Storm Warning 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK52 PAFG 192242
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
142 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-201300-
142 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 963 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SAT AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE TO MOVE N TO OVER THE GULF OF ANADYR SUN...THEN INLAND OVER
EASTERN SIBERIA SUN NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ200-201300-
NORTON SOUND-
142 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING NE. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-201300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
142 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 50 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 50 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-201300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
142 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-201300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
142 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN...S WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT BECOMING N. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

RT/MAR JAN 08

000
FZAK52 PAFG 201322
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
422 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-210330-
422 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 979 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE NORTH.
A SECOND 980 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE NORTH TO MERGE
WITH THE FIRST LOW BY 3PM SUN. A COLD FRONT FROM THE SECOND LOW TO
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THEN SOUTH WILL MOVE TO LIE ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF ALASKA SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INLAND. ANOTHER
STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA MON

$$

PKZ200-210330-
NORTON SOUND-
422 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT DECREASING. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE...W WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-210330-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
422 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 50 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT BECOMING NE. 
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-210330-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
422 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-210330-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
422 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 50 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT BECOMING N. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 08

000
FZAK52 PAFG 201832 AAA
CWFWCZ

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
932 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

UPDATED ZONES 200...210 AND 220

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-210100-
932 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 979 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF CAPE LISBURNE WILL MOVE NORTH.
A SECOND 980 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE NORTH TO MERGE
WITH THE FIRST LOW BY 3PM SUN. A COLD FRONT FROM THE SECOND LOW TO
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THEN SOUTH WILL MOVE TO LIE ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF ALASKA SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INLAND. ANOTHER
STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA MON

$$

PKZ200-210100-
NORTON SOUND-
932 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 30 KT.  
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-210100-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
932 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 45 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT BECOMING NE.  
.MON...N WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...SW WINDS 30 KT.  
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-210100-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
932 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE. BLOWING SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-210100-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
932 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 45 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT.  
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT BECOMING N. BLOWING SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF JAN 08

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
346 PM AST FRI JAN 18 2008

REMOVED ZONE 214 FROM THE WIND ADVISORY

.DISCUSSION...
VERY ACTIVE PATTERN FOR NORTHERN ALASKA NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A
COUPLE OF STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE BERING SEA.

UPPER BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC/GULF OF ALASKA. LONG
WAVE TROUGH ALONG ABOUT 160E. THESE FEATURES WEAKLY PROGRESSIVE...MORE
OR LESS WEAKENING/BREAKING DOWN OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO.

AT THE SURFACE...955 MB LOW NEAR ADAK WILL MOVE TO 100 MN WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AS A 960 MB CENTER BY 00Z SUN AND 982 CENTER
150 NW OF GAMBELL BY 00Z MON. ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION IN ARC FROM LOW
TO S SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND TO NUNIVAK ISLAND AT 12Z SAT..MOVING TO
PALU-W PAMC BY 12Z SUN. SECONDARY FRONT/TROF ALOFT FOLLOWS
OCCLUSION. NEW CENTER FORMING NEAR WRANGELL ISLAND ON SUN. 1025 MB
HIGH NEAR CYDA DRFTG SE AND BUILDING TO 1045 MB NE OF CYXY BY 00Z
SUN. ARCTIC FRONT FROM PAOR-PFYU-PABT-PAFM-PATC AND SWD.

MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON THE BASIC EVOLUTION OF PATTERN.
DIFFERENCE IN DETAILS..ESPECIALLY ON QPF AND EASTWARD EXTENT OF
PCPN INTO THE RIDGE ALOFT.

IN THE MID RANGE...WHILE THERE IS LARGE RUN TO
RUN AND INTER- MODEL DIFFERENCES IN TIMING...ALL MODELS SEEM TO BE
IMPLYING A FAIRLY FAST ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
WOULD BRING CHANGEABLE WEATHER WITH NEAR TO SOMEWHAT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.

FOR THE NORTH SLOPE...BERING SEA STORM WILL HELP ROOT OUT THE COLD
AIR...WITH ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS IN FAVORED AREAS IN THE BROOKS
RANGE SAT AND SUN. ADDITIONALLY...WINDS THRU PASSES SHOULD BE
STRONG ENOUGH FOR HEADLINES. STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS THRU SAT WILL
LIMIT BLIZ POTENTIAL ON THE COAST..BUT WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED.

FOR THE WEST COAST...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SUBTROPICAL CONNECTION
STREAMING NORTH INTO WESTERN ALASKA AND EASTERN BERING SEA.
COMBINED WITH LOW TRACKING FAIRLY FAR WEST WILL LIMIT THE EASTWARD
EXTENT OF PRECIP...AND BRING WARM ENOUGH AREA INTO SW ZONES TO
PREVENT BLIZ CONDITIONS. THEREFORE WE HAVE CANCELLED WATCH FOR
ZONE 214 AND REPLACED IT WITH WIND ADVISORY. ENOUGH VERTICAL
MOTION/COLD AIR IN PLACE SEWARD PEN WESTWARD FOR BLIZ POTENTIAL.
WE WILL UPGRADE BLIZ WATCH TO WARNING FOR ZONE 213. WE WILL
CONTINUE WATCHES FOR ZONE 207 SWD. IN ADDITION...SNOW ADVISORY FOR
ZONE 217.

FOR THE INTERIOR...WEAK TROUGH ALOFT MOVING THROUGH THIS
EVENING..WITH RPDLY BUILDING RIDGE. WINDS PICKING UP IN THE ALASKA
RANGE FROM WEST TO EAST...SHOULD EASILY BE ENOUGH FOR ADVISORY IN
THE USUAL SPOTS. VERY WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS...850 MB TEMPS
AT OR ABOVE FREEZING OVER MOST OF THE AREA SOUTH OF 66N BY SAT
AFTERNOON. THIS WARM UP WILL NOT BE REAL LONG LASTING THOUGH AS
SHORTWAVES PUSH THROUGH THE RIDGE.

COASTAL HAZARD
POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ217.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ213.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

RT JAN 08