Blizzard Warning 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK41 PAFG 200444
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
744 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

AKZ201-201500-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T0600Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
744 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST SUNDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST SUNDAY. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AS SNOW AND
WINDS INCREASE. SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST SEVERE
SOUTH OF WAINWRIGHT.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ205-201500-
/X.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080121T0600Z/
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...SINGILUK...UMIAT
744 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST
SUNDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO AS HIGH AS 60 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITIES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEVERAL WINTER HAZARDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING.

$$

AKZ202-201500-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.A.0004.080120T1500Z-080121T0600Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
744 PM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM AST SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM AST SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. 

A DEVELOPING STORM IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA AS THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE.
WINDS TO 35 MPH WITH LOW VISIBILITIES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ARE POSSIBLE.

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

$$

000 
WWAK41 PAFG 201336
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
436 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ202-202145-
/X.UPG.PAFG.BZ.A.0004.080120T1500Z-080121T0600Z/
/X.EXB.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.080121T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
436 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
AST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM AST
MONDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO
45 MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THE WORST
CONDITIONS WILL BE IN THE EVENING HOURS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES BY.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ201-202145-
/X.EXT.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
436 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 30 MPH GUSTING AS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREAS.THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE SOUTH
OF POINT LAY WHERE WINDS ARE NOW GUSTING TO 70 MPH. 

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE EARLY MONDAY AS THE WINDS DECREASE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ205-202145-
/X.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080121T0600Z/
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...SINGILUK...UMIAT
436 AM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST THIS
EVENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM AST THIS
EVENING. 

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
AND LOW VISIBILITIES OVER THE MOUNTAINS. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEVERAL WINTER HAZARDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING.

$$

000 
WWAK41 PAFG 202126
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1226 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ201-210600-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
1226 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 MPH GUSTING AS TO 60 MPH HAVE DEVELOPED
ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOPED AND WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE FROM
POINT LAY SOUTH.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE EARLY MONDAY AS THE WINDS DECREASE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ202-210600-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.080121T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
1226 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO TONIGHT AS SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 45
MPH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE IN THE EVENING HOURS AS A
COLD FRONT PASSES BY.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ205-210600-
/X.EXT.PAFG.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080121T1200Z/
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...SINGILUK...UMIAT
1226 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST MONDAY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST
MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
AND LOW VISIBILITIES OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEVERAL WINTER HAZARDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING.

$$

000 
WWAK41 PAFG 210459
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
759 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

AKZ201-211500-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
759 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE EARLY MONDAY AS THE WINDS DECREASE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ202-211500-
/X.CON.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
759 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST MONDAY. 
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT...
CONTINUING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY. 

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND
MAKE ANY TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITY HAZARDOUS.

$$

AKZ205-211200-
/X.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080121T1200Z/
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...SINGILUK...UMIAT
759 PM AST SUN JAN 20 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST
MONDAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AST
MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW
AND LOW VISIBILITIES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE MONDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT SEVERAL WINTER HAZARDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING.

$$

000 
WWAK41 PAFG 211212
WSWNSB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
312 AM AST MON JAN 21 2008

AKZ201-202-211315-
/X.CAN.PAFG.BZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080121T1500Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE...
BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
312 AM AST MON JAN 21 2008

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE
BLIZZARD WARNING. 

A SOUTH WIND OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING
SNOW WITH VISIBILITY OF 1 TO 2 MILES. THE STRONG WIND IS EXPECTED
TO RAPIDLY DIMINISH DURING THE MORNING.

$$

AKZ205-211315-
/X.EXP.PAFG.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-080121T1200Z/
NORTHWESTERN BROOKS RANGE-
INCLUDING...SINGILUK...UMIAT
312 AM AST MON JAN 21 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
628 AM AST SAT JAN 19 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH AMPLITUDE LONG WAVE PATTERN NOW IN PLACE WITH A DEEP TROUGH
OVER THE BERING AND NORTHWEST PACIFIC WHILE A STRONG RIDGE LIES OVER
THE EAST PACIFIC AND ALASKA. THIS IS CAUSING A STRONG WARM UP AND
CHINOOK WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER THE ALASKA RANGE AND BROOKS
RANGE WHILE THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA HAS STRONG WINDS AND BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. THIS PATTERN WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY EAST THROUGH NEXT
WEEK MEANING NORTHERN ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO MORE WET PATTERN.

A 960 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO 200 NM WEST OF
GAMBELL AS A 972 MB LOW BY 3AM SUN AND TO NEAR WRANGEL ISLAND AS A
978 MB LOW BY 3PM SUN. THE FRONT WITH THIS LOW NOW LIES FROM THE
LOW TO THE BERING STRAIT TO A WAVE SOUTH OF COLD BAY. THIS WILL
MOVE TO CAPE LISBURNE TO ANVIK BY 3AM SUN AND TO DEADHORSE TO
DENALI BY 3PM SUN. THERE ARE NOW GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE ENTIRE
WEST COAST ALONG THIS FRONT ALONG WITH HEAVY SNOW. THE PRECIPITATION
HAS BECOME MIXED OR CHANGED TO RAIN OVER ZONE 214 AND MAY OVER
ZONES 212 AND 215 TODAY AS WELL. PRECIP WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL
SNOW TONIGHT. SNOW WILL DECREASE AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN INTERIOR. CHINOOK WINDS OVER THE ALASKA RANGE AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST.

WILL LIKELY SEE STORM FORCE GUSTS TONIGHT IN THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT POISONOUS TAIL OF THE BERING LOW OVER ZONE 213 WHICH WILL
MOVE TO THE CAPE LISBURNE AREA SUN. THOUGH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY
ABATE SOME LATE TODAY ALONG THE WEST COAST THIS WILL BRING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS BACK AT LEAST AT TIMES THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
GFS INITIALIZED THE BEST ON THE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW AT 06Z.
THE NAM INITIALIZED 100 NM TOO FAR SOUTHWEST OF ACTUAL LOW CENTER
WHILE THE GFS VERIFIED WELL AT 06Z. PREFER THE GFS MODEL FOR THIS
REASON THOUGH THE ECMF AGREED WELL WITH THE GFS AS WELL.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ201-AKZ205-AKZ212.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

SNOW ADVISORY FOR AKZ217.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

JB JAN 08