT CAMPGROUND TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JOHNSBURG...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 19 MILES NORTH OF
WARRENSBURG TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF SPECULATOR...AND MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
JOHNSBURG BY 340 PM EDT
CHESTERTOWN BY 355 PM EDT
ROGERS ROCK CAMPGROUND AND HAGUE BY 410 PM EDT
WARRENSBURG...HULETTS LANDING AND BOLTON LANDING BY 415 PM EDT

THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE A QUICK HALF AN INCH OF RAINFALL.

WASULA/FRUGIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
337 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     HAIL             GLENMONT                42.60N 73.77W
06/16/2008  E1.00 INCH       ALBANY             NY   PUBLIC

&&

ROKEEFE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
342 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0337 PM     HEAVY RAIN       EAST GREENBUSH          42.59N 73.70W
06/16/2008  M1.00 INCH       RENSSELAER         NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN 25 MINUTES.

&&

ROKEEFE